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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Oct, 19:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City and their manager Enzo Maresca will be aiming to beat Fabian Hürzeler and his Brighton and Hove Albion side on Wednesday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Etihad Stadium in the League Cup. You'll see stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with League Cup performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of Brighton get ready for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After studying the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both sides know they have goals in them and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man City 59%	8/13 1%	-
Draw 20%	7/2 4%	-
Brighton 21%	10/3 9%	-
Man City 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8/1 6%	-
Man City 2-0 8%	9/1 25%	-
Man City 1-0 8%	9/1 25%	-
Man City 3-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1 12%	-
Man City 3-0 6%	12/1 8%	-
Brighton 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Brighton 1-0 4%	16/1 13%	-
Man City 3-2 4%	18/1 17%	-
Man City 4-1 4%	20/1 9%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	20/1 40%	-
Man City 4-0 3%	22/1 10%	-
Brighton 2-0 3%	25/1	-
Brighton 3-2 2%	28/1 29%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	19/40 11%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	8/5 21%	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/15 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/5 9%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	20/1 40%	-
BTTS - Yes 62%	4/7 10%	-
BTTS - No 38%	5/4 13%	-
BTTS - Home Win 32%	15/8 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	11/2 24%	-
Home/draw 79%	1/5 2%	-
Away/draw 41%	5/4 2%	-
Home/away 80%	2/11 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/7 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	9/2 27%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	6/5 16%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	8/13 13%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	11/4 25%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	1/4 7%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	6/1 36%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/10 5%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1 27%	-
Home DNB 73%	3/10 4%	-
Away DNB 35%	12/5 9%	-
Man City win to nil 27%	12/5 24%	-
Brighton win to nil 8%	9/1 11%	-
Man City / Man City 34%	6/4 4%	-
Man City / Brighton 3%	28/1 15%	-
Man City / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Man City 17%	4/1 11%	-
Draw / Brighton 8%	10/1	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1 8%	-
Brighton / Man City 4%	18/1 10%	-
Brighton / Brighton 11%	7/1 11%	-
Brighton / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Man City	5 - 1	AEK
H	Man City	3 - 2	Ipswich
H	Man City	2 - 4	PSG
A	Man City	3 - 0	Liverpool
H	Man City	5 - 3	Sunderland
H	Man City	5 - 0	Norwich
A	Man City	1 - 0	Man Utd
A	Man City	2 - 0	Porto
H	Man City	1 - 0	Coventry
A	Man City	4 - 1	C Palace
H	Man City	2 - 1	Bournemouth
H	Man City	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Man City	1 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Man City	1 - 0	Chelsea
H	Man City	3 - 0	C Palace
H	Man City	3 - 0	Brentford
A	Man City	3 - 3	Everton
H	Man City	2 - 1	Southampton
A	Man City	1 - 0	Burnley
H	Man City	2 - 1	Arsenal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Brighton	5 - 0	C Palace
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Sunderland
H	Brighton	3 - 0	Arsenal
A	Brighton	3 - 2	Man Utd
A	Brighton	5 - 0	Coventry
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Leeds
A	Brighton	3 - 4	Chelsea
H	Brighton	4 - 0	A Villa
H	Brighton	0 - 3	Man Utd
A	Brighton	0 - 1	Leeds
H	Brighton	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Brighton	1 - 3	Newcastle
H	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea
A	Brighton	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Burnley
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Liverpool
A	Brighton	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Brighton	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Brentford

Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive League Cup outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday evening.

	Man City	Brighton
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 63% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	2.7 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2026/2027 season

23%

better

MCI

BHA

view stats

Games scored	20		17
Failed to score	0		3
Scored first	16		12
Goals scored	50		44
Avg. goals scored	2.5		2.2
Avg. shots per game	12		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	20		18
Avg. XG for	2.1		1.8
KickOff rating		+23%

better

MCI

BHA

view stats

Games conceded	11		10
Clean sheets	9		10
Conceded first	4		8
Goals conceded	20		19
Avg. goals conceded	1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+2%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Man City v Brighton will show here when available.

Man City League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	2	0
G Rulli	R Cherki	R Nouri

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Rulli GLK	1			-
N. O'Reilly DEF	1		1	-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF	1			-
A. Khusanov DEF	1			-
R Lewis DEF	1			-
R Nouri DEF	1		2	-
R Cherki MID	1	1		-
M Kovacic MID	1			-
A. Bouaddi MID	1		1	-
A. Andrade Elias FWD	1	1	1	-
R. McAidoo FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	2	1
R Cherki	R. McAidoo	R Nouri	N. O'Reilly

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Cherki MID	1	1		1
A. Andrade Elias FWD	1	1	1	1
R. McAidoo FWD	1	2
N. O'Reilly DEF			1	1
R Nouri DEF			2
A. Bouaddi MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
149	3	6
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis	A. Khusanov	R Nouri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF	149		2
A. Khusanov DEF	118	3	5
A. Bouaddi MID	103		1
M Kovacic MID	94	2	4
R Nouri DEF	69		6
N. O'Reilly DEF	55	2	3
R Cherki MID	44	1	4
A. Andrade Elias FWD	30	1	5
R Lewis DEF	26	2	4
G Rulli GLK	19
R. McAidoo FWD	17	1	1

Brighton League Cup squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	1
J Steele	M Cuyper	L. Vušković	M Cuyper

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Steele GLK	1			-
P Struijk DEF	1			-
Costinha DEF	1			-
F Kadioglu DEF	1			-
L. Vušković DEF	1		1	-
M Cuyper DEF	1	1		1 -
O Boscagli DEF	1			-
J Hadjam DEF	1		1	1 -
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	1			1 -
D Amarilla MID	1			-
P Groß MID	1	1		-
Y Ayari MID	1			1 -
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	1			-
M O'Riley MID	1			-
G Rutter FWD	1			-
C. Kostoulas FWD	1	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	2
M Cuyper	M Cuyper	L. Vušković	P Groß

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Cuyper DEF	1	1
P Groß MID	1	1		2
C. Kostoulas FWD	1	1	1
L. Vušković DEF			1	1
O Boscagli DEF		1
J Hadjam DEF			1	1
D Amarilla MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
70	3	5
L. Vušković	P Struijk	L. Vušković

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Vušković DEF	70	2	5
P Groß MID	64	1	3
P Struijk DEF	60	3	4
O Boscagli DEF	56	2	3
Costinha DEF	55		4
J Steele GLK	40	1	1
J. Andrés Baixauli MID	40	1	4
J Hadjam DEF	27	3	4
M O'Riley MID	27	1	4
C. Kostoulas FWD	20		3
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID	20		3
D Amarilla MID	16	1	3
M Cuyper DEF	14
Y Ayari MID	12	2	3
F Kadioglu DEF	10	1	1
G Rutter FWD	1	2	4

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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Man City v Brighton will show here when available.

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