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Bolton Wanderers v Port Vale : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 15:00 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

Steven Schumacher's Bolton Wanderers side enjoy home advantage in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Darren Moore's Port Vale arrive at the Macron Stadium. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Steven Schumacher and Darren Moore to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as Bolton and Port Vale go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bolton 54%	1.73 4%	1.75
Draw 27%	3.80	3.70
Port Vale 20%	4.50 10%	4.80
Bolton 1-0 16%	6.50 8%	5.75
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00 7%	6.50
Bolton 2-0 11%	7.50 7%	7.00
Draw 0-0 11%	10.00 11%	8.00
Bolton 2-1 9%	8.50	8.00
Port Vale 1-0 8%	11.00	10.00
Bolton 3-0 6%	13.00 8%	11.00
Port Vale 2-1 5%	15.00 12%	13.00
Bolton 3-1 4%	15.00	13.00
Draw 2-2 3%	19.00 10%	13.00
Port Vale 2-0 3%	23.00	17.00
Bolton 4-0 2%	29.00 12%	21.00
Bolton 3-2 2%	29.00 15%	23.00
Bolton 4-1 2%	29.00 15%	23.00
Port Vale 3-1 1%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.00 7%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.80 8%	1.73
Home 1st Goal 54%	1.57 3%	1.57
Away 1st Goal 39%	2.63 9%	2.88
No 1st Goal 7%	10.00 11%	8.00
BTTS - Yes 42%	1.95 7%	2.00
BTTS - No 58%	1.80 8%	1.73
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4.00 8%	3.90
BTTS - Draw 16%	5.50	5.00
BTTS - Away Win 7%	9.50 14%	9.00
Home/draw 80%	1.18 1%	1.18
Away/draw 46%	2.05 5%	2.05
Home/away 73%	1.25	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.33 2%	1.35
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	3.25 8%	3.00
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	3.50 13%	3.50
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.29 6%	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	7.00 22%	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.10 3%	1.08
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	17.00 11%	13.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.03 1%	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.06 1%	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	10.00 11%	8.00
Home DNB 72%	1.30 4%	1.29
Away DNB 38%	3.40 9%	3.40
Bolton win to nil 35%	2.75 10%	-
Port Vale win to nil 12%	8.00	-
Bolton / Bolton 30%	2.75 6%	2.62
Bolton / Port Vale 2%	41.00	29.00
Bolton / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Bolton 18%	4.50 4%	4.33
Draw / Port Vale 9%	9.50 5%	9.00
Draw / Draw 16%	5.50 10%	4.80
Port Vale / Bolton 4%	23.00	19.00
Port Vale / Port Vale 11%	8.00 11%	7.00
Port Vale / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00

Win / draw / win League One table

Bolton have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the League One league table. Bolton are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Bolton have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Bolton have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Port Vale are in 21st position in the League One on 13 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Port Vale have conceded 15 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bolton Port Vale
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Stockport	14	8	4	2	8	28	Apr 6	l 2-0A	l 0-3A	Apr 11
2	Bradford	14	7	6	1	7	27	Nov 22	Apr 25	Dec 9	Dec 29
3	Cardiff	13	8	2	3	10	26	w 1-0F	Apr 11	d 0-00-0	Apr 3
4	Stevenage	12	8	2	2	8	26	Mar 28	Nov 15	l 1-2F	Feb 17
5	Lincoln	14	7	4	3	7	25	d 1-1A	Feb 14	May 2	Nov 29
6	AFC Wim	14	8	1	5	4	25	w 3-0F	Jan 31	Jan 27	d 1-1A
7	Bolton	14	6	5	3	4	23	-	-	Mar 21	Nov 8
8	Mansfield	14	6	4	4	6	22	Dec 29	Dec 9	w 2-1F	Jan 17
9	Huddersfield	13	6	1	6	0	19	Apr 18	w 1-2A	Mar 14	Dec 26
10	Luton	13	6	1	6	0	19	May 2	Nov 29	Feb 28	Dec 13
11	Barnsley	12	5	3	4	1	18	Feb 7	d 1-1A	Jan 4	w 0-2F
12	Doncaster	14	5	3	6	-6	18	Mar 17	Jan 1	l 0-1A	Feb 14
13	Wigan	14	4	5	5	-1	17	w 4-1F	Jan 17	Apr 18	l 1-0A
14	L Orient	14	5	2	7	-2	17	Jan 24	d 1-1A	l 2-3F	Jan 31
15	Northampton	14	5	2	7	-3	17	Jan 4	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	Jan 10
16	Rotherham	13	5	2	6	-3	17	Dec 26	Mar 14	Apr 6	l 2-1A
17	Wycombe	14	4	4	6	2	16	Mar 7	Dec 20	Nov 15	Mar 28
18	Exeter	14	5	1	8	0	16	Dec 13	Feb 28	Jan 24	w 0-2F
19	Reading	14	3	6	5	-4	15	d 1-1F	Feb 17	Feb 21	l 1-0A
20	Burton	13	4	3	6	-5	15	Jan 27	l 3-0A	Feb 7	d 0-00-0
21	Port Vale	14	3	4	7	-4	13	Nov 8	Mar 21	-	-
22	Plymouth	14	4	1	9	-8	13	w 2-0F	Apr 3	Nov 22	Apr 25
23	Blackpool	14	3	3	8	-9	12	Feb 21	d 1-1A	Jan 1	Mar 17
24	Peterborough	13	3	1	9	-12	10	w 2-1F	Jan 10	Dec 20	Mar 7

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton	1 - 0	Cardiff
Bolton	2 - 1	Peterborough
Bolton	4 - 1	Wigan
Bolton	3 - 0	AFC Wim
Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
Bolton	2 - 0	Plymouth
Bolton	1 - 1	Stevenage
Bolton	0 - 2	Wycombe
Bolton	0 - 1	Rotherham
Bolton	1 - 0	Bristol R
Bolton	0 - 1	Stockport
Bolton	3 - 1	Birmingham
Bolton	2 - 1	L Orient
Bolton	4 - 3	Crawley
Bolton	3 - 1	Northampton
Bolton	1 - 2	Charlton
Bolton	2 - 2	Cambridge
Bolton	3 - 0	Lincoln
Bolton	1 - 2	Barnsley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bolton	1 - 0	Cardiff
A	Bolton	2 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Bolton	0 - 3	Burton
H	Bolton	2 - 1	Peterborough
A	Bolton	0 - 2	Northampton
H	Bolton	4 - 1	Wigan
A	Bolton	1 - 1	L Orient
H	Bolton	3 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Blackpool
H	Bolton	1 - 1	Lincoln
H	Bolton	1 - 1	Reading
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Barnsley
H	Bolton	2 - 0	Plymouth
A	Bolton	0 - 2	Stockport
H	Bolton	1 - 1	Stevenage
A	Bolton	1 - 1	Peterborough
A	Bolton	2 - 4	Lincoln
H	Bolton	0 - 2	Wycombe
A	Bolton	1 - 4	Barnsley
H	Bolton	0 - 1	Rotherham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wigan	1 - 0	Port Vale
AFC Wim	1 - 1	Port Vale
Barnsley	0 - 2	Port Vale
Exeter	0 - 2	Port Vale
Reading	1 - 0	Port Vale
Burton	0 - 0	Port Vale
Rotherham	2 - 1	Port Vale
AFC Wim	0 - 2	Port Vale
Carlisle	3 - 2	Port Vale
Walsall	2 - 3	Port Vale
Crewe	0 - 1	Port Vale
Colchester	2 - 1	Port Vale
Fleetwood	1 - 1	Port Vale
Tranmere	1 - 1	Port Vale
Swindon	3 - 3	Port Vale
Chesterfield	1 - 1	Port Vale
Doncaster	1 - 2	Port Vale
Grimsby	3 - 0	Port Vale
Bradford	2 - 1	Port Vale
Bromley	0 - 0	Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Port Vale	0 - 3	Stockport
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Wigan
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	Barnsley
H	Port Vale	2 - 1	Mansfield
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	Exeter
H	Port Vale	2 - 3	L Orient
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Reading
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Doncaster
H	Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage
A	Port Vale	0 - 0	Burton
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Rotherham
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Gillingham
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Port Vale	2 - 2	Grimsby
A	Port Vale	2 - 3	Carlisle
H	Port Vale	5 - 0	Bromley
A	Port Vale	3 - 2	Walsall

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bolton have beaten Port Vale in 3 consecutive league meetings

Bolton have not lost to Port Vale in 5 consecutive league meetings

Bolton

Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

0 / 7

BOL

PTV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Bolton	2 - 0
Bolton	2 - 1
	3 - 6	Port Vale
Bolton	3 - 1
Bolton	2 - 1
Bolton	3 - 1
Bolton	4 - 2

Port Vale

Bolton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

6 / 7

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
	0 - 1	Bolton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Bolton
	0 - 2	Bolton
	0 - 1	Bolton
	0 - 2	Bolton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Bolton 7th	Port Vale 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Port Vale scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Bolton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 Port Vale’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

33%

better

BOL

PTV

view stats

Games scored	11		7
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	6		5
Goals scored	19		11
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0.8
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		13
Conversion rate for	12		8
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+33%

BOL

PTV

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		9
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	8		6
Goals conceded	15		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	22%		15%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1
KickOff rating		+16%

Bolton v Port Vale League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	7	4	4
T Sharman-Lowe	M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	J Sheehan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	14			1 -
M Conway DEF	14		1	1 -
X Simons MID	14			1 -
M Burstow FWD	14	7	1	3 -
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	14	4	4	1 -
G Johnston DEF	13			2 -
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	12		2	1 -
A Morley MID	12			1 -
J Sheehan MID	11		2	4 -
T Gale FWD	11	1	1	1 -
S Dalby FWD	11	1		-
J Randall MID	10	1		-
E Erhahon MID	10		1	1 -
I Cissoko FWD	10			1 -
E Toal DEF	8	1		-
C Forino DEF	8			3 -
M Forss FWD	8	2		1 -
J McAtee FWD	8	1		-
J Osei-Tutu DEF	6			1 -
R Taylor DEF	5			1 -
C Christie DEF	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	4	8
M Burstow	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry	A Cozier-Duberry

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Burstow FWD	7	16	1	1
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	4	18	4	8
M Forss FWD	2	8
T Gale FWD	1	8	1	1
S Dalby FWD	1	3		1
J Randall MID	1	4
E Toal DEF	1	2
J McAtee FWD	1	2
M Conway DEF		2	1	3
X Simons MID		1
G Johnston DEF		1		2
J Dacres-Cogley DEF			2
A Morley MID		1		3
J Sheehan MID		3	2	1
E Erhahon MID			1	2
I Cissoko FWD		2		1
C Forino DEF		2
R Taylor DEF		1
C Christie DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
850	40	111
G Johnston	M Conway	M Conway

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Johnston DEF	850	13	95
T Sharman-Lowe GLK	583	1	8
M Conway DEF	583	40	111
X Simons MID	549	19	36
J Dacres-Cogley DEF	461	18	37
A Cozier-Duberry FWD	402	25	77
J Sheehan MID	398	13	34
C Forino DEF	398	14	73
E Toal DEF	392	8	40
A Morley MID	294	4	11
E Erhahon MID	275	11	23
M Burstow FWD	200	4	48
T Gale FWD	152	6	31
J Randall MID	129	8	17
J Osei-Tutu DEF	124	12	36
I Cissoko FWD	108	5	28
C Christie DEF	78	2	9
M Forss FWD	68	7	20
S Dalby FWD	66	6	33
J McAtee FWD	56	4	12
R Taylor DEF	41	3	7

Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	2	3
C Hall	D Cole	R Paton	G Byers

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hall DEF	13	1		1 -
R Croasdale MID	13	2		2 -
R Curtis FWD	13	1		1 -
J Debrah DEF	12			-
G Byers MID	12		1	2 1
C Humphreys DEF	11			2 -
B Heneghan DEF	10			1 -
B Garrity MID	9			-
J Gauci GLK	8			-
K John DEF	8			-
F Ojo MID	8			2 -
D Cole FWD	8	4	1	-
M Faal FWD	8			-
J. Headley DEF	7			1 1
L Gordon DEF	7			2 -
M Clark DEF	7		1	2 -
J Shipley MID	7		1	1 -
D Brown FWD	7		1	-
R Paton FWD	7	1	2	1 -
G Hall MID	6		1	-
M Marosi GLK	5			-
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	5	1		3 -
B Waine FWD	5			1 -
J Stockley FWD	5			-
R. Walters MID	4			-
M Johnson MID	2			-
B Amos GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	2	3
D Cole	D Cole	R Paton	C Hall

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Cole FWD	4	10	1	3
R Croasdale MID	2	5		1
C Hall DEF	1	1		3
R Curtis FWD	1	5		3
R Paton FWD	1	3	2	3
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	1	2
J Debrah DEF				1
G Byers MID		1	1	1
C Humphreys DEF				1
B Heneghan DEF		1
B Garrity MID		5
J Gauci GLK				1
F Ojo MID		1		2
M Faal FWD		4
J. Headley DEF		2
L Gordon DEF				2
M Clark DEF			1	1
J Shipley MID			1	2
D Brown FWD		1	1	2
G Hall MID			1	2
B Waine FWD		2		1
J Stockley FWD		2
R. Walters MID		3
M Johnson MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
548	24	83
C Hall	G Byers	C Hall

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hall DEF	548	15	83
G Byers MID	512	24	60
C Humphreys DEF	477	5	42
J Debrah DEF	345	11	65
R Croasdale MID	271	16	37
J Gauci GLK	265		1
B Garrity MID	258	13	57
R Curtis FWD	198	13	59
F Ojo MID	195	5	22
M Clark DEF	177	10	30
M Marosi GLK	177		3
B Heneghan DEF	157	2	27
J. Headley DEF	151	13	25
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	148	3	21
L Gordon DEF	137	9	22
J Shipley MID	136	5	9
K John DEF	116	12	33
D Cole FWD	113	5	43
R Paton FWD	84	2	8
R. Walters MID	63	6	17
M Faal FWD	58	1	24
D Brown FWD	50	2	14
M Johnson MID	48	1	8
G Hall MID	46	2	13
J Stockley FWD	42	1	28
B Waine FWD	29	1	10
B Amos GLK	15