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Burton Albion v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Monday afternoon at the Pirelli Stadium, and it’s a League One showdown between Burton Albion and Birmingham City. Lee Bowyer and Chris Davies going all-out to ensure victory. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Burton Albion's next match is v Charlton at 15:00 on Saturday 3rd May
Birmingham City's next match is v Cambridge at 15:00 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English League One meeting between Burton and Birmingham was on Monday 21st April 2025
English League One
April 21st 2025
Burton 1
2 Birmingham
 
F. Tavares 90'44' A. Sampsted
45' J. Stansfield
 
BAL
BIR
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
3
Corners
2
2
Possession
25%
75%
Fouls
13
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
BurtonBirmingham
 
M. Crocombe
K. Lofthouse
U. Godwin-Malife (F. Delap 71')
J. Armer
D. Williams
R. Sweeney
O. Dodgson
J. McKiernan (J. Böðvarsson 76')
K. Chauke (A. Forde 76')
R. Burrell (M. Bennett 84')
J. Larsson (F. Tavares 77')
R. Allsop
A. Cochrane
C. Klarer
(E. Laird 77') football iconA. Sampsted
G. Hanley
(S. Paik 67') M. Leonard
W. Willumsson
(K. Anderson 66') T. Gardner-Hickman
T. Iwata
(L. Harris 90') K. Dowell
(A. May 66') football iconJ. Stansfield

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Burton or Birmingham are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burton
31%
16/5
27%
-
Draw
26%
31/10
9%
-
Birmingham
43%
8/11
15%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
12%
-
Birmingham 1-0
10%
6/1-
Birmingham 2-1
9%
15/2-
Burton 1-0
8%
10/1
27%
-
Burton 2-1
7%
12/1
24%
-
Birmingham 2-0
7%
7/1
14%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Burton 2-0
5%
20/1
28%
-
Birmingham 3-1
4%
14/1
25%
-
Birmingham 3-0
4%
12/1
18%
-
Burton 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Birmingham 3-2
3%
25/1-
Burton 3-2
2%
40/1-
Burton 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/20
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/20
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
15/8
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1/2
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/20-
BTTS - No
46%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/4
10%
-
Home/draw
57%
21/20
18%
-
Away/draw
69%
2/9
7%
-
Home/away
74%
2/9
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/5
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/10
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
-
Home DNB
49%
9/4
25%
-
Away DNB
61%
1/3
11%
-
Burton win to nil
16%
6/1
30%
-
Birmingham win to nil
23%
7/4
10%
-
Burton / Burton
11%
7/1
27%
-
Burton / Birmingham
4%
22/1
10%
-
Burton / Draw
6%
16/1-
Draw / Burton
9%
17/2
21%
-
Draw / Birmingham
18%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Birmingham / Burton
2%
33/1
17%
-
Birmingham / Birmingham
29%
7/4
20%
-
Birmingham / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 42 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 11 and won 8. Burton have conceded 51 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 20 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 96 points in the League One league table having played 41 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 41 games against teams below them in the table, winning 29, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored 73 goals and kept 19 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 19 away games, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burton
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham Away45339352108 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Wrexham45261183189 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Stockport45241292884 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Wycombe45241292784 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
5
Charlton452410112282 
l
 
0-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
L Orient45236162175 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
Reading452112121375 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Bolton4520718-367 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
Blackpool45161613964 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
10
Huddersfield4519719664 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Lincoln451613161061 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
12
Barnsley45161019-658 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-2F
w
 
1-2A
13
Rotherham45151119-656 
w
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
14
Stevenage45151119-856 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Exeter45151119-1356 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
16
Wigan45131616-255 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
17
Peterborough45131220-1251 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2F
18
Mansfield4514922-1651 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Northampton45121419-1850 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
20
Burton Home45111420-1547 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
21
Crawley45111024-2743 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
22
Bristol R4512726-2943 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
23
Cambridge4591125-2738 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
May 3
24
Shrewsbury458928-3733 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton3 - 0Huddersfield
Burton2 - 1L Orient
Burton1 - 2Bolton
Burton1 - 1Mansfield
Burton1 - 1Blackpool
Burton3 - 2Reading
Burton4 - 2Rotherham
Burton0 - 1Northampton
Burton2 - 2Peterborough
Burton1 - 2Exeter
Burton0 - 1Wrexham
Burton0 - 1Charlton
Burton0 - 3Stockport
Burton2 - 0Shrewsbury
Burton0 - 0Crawley
Burton2 - 3Wycombe
Burton1 - 3Bristol R
Burton1 - 2Barnsley
Burton0 - 0Stevenage
Burton2 - 3Lincoln
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurton0 - 0Exeter
HBurton3 - 0Huddersfield
ABurton0 - 3Wrexham
HBurton2 - 1L Orient
ABurton1 - 2Stockport
ABurton2 - 0Shrewsbury
HBurton1 - 2Bolton
ABurton0 - 2Wycombe
HBurton1 - 1Mansfield
ABurton1 - 0Lincoln
ABurton1 - 0Stevenage
ABurton1 - 3Bristol R
HBurton1 - 1Blackpool
ABurton0 - 0Barnsley
HBurton3 - 2Reading
HBurton4 - 2Rotherham
ABurton2 - 1Wigan
ABurton1 - 1Crawley
HBurton0 - 1Northampton
HBurton2 - 2Peterborough
Birmingham 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Peterborough1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Bolton3 - 1Birmingham
Reading0 - 0Birmingham
Huddersfield0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Wigan0 - 3Birmingham
Stockport1 - 1Birmingham
Crawley0 - 1Birmingham
Barnsley1 - 2Birmingham
Exeter0 - 2Birmingham
Shrewsbury3 - 2Birmingham
Mansfield1 - 1Birmingham
Lincoln1 - 3Birmingham
Charlton1 - 0Birmingham
Rotherham0 - 2Birmingham
L Orient1 - 2Birmingham
Wycombe2 - 3Birmingham
Huddersfield1 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham0 - 0Crawley
ABirmingham2 - 1Peterborough
HBirmingham6 - 2Barnsley
ABirmingham2 - 1Bristol R
HBirmingham4 - 1Shrewsbury
ABirmingham1 - 1Northampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Stevenage
HBirmingham1 - 0Lincoln
ABirmingham1 - 3Bolton
HBirmingham1 - 0Wycombe
HBirmingham2 - 0L Orient
ABirmingham0 - 0Reading
HBirmingham1 - 0Charlton
HBirmingham4 - 0Cambridge
HBirmingham2 - 1Rotherham
ABirmingham1 - 0Huddersfield
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham1 - 0Exeter
ABirmingham3 - 0Wigan
ABirmingham1 - 1Stockport
Goal Statistics
Burton 20th Birmingham 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281160/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
BAL
BIR
34%
better
view stats
Games scored27
37
Failed to score15
4
Scored first16
27
Goals scored44
73
Avg. goals scored1
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
BAL
BIR
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
22
Clean sheets12
19
Conceded first20
11
Goals conceded59
29
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+33%

Burton v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
411149
M CrocombeR BurrellO DodgsonO Dodgson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Crocombe GLK41
8
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF4013
5
-
R Sweeney DEF4122
4
-
J Armer DEF361
6
-
K Lofthouse MID151
4
-
K Chauke MID371
4
-
D Willis MID2412
4
-
O Dodgson MID2114
9
-
J. Larsson FWD102
-
J McKiernan FWD1911
6
1
R Burrell FWD30112
-
Subs
H Isted GLK3
-
F Delap DEF41
1
-
A Forde MID10
-
T Kalinauskas FWD3713
4
-
J Bödvarsson FWD1351
-
F Tavares FWD921
-
M Bennett FWD321
7
-
Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4119712
C KlarerJ StansfieldA MayC Klarer
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Allsop GLK371
5
-
A Sampsted DEF171
-
C Klarer DEF413
12
-
G Hanley DEF13
1
-
A Cochrane DEF4112
5
-
T Iwata MID3961
7
-
M Leonard MID334
2
-
K Dowell MID1854
2
-
W Willumsson MID3966
-
T Gardner-Hickman MID3132
6
-
J Stansfield FWD36193
7
-
Subs
B Peacock-Farrell GLK8
-
E Laird DEF3343
6
-
B Davies DEF3511
3
-
S Paik MID3913
1
-
K Anderson  MID3575
6
-
L Harris MID2731
5
-
A May FWD43167
3
-