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Doncaster Rovers v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:00 BST, The Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster

Gary Bowyer guides his Burton Albion troops to The Keepmoat Stadium in the League One on Saturday afternoon, with Grant McCann's Doncaster Rovers the opponent. All the odds are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League One match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Doncaster and Burton will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Grant McCann or Gary Bowyer has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Doncaster are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Doncaster
57%
13/20
8%
-
Draw
23%
27/10
6%
-
Burton
20%
15/4
19%
-
Doncaster 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
Doncaster 2-1
10%
15/2-
Doncaster 2-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Doncaster 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Doncaster 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Burton 1-0
6%
12/1-
Burton 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Doncaster 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Burton 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Doncaster 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Doncaster 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
-
Burton 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/8
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
20%
-
Home/draw
80%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
43%
6/5
13%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
73%
1/4
6%
-
Away DNB
36%
11/4
15%
-
Doncaster win to nil
31%
7/4
19%
-
Burton win to nil
10%
8/1
13%
-
Doncaster / Doncaster
32%
8/5
10%
-
Doncaster / Burton
2%
33/1-
Doncaster / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Doncaster
18%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Burton
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Burton / Doncaster
4%
20/1-
Burton / Burton
10%
7/1
14%
-
Burton / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
Doncaster
Burton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Plymouth9513516 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 13
Apr 13
w
 
0-1F
2
Bradford8512316 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Oct 20
Jan 19
3
Huddersfield8431715 
Nov 26
May 1
l
 
1-3A
Apr 27
4
Sheff Wed7421714 
Oct 24
Jan 23
Dec 26
Mar 29
5
Stockport8413713 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Mar 26
Jan 2
6
Cambridge8341213 
Apr 3
Dec 29
d
 
2-2F
Feb 13
7
Reading8332712 
May 8
Dec 1
Dec 12
Apr 10
8
Burton9333-112 
Oct 10
Apr 24
-
-
9
AFC Wim8332-212 
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
Feb 9
10
Oxford Utd6321611 
-
Apr 13
Feb 20
l
 
3-0A
11
L Orient8314210 
Nov 14
Feb 27
Oct 24
Jan 23
12
Wycombe8242-310 
Jan 9
Dec 19
Jan 30
Oct 31
13
Stevenage723239 
Feb 6
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
14
Leicester7232-29 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Mar 13
w
 
1-2F
15
Blackpool722308 
Mar 26
Jan 1
Jan 8
Dec 19
16
Luton7223-28 
Apr 27
-
Nov 21
Mar 20
17
Mansfield7223-38 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 17
18
Barnsley7223-58 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 13
Apr 3
Dec 29
19
Bromley7223-108 
Dec 12
Mar 29
May 1
Nov 28
20
Notts C7142-27 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
Feb 6
l
 
2-1F
21
Doncaster7133-16 
-
-
Apr 24
Oct 10
22
MK Dons7061-26 
Jan 30
Oct 31
Feb 27
Nov 14
23
Peterborough8125-95 
Apr 17
w
 
0-2F
Jan 16
Oct 17
24
Wigan7115-74 
Dec 26
Apr 10
Dec 1
May 8
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Doncaster 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Doncaster2 - 3Plymouth
Doncaster1 - 1Notts C
Doncaster0 - 0Barnsley
Doncaster1 - 1Stevenage
Doncaster0 - 2Lincoln
Doncaster1 - 0Reading
Doncaster0 - 2Mansfield
Doncaster1 - 0Port Vale
Doncaster2 - 1Blackpool
Doncaster1 - 1Luton
Doncaster0 - 4Cardiff
Doncaster1 - 0Huddersfield
Doncaster3 - 0L Orient
Doncaster3 - 3Wigan
Doncaster1 - 1Bolton
Doncaster1 - 5Plymouth
Doncaster0 - 2Stockport
Doncaster2 - 1Peterborough
Doncaster1 - 2Barnsley
Doncaster1 - 2Northampton
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADoncaster2 - 0Peterborough
ADoncaster0 - 1AFC Wim
HDoncaster2 - 3Plymouth
HDoncaster1 - 1Notts C
ADoncaster2 - 2Stevenage
HDoncaster0 - 0Barnsley
ADoncaster1 - 2Mansfield
ADoncaster3 - 1Peterborough
HDoncaster1 - 1Stevenage
HDoncaster0 - 2Lincoln
ADoncaster3 - 1Northampton
HDoncaster1 - 0Reading
ADoncaster0 - 3Exeter
HDoncaster0 - 2Mansfield
HDoncaster1 - 0Port Vale
ADoncaster1 - 0Barnsley
ADoncaster0 - 0Bolton
HDoncaster2 - 1Blackpool
HDoncaster1 - 1Luton
ADoncaster1 - 2Plymouth
Burton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth0 - 1Burton
Oxford Utd3 - 0Burton
Notts C2 - 1Burton
Leicester1 - 2Burton
L Orient2 - 2Burton
Peterborough1 - 1Burton
Mansfield0 - 0Burton
Blackpool1 - 0Burton
Northampton0 - 2Burton
Exeter1 - 1Burton
Wycombe3 - 0Burton
Luton1 - 1Burton
Port Vale2 - 2Burton
Bolton2 - 1Burton
Lincoln2 - 1Burton
Plymouth3 - 0Burton
Reading2 - 0Burton
Stevenage2 - 2Burton
Wigan1 - 0Burton
Bradford1 - 2Burton
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurton1 - 3Huddersfield
ABurton1 - 0Plymouth
HBurton2 - 2Mansfield
ABurton0 - 3Oxford Utd
HBurton2 - 2Cambridge
HBurton4 - 1AFC Wim
ABurton1 - 2Notts C
ABurton2 - 1Leicester
HBurton1 - 1Stevenage
ABurton2 - 2L Orient
HBurton1 - 1Exeter
ABurton1 - 1Peterborough
HBurton1 - 0AFC Wim
ABurton0 - 0Mansfield
HBurton1 - 1Barnsley
ABurton0 - 1Blackpool
HBurton2 - 1Bradford
HBurton1 - 2Reading
ABurton2 - 0Northampton
HBurton0 - 1Stevenage
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Doncaster since 2016
Doncaster
Burton
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
DON
1
D
4
BAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Doncaster
Draw1 - 1Draw
Doncaster2 - 0
0 - 3Burton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Burton since 2015
Burton
Doncaster
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
DON
2
D
1
BAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
1 - 2Doncaster
Burton2 - 0
1 - 3Doncaster
Burton1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Goal Statistics
Doncaster 21st Burton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Doncaster will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Doncaster have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Burton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2026/2027 season
Doncaster
PG (predicted goals)
Burton
1.8
1
Attack rating
DON
BAL
38%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
6
Goals scored8
14
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for13
23
Avg. XG for1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
21%
better
DON
BAL
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded9
15
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%

Doncaster v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Doncaster League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7224
T. SimkimJ SeniorB McCannJ Senior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Simkim GLK7
1
-
N Byrne DEF7
1
-
J Senior DEF72
4
-
R Gotts MID71
-
O Bailey MID71
1
-
I Hutchinson MID72
2
-
A May FWD72
-
B Hanlan FWD7
-
S Grehan DEF61
1
-
G Broadbent MID6
-
L. Ayinde FWD61
1
-
J McGrath DEF5
1
-
B McCann DEF52
-
J. Thomas FWD51
1
-
T O'Reilly MID4
-
J Husband DEF3
-
H Clifton MID3
1
-
H Adelakun FWD3
-
J Sterry DEF2
-
M Pearson DEF1
-
D Robinson MID1
-
Burton League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9334
C AddaiJ ArmerK LofthouseS. Krubally
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Addai GLK9
-
J Armer DEF931
2
-
S. Krubally MID92
4
-
W Collar MID9
1
-
C Webster MID91
-
K Chauke MID91
-
C Tilt DEF81
3
1
K Lofthouse DEF73
1
-
F Delap DEF73
1
-
T Sibbick DEF7
-
K Adom FWD7
-
G Evans MID61
1
-
C. Vickers FWD612
-
R Rodrigues FWD5
-
Z. Scutt FWD5
-
M Dennis FWD51
1
-
H. Araujo DEF4
-
J Lewis DEF3
1
-
E. Adeile DEF3
-
J Sraha DEF1
-