Oxford United's team badge MK Dons's team badge

Oxford United v MK Dons : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Home advantage can be vital in the League One, and Matt Bloomfield’s Oxford United will have the joy of it on Saturday lunch time. Paul Warne’s MK Dons are their visitors to The Kassam Stadium. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this League One clash.

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Oxford United's next match is v Stevenage at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd August
MK Dons's next match is v Huddersfield at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd August
The last English League One meeting between Oxford Utd and MK Dons was on Saturday 15th August 2026
English League One
August 15th 2026
Oxford Utd 2
2 MK Dons
 
M. Harris 20'29' C. Goode
C. Brown 90'34' A. Collins
 
OXF
MKD
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
3
11
Corners
8
9
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
Oxford UtdMK Dons
 
J. Cumming
S. Long
C. Brownfootball icon
C. Brannagan
M. Harrisfootball icon
A. Emakhu
T. Goodhram
B. Spencer (P. Kioso 77')
J. Currie
J. McDonnell (G. O'Donkor 64')
S. Dembele (M. Missanga 78')
C. MacGillivray
G. Jones
(J. Sanders 78') football iconC. Goode
M. Ekpiteta
C. Nelson
(J. Matete 74') D. Barlaser
R. Wintle
B. Wiles
(C. Paterson 74') S. Nombe
(N. Mendez-Laing 69') football iconA. Collins
C. Bramall

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this game will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Oxford Utd and MK Dons have rarely treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in League One individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oxford Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oxford Utd
43%
5/4
7%
11/8
11%
Draw
26%
23/10
3%
23/10
3%
MK Dons
31%
21/10
11%
21/10
11%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/19/2
Oxford Utd 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
Oxford Utd 2-1
9%
17/27/1
MK Dons 1-0
9%
8/1
11%
7/1
6%
Oxford Utd 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
Draw 0-0
8%
8/115/2
6%
MK Dons 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
17/2
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
MK Dons 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Oxford Utd 3-1
4%
18/1
11%
16/1
13%
Oxford Utd 3-0
4%
20/1
10%
16/1
13%
MK Dons 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Oxford Utd 3-2
2%
28/1
17%
22/1
MK Dons 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
MK Dons 3-0
2%
33/122/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
43/4011/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/114/6
1%
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/6
6%
17/20
6%
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
7%
6/5
8%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/115/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/55/6
1%
BTTS - No
48%
19/2010/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/4
5%
19/5
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
7%
19/4
12%
Home/draw
69%
4/11
8%
4/11
5%
Away/draw
57%
8/13
3%
4/7
6%
Home/away
74%
1/3
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/37/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/42/1
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/411/4
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/41/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/115/2
6%
Home DNB
61%
8/13
9%
13/20
10%
Away DNB
50%
6/5
12%
23/20
10%
Oxford Utd win to nil
23%
11/4
7%
-
MK Dons win to nil
17%
9/2
9%
-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd
22%
11/4
11%
13/5
13%
Oxford Utd / MK Dons
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Oxford Utd / Draw
7%
12/1
15%
10/1
Draw / Oxford Utd
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / MK Dons
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
13%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
2%
MK Dons / Oxford Utd
3%
25/1
12%
20/1
MK Dons / MK Dons
16%
4/1
9%
18/5
12%
MK Dons / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
Oxford Utd
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Huddersfield110033 
Feb 9
Sep 1
Aug 22
Mar 13
2
Stockport110023 
Oct 3
Apr 27
Jan 9
Dec 19
3
Bradford110023 
Oct 24
Jan 23
May 8
Dec 1
4
Luton110013 
Feb 27
Nov 28
Oct 17
Jan 16
5
Cambridge110013 
Sep 19
Apr 17
Dec 12
Mar 29
6
Mansfield110013 
Jan 16
Oct 15
Mar 20
Nov 21
7
Sheff Wed110013 
Dec 1
May 8
Mar 26
Apr 24
8
Bromley110013 
Apr 3
Dec 29
Sep 26
Apr 13
9
MK Dons101001 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 6
-
-
10
Oxford Utd101001 
-
-
Mar 6
d
 
2-2A
11
Stevenage101001 
Mar 13
Aug 22
Jan 23
Oct 24
12
Blackpool101001 
Dec 12
Mar 29
Jan 19
Oct 20
13
Leicester101001 
Feb 13
Sep 5
Aug 29
Feb 6
14
Notts C101001 
Apr 24
Oct 10
Nov 28
May 1
15
Burton101001 
Sep 12
Feb 20
Nov 14
Feb 27
16
Wycombe101001 
Nov 21
Mar 20
Feb 13
Sep 5
17
Reading1001-10 
Sep 8
Feb 6
Oct 10
Jan 1
18
Wigan1001-10 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Feb 9
Sep 2
19
Doncaster1001-10 
Apr 13
Sep 26
Oct 31
Jan 30
20
L Orient1001-10 
Mar 26
Jan 1
Dec 26
Apr 10
21
Barnsley1001-10 
Jan 30
Oct 31
Apr 27
Oct 3
22
Plymouth1001-20 
Dec 26
Apr 10
Apr 3
Dec 29
23
Peterborough1001-20 
May 1
Nov 14
Sep 12
Feb 20
24
AFC Wim1001-30 
Jan 9
Dec 19
Apr 17
Sep 17
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
11
MK Dons have not lost in 11 consecutive away league games
Oxford Utd 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
MK Dons 9TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Oxford Utd since 2017
Oxford Utd
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
OXF
4
MKD
1
League games at MK Dons since 2016
MK Dons
Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
OXF
1
D
4
MKD
1
Goal Statistics

MK Dons's defensive record is very strong, P. Warne's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive League One games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Oxford United makes sense in this context.

Oxford Utd 10th MK Dons 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Oxford Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Oxford Utd have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
MK Dons have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2026/2027 season
Oxford Utd
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
0%
better
OXF
MKD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
OXF
MKD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Oxford Utd v MK Dons League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Oxford Utd League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
J CummingC BrownG O'DonkorC Brannagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cumming GLK1
-
S Long DEF1
-
B Spencer DEF1
-
C Brown DEF11
-
J Currie DEF1
-
J. McDonnell MID1
-
C Brannagan MID1
1
-
A Emakhu MID1
-
T Goodrham MID1
-
S Dembélé MID1
-
M Harris FWD11
1
-
Subs
S Eastwood GLK
-
M Helik DEF
-
P Kioso DEF1
-
L Sibley MID
-
G O'Donkor FWD11
-
L. Snowden FWD
-
M. Missanga FWD1
-
MK Dons League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
C MacGillivrayC GoodeR WintleM Ekpiteta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C MacGillivray GLK1
-
M Ekpiteta DEF1
1
-
C Nelson DEF1
-
C Goode DEF11
1
-
R Wintle MID11
-
G Jones MID1
-
B Wiles MID1
-
C Bramall MID1
-
D Barlaser MID11
-
A Collins FWD11
-
S Nombe FWD1
-
Subs
S. Stacey GLK
-
J Sanders DEF1
-
J Matete MID1
1
-
S. Troso MID
-
D Crowley MID
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1
-
C Paterson FWD1
-