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Rotherham United v Northampton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 27th Jan, 19:45 BST, AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

the AESSEAL New York Stadium crowd welcome Northampton Town's travelling contingent on Tuesday evening, as Matthew Hamshaw's Rotherham United face Kevin Nolan's team in the League One. Analysing both teams' last 20 League One matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rotherham 39%	-	-
Draw 28%	-	-
Northampton 34%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Rotherham 1-0 11%	-	-
Northampton 1-0 10%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Rotherham 2-1 8%	-	-
Northampton 2-1 8%	-	-
Rotherham 2-0 7%	-	-
Northampton 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Rotherham 3-1 3%	-	-
Rotherham 3-0 3%	-	-
Northampton 3-1 3%	-	-
Northampton 3-0 2%	-	-
Rotherham 3-2 2%	-	-
Northampton 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	-	-
BTTS - No 51%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 66%	-	-
Away/draw 61%	-	-
Home/away 72%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 58%	-	-
Away DNB 53%	-	-
Rotherham win to nil 22%	-	-
Northampton win to nil 19%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Rotherham have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Rotherham have conceded 33 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rotherham have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Northampton lay in 20th place on 29 points in the League One league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Northampton have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Northampton have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Rotherham Northampton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	25	16	4	5	18	52	Feb 7	l 3-0A	l 1-3A	Apr 25
2	Lincoln	25	14	6	5	14	48	w 3-0F	Mar 21	l 0-1A	Feb 17
3	Bradford	24	13	7	4	9	46	d 2-2F	-	d 0-00-0	Apr 3
4	Stockport	25	12	6	7	4	42	l 0-1A	Jan 17	d 0-00-0	Mar 17
5	Huddersfield	26	11	6	9	10	39	l 1-3A	Mar 7	d 1-1F	l 2-0A
6	Bolton	25	10	9	6	7	39	Mar 14	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0
7	Luton	25	11	5	9	5	38	Mar 28	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	Apr 11
8	Stevenage	23	10	7	6	7	37	Apr 3	l 1-0A	Feb 7	l 2-0A
9	Reading	24	9	8	7	4	35	Apr 25	d 1-1F	Jan 31	l 1-0A
10	Peterborough	25	11	2	12	-1	35	l 0-2A	Mar 17	Feb 28	l 2-1A
11	Wycombe	25	8	9	8	4	33	d 1-1A	May 2	Jan 17	l 2-0A
12	Mansfield	23	9	5	9	3	32	-	l 2-1F	w 2-1A	Mar 21
13	AFC Wim	24	9	4	11	-6	31	Jan 24	l 2-1F	w 3-1F	Mar 7
14	Exeter	24	9	3	12	2	30	w 1-0F	Jan 31	w 2-0F	Feb 14
15	Wigan	24	7	9	8	-1	30	d 2-2A	Feb 14	Apr 6	l 3-1A
16	Plymouth	25	9	3	13	-7	30	Feb 28	l 1-0A	May 2	w 0-3F
17	Barnsley	21	8	5	8	0	29	Apr 11	w 0-1F	Mar 28	-
18	L Orient	25	8	5	12	-6	29	w 1-0F	Apr 18	Feb 21	w 0-1F
19	Blackpool	25	8	5	12	-6	29	l 0-3A	l 4-0A	w 1-0F	Jan 24
20	Northampton	24	8	5	11	-6	29	Jan 27	w 1-2A	-	-
21	Burton	24	7	6	11	-11	27	d 2-2A	Feb 17	Mar 14	l 5-1A
22	Rotherham	24	6	6	12	-13	24	-	-	l 1-2F	Jan 27
23	Doncaster	24	6	5	13	-17	23	Feb 21	l 1-0A	Apr 18	w 1-2A
24	Port Vale	23	4	6	13	-13	18	w 2-1F	Apr 6	Feb 24	d 0-00-0

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
Rotherham	3 - 0	Lincoln
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	1 - 0	L Orient
Rotherham	2 - 2	Bradford
Rotherham	0 - 1	Stockport
Rotherham	1 - 0	Exeter
Rotherham	2 - 2	Wigan
Rotherham	2 - 1	Port Vale
Rotherham	2 - 1	Peterborough
Rotherham	3 - 3	Mansfield
Rotherham	2 - 1	Blackpool
Rotherham	0 - 4	Crawley
Rotherham	2 - 3	Wycombe
Rotherham	1 - 1	Exeter
Rotherham	1 - 0	L Orient
Rotherham	0 - 1	Barnsley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Rotherham	0 - 2	Peterborough
A	Rotherham	0 - 4	Blackpool
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	Bolton
H	Rotherham	1 - 3	Huddersfield
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Rotherham	0 - 3	Blackpool
H	Rotherham	1 - 1	Wycombe
A	Rotherham	1 - 1	Reading
A	Rotherham	0 - 0	Luton
H	Rotherham	3 - 0	Lincoln
H	Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
A	Rotherham	1 - 0	Barnsley
H	Rotherham	1 - 0	L Orient
A	Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
H	Rotherham	2 - 2	Bradford
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	Mansfield
H	Rotherham	0 - 1	Stockport
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	AFC Wim
H	Rotherham	1 - 0	Exeter
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Doncaster

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
Huddersfield	2 - 0	Northampton
Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
Peterborough	2 - 1	Northampton
Plymouth	0 - 3	Northampton
Reading	1 - 0	Northampton
Doncaster	1 - 2	Northampton
Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
Wycombe	2 - 0	Northampton
L Orient	0 - 1	Northampton
Stevenage	2 - 0	Northampton
Wigan	3 - 1	Northampton
Crawley	3 - 0	Northampton
Charlton	2 - 1	Northampton
Peterborough	0 - 4	Northampton
Cambridge	1 - 1	Northampton
L Orient	1 - 2	Northampton
Exeter	1 - 1	Northampton
Mansfield	0 - 1	Northampton
Bolton	3 - 1	Northampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Northampton	0 - 0	Bolton
H	Northampton	0 - 0	Stockport
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Huddersfield
A	Northampton	1 - 5	Burton
H	Northampton	3 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Northampton	1 - 2	Peterborough
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Northampton	3 - 0	Plymouth
H	Northampton	1 - 3	Cardiff
H	Northampton	2 - 1	Mansfield
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Luton
A	Northampton	0 - 1	Reading
A	Northampton	2 - 1	Doncaster
H	Northampton	1 - 2	Rotherham
A	Northampton	0 - 0	Port Vale
H	Northampton	2 - 0	Bolton
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Wycombe
H	Northampton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Northampton	1 - 0	L Orient
H	Northampton	2 - 0	Exeter

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Rotherham

Northampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

0 / 7

RTH

NHT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
Rotherham	3 - 0
Rotherham	1 - 0
Rotherham	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Rotherham	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Northampton

Northampton

Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

RTH

NHT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Northampton
	1 - 2	Rotherham
	0 - 2	Rotherham
	0 - 3	Rotherham
Northampton	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Northampton	3 - 1
Northampton	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Rotherham United of late. It has been 9 League One matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Northampton Town.

	Rotherham 22nd	Northampton 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Rotherham will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Northampton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-9 Rotherham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Northampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

better

RTH

NHT

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

RTH

NHT

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Rotherham v Northampton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Rotherham League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	5	2	6
C Dawson	S Nombe	R James	D. Gore

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Dawson GLK	24			2 -
J Powell MID	23		1	1 -
J Hugill FWD	23	2	1	4 -
D Hall DEF	22	3	1	2 -
D. Gore MID	22		1	6 -
J Rafferty DEF	21	1	1	1 -
R James DEF	21	1	2	2 -
A Martha FWD	21	1	1	3 -
S McWilliams MID	16	1		1 -
J. Baptiste DEF	15		1	4 1
Z Jules DEF	15			5 1
D Yearwood MID	15			2 -
J Benson MID	14	2	2	1 -
K Spence MID	13	2		5 -
M. Kaleta DEF	12		1	-
L Kelly MID	12			2 -
K Etete FWD	11		1	2 -
H Douglas DEF	9	1		2 -
S Nombe FWD	9	5		1 -
S Raggett DEF	8			2 -
T Holmes DEF	7			-
M. Sherif FWD	7	2		-
L. Agbaire DEF	6			2 -
J Holmes MID	4			-
J. Ayres FWD	4			1 -
J Kayode FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	2	5
S Nombe	J Hugill	R James	J Powell

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Nombe FWD	5	8		1
D Hall DEF	3	7	1	1
J Hugill FWD	2	10	1	3
J Benson MID	2	3	2	3
K Spence MID	2	9
M. Sherif FWD	2	7
J Rafferty DEF	1	2	1
R James DEF	1	3	2	4
A Martha FWD	1	3	1	2
S McWilliams MID	1	3		2
H Douglas DEF	1	2
J Powell MID		3	1	5
D. Gore MID		2	1	2
J. Baptiste DEF		1	1	1
D Yearwood MID		1
M. Kaleta DEF		2	1	1
K Etete FWD		4	1	2
T Holmes DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
821	43	120
C Dawson	D. Gore	J Hugill

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Dawson GLK	821		17
J Powell MID	794	32	99
D. Gore MID	722	43	120
R James DEF	660	27	63
J Rafferty DEF	578	25	55
D Hall DEF	457	32	65
J. Baptiste DEF	390	32	85
A Martha FWD	360	25	71
Z Jules DEF	360	12	67
S McWilliams MID	340	33	69
J Hugill FWD	262	6	120
K Spence MID	254	27	47
H Douglas DEF	252	5	43
J Benson MID	210	12	34
D Yearwood MID	209	16	35
T Holmes DEF	151	2	20
L Kelly MID	149	12	25
M. Kaleta DEF	134	15	39
L. Agbaire DEF	125	7	24
S Raggett DEF	114	4	20
K Etete FWD	78	5	42
S Nombe FWD	58	1	28
M. Sherif FWD	42	7	24
J. Ayres FWD	17		9
J Holmes MID	10	2	5
J Kayode FWD	10	1	7

Northampton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	4	4	5
T Taylor	S Hoskins	D Campbell	J Thorniley

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Taylor MID	22		2	3 -
E. Wheatley FWD	22	3	1	4 -
D Campbell MID	21		4	1 -
S Hoskins FWD	20	4		3 -
C McCarthy DEF	19	1	2	4 -
N Guinness-Walker DEF	19	1	2	1 -
T Fornah MID	19		1	3 -
J Thorniley DEF	18		1	5 -
E List FWD	18	1		1 -
M Dyche DEF	17	1		-
J. Perkins MID	17	1	2	2 1
K Simon-Swyer FWD	17			1 -
R Fitzsimons GLK	16			1 -
M. Forbes DEF	16	1	1	1 -
C McGeehan MID	16	4	1	1 -
J Burroughs DEF	15			1 -
T Eaves FWD	14	4		-
J Wormleighton DEF	11			1 -
J Willis DEF	9	1		-
K Edwards FWD	9			-
L Burge GLK	8			-
J Vale FWD	6			-
M Jacobs FWD	6			-
J Guthrie DEF	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	4	4
S Hoskins	C McGeehan	D Campbell	T Taylor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Hoskins FWD	4	6		1
C McGeehan MID	4	14	1	1
T Eaves FWD	4	7		1
E. Wheatley FWD	3	12	1	2
C McCarthy DEF	1	2	2	3
N Guinness-Walker DEF	1	2	2
E List FWD	1	5		2
M Dyche DEF	1	1		1
J. Perkins MID	1	2	2	1
M. Forbes DEF	1	1	1
J Willis DEF	1	1
T Taylor MID		3	2	4
D Campbell MID		3	4	4
T Fornah MID		4	1	2
J Thorniley DEF			1	1
K Simon-Swyer FWD		1
J Wormleighton DEF		1
K Edwards FWD		2		1
M Jacobs FWD		2		1
J Guthrie DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
792	37	105
D Campbell	D Campbell	C McCarthy

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Campbell MID	792	37	94
T Taylor MID	643	30	99
R Fitzsimons GLK	589	2	8
C McCarthy DEF	504	29	105
N Guinness-Walker DEF	455	30	84
J Thorniley DEF	440	17	80
M. Forbes DEF	415	9	85
M Dyche DEF	353	12	62
S Hoskins FWD	347	26	60
T Fornah MID	282	21	67
J. Perkins MID	277	21	50
L Burge GLK	271	1	4
C McGeehan MID	263	15	73
J Burroughs DEF	252	30	59
E. Wheatley FWD	215	22	74
K Simon-Swyer FWD	124	9	45
J Willis DEF	114	5	18
E List FWD	99	15	45
T Eaves FWD	86	3	47
J Wormleighton DEF	77	16	32
K Edwards FWD	64	6	18
J Guthrie DEF	51	4	23
M Jacobs FWD	40	2	12
J Vale FWD	22	5	15