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Stevenage v Luton Town : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 10th Sep, 20:00 BST, Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Home advantage can be vital in the League One, and Alex Revell’s Stevenage will have the luxury of it on Thursday night. Jack Wilshere’s Luton Town are their visitors to the Lamex Stadium. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stevenage
40%
--
Draw
28%
--
Luton
32%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Stevenage 1-0
12%
--
Luton 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Stevenage 2-1
8%
--
Stevenage 2-0
8%
--
Luton 2-1
7%
--
Luton 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Stevenage 3-1
3%
--
Stevenage 3-0
3%
--
Luton 3-1
3%
--
Luton 3-0
2%
--
Stevenage 3-2
2%
--
Luton 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Stevenage win to nil
24%
--
Luton win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
Stevenage
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bradford220036 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Sep 19
Apr 17
2
Huddersfield211034 
May 8
Dec 1
Apr 13
Sep 26
3
Luton211014 
Sep 10
Feb 20
-
-
4
Cambridge211014 
Jan 9
Dec 18
Nov 14
May 1
5
Oxford Utd211014 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 13
Nov 28
Feb 27
6
Blackpool211014 
Nov 28
May 1
May 8
Dec 1
7
Burton211014 
Mar 6
d
 
1-1A
Mar 20
Nov 21
8
Bromley211014 
Mar 26
Jan 1
Dec 26
Apr 10
9
Stockport210113 
Dec 12
Apr 10
Sep 2
Feb 9
10
L Orient210113 
Apr 17
Sep 19
Sep 5
Feb 13
11
Mansfield210103 
Nov 14
Feb 27
Feb 6
Aug 30
12
Sheff Wed210103 
Sep 26
Apr 13
Jan 9
Dec 19
13
Peterborough2101-13 
Feb 9
Sep 1
Jan 30
Oct 31
14
Notts C202002 
Mar 20
Nov 21
d
 
2-2F
Mar 13
15
MK Dons202002 
Oct 24
Jan 23
Jan 16
Oct 17
16
Wycombe202002 
Apr 3
Dec 29
Apr 24
Oct 10
17
Reading2011-11 
Dec 26
Mar 29
Mar 6
w
 
3-4F
18
Stevenage2011-11 
-
-
Feb 20
Sep 10
19
Leicester2011-11 
Jan 30
Oct 31
Oct 24
Jan 23
20
Doncaster2011-11 
Aug 29
Feb 6
Oct 3
Apr 27
21
Barnsley2011-11 
Feb 13
Sep 5
Oct 20
Jan 19
22
Plymouth2011-21 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Mar 26
Jan 2
23
AFC Wim2011-31 
Apr 27
Oct 3
Apr 3
Dec 29
24
Wigan2002-30 
Oct 10
Apr 24
Dec 12
Mar 29
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stevenage 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stevenage1 - 2Oxford Utd
Stevenage0 - 1Stockport
Stevenage1 - 0Wigan
Stevenage1 - 0Barnsley
Stevenage2 - 2Lincoln
Stevenage1 - 0Blackpool
Stevenage1 - 0Reading
Stevenage1 - 0AFC Wim
Stevenage1 - 2L Orient
Stevenage2 - 1Stockport
Stevenage2 - 1Port Vale
Stevenage1 - 0Huddersfield
Stevenage1 - 0Peterborough
Stevenage1 - 1Mansfield
Stevenage0 - 0Bolton
Stevenage1 - 1Plymouth
Stevenage2 - 2Burton
Stevenage0 - 1Cardiff
Stevenage0 - 0Doncaster
Stevenage1 - 1Bradford
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStevenage1 - 2Oxford Utd
AStevenage1 - 1Burton
AStevenage0 - 2Stockport
HStevenage0 - 1Stockport
HStevenage1 - 0Wigan
AStevenage1 - 1Doncaster
HStevenage1 - 0Barnsley
HStevenage2 - 2Lincoln
AStevenage1 - 5Bolton
AStevenage1 - 0Bradford
HStevenage1 - 0Blackpool
AStevenage0 - 0Rotherham
HStevenage1 - 0Reading
AStevenage0 - 1Plymouth
HStevenage1 - 0AFC Wim
HStevenage1 - 2L Orient
AStevenage1 - 0Burton
HStevenage2 - 1Stockport
AStevenage1 - 3Wycombe
HStevenage2 - 1Port Vale
Luton 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Reading3 - 4Luton
Bolton2 - 3Luton
Rotherham0 - 2Luton
Mansfield2 - 2Luton
AFC Wim0 - 3Luton
Wycombe1 - 2Luton
Doncaster1 - 1Luton
Port Vale1 - 1Luton
Wigan1 - 0Luton
Cardiff3 - 1Luton
Huddersfield1 - 0Luton
Plymouth1 - 0Luton
Exeter1 - 0Luton
Reading3 - 2Luton
L Orient1 - 1Luton
Barnsley5 - 0Luton
Stockport0 - 3Luton
Northampton0 - 1Luton
Stevenage2 - 0Luton
Blackpool2 - 2Luton
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuton2 - 2Notts C
ALuton4 - 3Reading
ALuton3 - 2Bolton
HLuton2 - 1Barnsley
ALuton2 - 0Rotherham
ALuton2 - 2Mansfield
HLuton2 - 1Northampton
ALuton3 - 0AFC Wim
HLuton2 - 1Peterborough
HLuton1 - 1Stockport
HLuton3 - 2Exeter
ALuton2 - 1Wycombe
ALuton1 - 1Doncaster
HLuton2 - 3Reading
ALuton1 - 1Port Vale
HLuton1 - 1Burton
ALuton0 - 1Wigan
ALuton1 - 3Cardiff
HLuton2 - 1Bradford
HLuton1 - 0Blackpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stevenage since 2014
Stevenage
Luton
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
STV
2
D
2
LUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stevenage
Stevenage2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stevenage2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Luton
League games at Luton since 2015
Luton
Stevenage
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
STV
2
LUT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton2 - 1
Luton7 - 1
0 - 2Stevenage
0 - 1Stevenage
Luton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stevenage of late. It has been 7 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Luton Town.

Stevenage 18th Luton 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Stevenage have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Luton have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2026/2027 season
Stevenage
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
STV
LUT
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STV
LUT
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Stevenage v Luton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
F MarschallJ RobertsJ MagennisL Freestone
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Marschall GLK2
-
T Vancooten DEF2
-
S Earley DEF2
-
C Piergianni DEF2
-
L Freestone DEF2
1
-
T Taylor MID2
-
J Houghton MID2
-
J Roberts MID21
-
D Phillips MID2
-
L Thompson MID2
-
D Kemp MID2
-
J Reid FWD2
1
-
P Patterson FWD2
-
O. Sanderson FWD21
-
J Magennis FWD21
-
L James-Wildin DEF1
-
J Pattenden DEF1
-
Luton League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2212
J KeeleyK PalmerK PalmerL Walsh 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Keeley GLK2
-
H Ashby DEF2
-
G Johnston DEF2
1
-
K Naismith DEF2
1
-
M Andersen DEF2
-
K Palmer MID221
1
-
L Walsh  MID2
2
-
J Clark MID21
-
J. Richards MID211
-
I Jones FWD2
-
N Wells FWD211
1
-
G. Kadua FWD21
1
-
E. Lawrence FWD2
-
C Marshall FWD21
-
H Odoffin MID1
-