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Accrington Stanley v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 15:00 BST, Wham Stadium, Accrington

Accrington Stanley and their manager John Doolan will be aiming to beat Paul Warne and his MK Dons side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Wham Stadium in the League Two. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Accrington and MK Dons will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookies have it available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of MK Dons coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Accrington
34%
23/10-
Draw
26%
21/10-
MK Dons
40%
11/10-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
MK Dons 1-0
10%
6/1-
Accrington 1-0
9%
17/2-
MK Dons 2-1
9%
8/1-
Accrington 2-1
8%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2-
MK Dons 2-0
7%
9/1-
Accrington 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
MK Dons 3-1
4%
18/1-
Accrington 3-1
3%
28/1-
MK Dons 3-0
3%
20/1-
MK Dons 3-2
3%
28/1-
Accrington 3-0
2%
40/1-
Accrington 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/4-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
54%
5/6-
BTTS - No
46%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
15/4-
Home/draw
60%
8/13-
Away/draw
66%
3/10-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/2-
Home DNB
52%
11/8-
Away DNB
58%
8/15-
Accrington win to nil
18%
9/2-
MK Dons win to nil
21%
5/2-
Accrington / Accrington
15%
9/2-
Accrington / MK Dons
3%
25/1-
Accrington / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Accrington
12%
6/1-
Draw / MK Dons
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
MK Dons / Accrington
2%
33/1-
MK Dons / MK Dons
24%
5/2-
MK Dons / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win League Two table

Accrington have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Accrington have conceded 19 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Accrington have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 5th place on 41 points in the League Two league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 12 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Accrington
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley2515641751 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
2
Swindon2414461346 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
3
Walsall241347943 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
4
Salford241347443 
Feb 5
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 28
5
MK Dons2511861841 
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
-
-
6
Cambridge241185941 
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 28
7
Chesterfield2510105740 
Mar 21
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
8
Notts C2411671039 
Mar 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
9
Colchester249961036 
w
 
1-0F
-
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
10
Crewe251069636 
Apr 3
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
11
Barnet24987635 
-
l
 
2-0A
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
12
Grimsby24978534 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
13
Fleetwood24978234 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 2
14
Accrington24969133 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Jan 17
15
Oldham247116532 
w
 
1-0F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
16
Gillingham247116332 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
w
 
3-2F
-
17
Tranmere25889032 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
18
Cheltenham259313-1630 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
Feb 7
19
Barrow246612-924 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 14
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
20
Bristol R246315-2321 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 28
Jan 27
w
 
0-4F
21
Crawley254714-1719 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
d
 
1-1A
22
Shrewsbury244713-2019 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
w
 
1-2F
23
Harrogate254615-2118 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 7
w
 
0-4F
24
Newport244515-1917 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Feb 14
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Accrington 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
MK Dons 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Accrington since 2006
Accrington
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
ASY
4
D
1
MKD
3
League games at MK Dons since 2007
MK Dons
Accrington
Goals: Scored
19
8
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
ASY
1
D
1
MKD
6
Goal Statistics
Accrington 16th MK Dons 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Accrington will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Accrington have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-1
MK Dons’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Accrington
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
ASY
MKD
29%
better
view stats
Games scored17
22
Failed to score7
3
Scored first14
15
Goals scored27
46
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
2%
better
ASY
MKD
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded26
28
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

Accrington v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Accrington League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22538
I SinclairT WaltonI SinclairD Love
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Sinclair MID2333
1
-
D Matthews DEF22
7
-
B. Ward DEF222
2
-
O. Wright GLK21
1
-
C Caton FWD203
-
D Love DEF192
8
-
I. Heath FWD1933
2
-
A. Henderson MID1712
5
-
L Coyle MID171
1
-
J Bauress MID17
2
-
S Conneely MID17
3
-
C Grant MID151
1
-
J Woods FWD151
1
-
P Madden FWD1441
2
-
C Brown FWD133
2
-
F Rawson DEF121
2
-
S Whalley FWD1132
4
-
C O'Brien DEF10
1
-
T Walton MID1051
3
-
J. Smith DEF6
1
-
K Mooney FWD5
-
M Kelly GLK3
-
L. Pye DEF3
-
D Martin MID2
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24877
L KellyC PatersonC PatersonL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly MID254
3
-
C MacGillivray GLK24
-
L Offord DEF2411
6
1
A Nemane MID2432
3
-
C Paterson FWD2487
3
-
A Gilbey MID2383
5
-
M Ekpiteta DEF221
2
-
W Collar MID2221
3
-
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD2051
1
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID191
3
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1872
4
-
J Mellish DEF1712
2
1
J Sanders DEF172
4
-
D Crowley MID171
1
-
J Leko FWD151
4
1
G Jones DEF141
1
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID111
1
-
A Collins FWD112
-
J Tomlinson MID10
-
S Hogan FWD81
-
L Maguire  DEF71
2
-
N Thompson DEF5
2
-
C Trueman GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF1
-