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Colchester United v Crewe Alexandra : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester

Saturday afternoon sees Danny Cowley’s Colchester United and Lee Bell’s Crewe Alexandra go up against one another in a League Two battle at the JobServe Community Stadium. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 League Two matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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Crewe Alexandra's next match is v Doncaster at 17:30 on Monday 6th May
The last English League Two meeting between Colchester and Crewe was on Saturday 27th April 2024
English League Two
April 27th 2024
Colchester 1
1 Crewe
 
N. Chilvers 35'90' E. Nevitt
 
COU
CRE
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
2
3
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
9
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
ColchesterCrewe
 
S. Hornby
E. Iandolo
F. Kelleher
C. Hall
J. Mingi
A. Read
C. McGeehan
N. Chilversfootball icon
T. Hopper
J. Akinde (R. Harbottle 68')
J. Fevrier
M. Stryjek
Z. Williams
M. Demetriou
L. Billington
R. Adebisi
(C. Kirk 81') R. Cooney
(J. Austerfield 46') M. Holíček
J. Tabiner
(C. Baker-Richardson 71') S. Tracey
(A. Rowe 46') C. Long
football iconE. Nevitt
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Colchester and Crewe have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in League Two individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Crewe coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Colchester
32%
13/8
13%
17/10
29%
--
Draw
27%
13/8
5%
8/5
26%
--
Crewe
40%
12/5
13%
23/10
6%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
4/1
5%
17/4
19%
--
Crewe 1-0
11%
8/1
6%
15/2
11%
--
Colchester 1-0
10%
7/1
6%
13/2--
Draw 0-0
9%
6/1
17%
5/1
37%
--
Crewe 2-1
8%
11/19/1--
Crewe 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
14/1--
Colchester 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
13%
--
Colchester 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
11/1
26%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1--
Crewe 3-1
4%
25/120/1
11%
--
Crewe 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1--
Colchester 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
31%
--
Colchester 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
20/1
40%
--
Crewe 3-2
2%
40/122/1--
Colchester 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
27/20
4%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
3%
---
Home 1st Goal
46%
10/11
9%
---
Away 1st Goal
49%
13/10
10%
---
No 1st Goal
5%
6/1
17%
---
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/63/4
3%
--
BTTS - No
51%
5/61/1
2%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/1
14%
4/1
32%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
11/4
4%
27/10
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
6/119/4--
Home/draw
60%
3/10
4%
1/3
2%
--
Away/draw
68%
4/9
6%
4/9
17%
--
Home/away
73%
4/9
4%
10/21
14%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5---
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
7/4---
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3/1
8%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1---
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16---
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1---
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66---
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
2%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1
17%
---
Home DNB
52%
8/11
5%
7/10
13%
--
Away DNB
59%
1/1
9%
21/20
16%
--
Colchester win to nil
19%
10/3
4%
---
Crewe win to nil
23%
4/1
11%
---
Colchester / Colchester
20%
10/3
9%
7/2
41%
--
Colchester / Crewe
3%
33/125/1
13%
--
Colchester / Draw
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
--
Draw / Colchester
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
10%
--
Draw / Crewe
12%
11/2
8%
5/1
20%
--
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
15%
12/5
32%
--
Crewe / Colchester
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
21%
--
Crewe / Crewe
16%
4/1
5%
9/2
5%
--
Crewe / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win League Two table

Colchester have played 45 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

41 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 8 and won 11. Colchester have conceded 69 goals, scored 53, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Colchester have played 22 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 33 goals, conceded 40 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Crewe lay in 6th place on 70 points in the League Two league table having played 45 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 35 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 11 and losing 9 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Crewe have conceded 45 goals and have failed to score in 8 matches.

Away league performance

Crewe have played 22 away games, winning 8, drawing 8 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Colchester
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Crewe
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Stockport46271184892 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Wrexham462610103788 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Mansfield46241484386 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
 MK Dons46239141578 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
3-1A
 Doncaster4621817571 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Crewe Away46191413471 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
 Crawley4621718670 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-0A
 Barrow46181513669 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Bradford46191215269 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-3A
 AFC Wim461714151365 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Walsall46181117-465 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
 Gillingham46181018-1164 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Harrogate46171217-963 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-4F
l
 
1-0A
 Notts C4618721361 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Morecambe46171019-1458 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Tranmere4617623-357 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Accrington4616921-857 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Newport4616723-1455 
w
 
4-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Swindon46141220-654 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Salford46131221-1651 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Grimsby46111619-1749 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Colchester Home46111223-2145 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Sutton4691522-2542 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
5-0A
 Forest Green4611926-3442 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-4A
Win / draw / win form
Colchester 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Crewe 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Colchester have beaten Crewe in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Colchester since 2009
Colchester
Crewe
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
COU
4
CRE
5
All league games since 2008
Colchester
Crewe
Goals: Scored
31
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
7 / 20
COU
5
D
3
CRE
12
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Crewe Alexandra of late. It has been 10 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Colchester United.

Colchester 22nd Crewe 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Colchester will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Crewe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Colchester’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Crewe have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics League Two - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261181/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Colchester
PG (predicted goals)
Crewe
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
COU
CRE
3%
better
view stats
Games scored37
35
Failed to score9
11
Scored first20
20
Goals scored59
69
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
COU
CRE
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded41
33
Clean sheets5
13
Conceded first26
22
Goals conceded80
65
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+22%

Colchester v Crewe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Colchester League Two squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
388612
O GoodmanC McGeehan A ReadC McGeehan 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Hornby GLK2
2
-
J Mingi DEF2212
4
-
F Kelleher DEF91
2
-
C Hall DEF37
6
-
J Fevrier MID4033
5
-
N Chilvers MID4331
5
-
A Read MID3856
6
1
E Iandolo MID2012
6
-
C McGeehan  MID3485
12
-
J Akinde FWD2523
1
-
T Hopper FWD3142
4
-
Subs
O Goodman GLK381
2
-
R Harbottle DEF91
2
-
J Richardson DEF9
2
-
C Cooper MID921
1
-
M Jay MID1712
-
B Ihionvien FWD2843
7
-
C Wilkinson FWD71
1
-
Crewe League Two squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4415711
R AdebisiE NevittR AdebisiE Nevitt
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stryjek GLK1
-
L Billington DEF2212
2
-
M Demetriou DEF4486
6
-
Z Williams DEF2922
5
-
R Cooney MID361
8
-
M Holicek MID2411
1
-
J Tabiner MID2014
1
-
R Adebisi MID4447
5
-
S Tracey MID4134
5
-
C Long MID2692
5
-
E Nevitt FWD41152
11
-
Subs
M. Lenarcik GLK
-
A Rowe MID3625
9
-
C Finney MID9
-
J Austerfield MID162
2
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD3591
6
-
C Kirk FWD12
2
-
C. Agius FWD3
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds