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Crawley Town v Notts County : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 15:00 BST, Checkatrade.com Stadium, Crawley

Home advantage is often beneficial in the League Two, and Scott Lindsey’s Crawley Town will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Martin Paterson’s Notts County are their visitors to the Checkatrade.com Stadium. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Crawley and Notts C haven't typically treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in League Two individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Notts C coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Crawley
35%
15/8-
Draw
26%
23/10-
Notts C
38%
5/4-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Notts C 1-0
10%
15/2-
Crawley 1-0
9%
9/1-
Notts C 2-1
8%
17/2-
Crawley 2-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1-
Notts C 2-0
7%
11/1-
Crawley 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Notts C 3-1
4%
18/1-
Crawley 3-1
3%
22/1-
Notts C 3-0
3%
20/1-
Crawley 3-0
3%
28/1-
Notts C 3-2
2%
25/1-
Crawley 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
48%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/6-
BTTS - No
47%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
7/2-
Home/draw
62%
8/15-
Away/draw
65%
4/11-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
54%
11/10-
Away DNB
57%
4/6-
Crawley win to nil
19%
9/2-
Notts C win to nil
21%
3/1-
Crawley / Crawley
18%
15/4-
Crawley / Notts C
3%
25/1-
Crawley / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Crawley
12%
6/1-
Draw / Notts C
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Notts C / Crawley
3%
28/1-
Notts C / Notts C
22%
11/4-
Notts C / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win League Two table

Crawley have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Crawley have conceded 42 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Crawley have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Notts C lay in 8th place on 39 points in the League Two league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Notts C have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Notts C have played 12 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Crawley
Notts C
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley2515641751 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 14
2
Swindon2414461346 
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
Jan 27
d
 
2-2F
3
Walsall241347943 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 27
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 7
4
Salford241347443 
May 2
l
 
4-3F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
5
MK Dons2511861841 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
6
Cambridge241185941 
Feb 10
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
7
Chesterfield2510105740 
Feb 21
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
8
Notts C2411671039 
Jan 17
l
 
4-0A
-
-
9
Colchester249961036 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 13
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
10
Crewe251069636 
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
l
 
2-1A
11
Barnet24987635 
Mar 17
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
12
Grimsby24978534 
Apr 6
l
 
3-0A
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
13
Fleetwood24978234 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
14
Accrington24969133 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
Mar 17
15
Oldham247116532 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 28
w
 
3-1F
-
16
Gillingham247116332 
Mar 28
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
1-0A
17
Tranmere25889032 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 14
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
18
Cheltenham259313-1630 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
Mar 21
w
 
1-2F
19
Barrow246612-924 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 24
Feb 7
l
 
2-1A
20
Bristol R246315-2321 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 11
May 2
w
 
0-1F
21
Crawley254714-1719 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
22
Shrewsbury244713-2019 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
Feb 17
23
Harrogate254615-2118 
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 28
24
Newport244515-1917 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Crawley have lost 3 consecutive league games
10
Crawley have not won in 10 consecutive league games
Crawley 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Notts C 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Crawley since 2013
Crawley
Notts C
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
CRA
3
D
2
NOT
3
League games at Notts C since 2012
Notts C
Crawley
Goals: Scored
24
10
Games: Scored
9 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
0 / 9
CRA
1
D
1
NOT
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Crawley Town of late. It has been 5 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Notts County.

Crawley 20th Notts C 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Crawley will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Notts C will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Crawley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Notts C’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Crawley
PG (predicted goals)
Notts C
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
CRA
NOT
22%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score7
4
Scored first11
13
Goals scored28
36
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for12
20
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
CRA
NOT
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
17
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded45
26
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%

Crawley v Notts C League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Crawley League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25556
J FlintH McKirdyD PereiraH McKirdy
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Flint DEF252
3
-
K Tshimanga  FWD234
1
-
R Brown MID2022
3
-
H Forster MID2031
2
-
H McKirdy FWD2053
5
1
D Conroy DEF19
3
-
L Watson MID19
3
-
A Adeyemo FWD1911
3
-
G Bajrami DEF1721
3
-
H Davies GLK16
2
-
J Roles MID162
2
-
J Williams MID151
4
-
D Pereira FWD155
1
-
G Holohan MID14
2
-
K. Dixon FWD14
-
R Loft FWD123
2
1
L. Flower FWD1221
2
-
M Anderson MID111
3
-
J Wollacott  GLK9
-
K Scott MID9
6
-
S Malone DEF511
1
-
D Cashman FWD5
1
-
T. Showunmi FWD2
-
J Mukena DEF1
-
B Radcliffe DEF1
1
-
C Barker DEF1
4
-
Notts C League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241046
K RoosM DennisT. IorpendaJ Bedeau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Roos GLK241
5
-
J Bedeau DEF241
6
-
T. Iorpenda MID2424
3
-
C Grant MID2321
2
-
M Dennis FWD23101
6
-
N Tsaroulla MID2223
2
-
J Jones FWD1912
2
-
A Jatta FWD1981
4
-
K Bennetts MID18
1
-
O Norburn MID17
3
-
T. Hall MID1751
3
1
M Kouhyar FWD17
-
L Macarai DEF161
2
-
M Palmer MID162
1
-
K Gordon MID1412
3
-
R McDonald DEF12
2
-
S Robertson MID121
3
-
L Ness DEF10
-
M Platt DEF10
3
-
B Cotter DEF9
1
-
S Aljofree DEF91
-
J Luker MID513
-
W Jarvis FWD2
-
M Traore FWD1
-