Aston Villa's team badge Burnley's team badge

Aston Villa v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Burnley, led by manager Scott Parker, visit Unai Emery and his Aston Villa side at the Villa Park on Sunday afternoon in the English Premier League. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that A Villa and Burnley will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Unai Emery or Scott Parker has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
59%
1.62-
Draw
23%
4.10-
Burnley
19%
5.00-
A Villa 1-0
12%
8.00-
Draw 1-1
11%
8.50-
A Villa 2-0
11%
8.50-
A Villa 2-1
10%
9.00-
A Villa 3-0
7%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00-
A Villa 3-1
6%
15.00-
Burnley 1-0
6%
15.00-
Burnley 2-1
5%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00-
A Villa 4-0
3%
26.00-
A Villa 3-2
3%
29.00-
A Villa 4-1
3%
29.00-
Burnley 2-0
3%
29.00-
Burnley 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.75-
No 1st Goal
4%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.80-
BTTS - No
49%
1.95-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.50-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9.50-
Home/draw
81%
1.17-
Away/draw
41%
2.25-
Home/away
77%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.20-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.36-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00-
Home DNB
75%
1.25-
Away DNB
34%
3.75-
A Villa win to nil
33%
2.63-
Burnley win to nil
10%
9.00-
A Villa / A Villa
35%
2.50-
A Villa / Burnley
2%
41.00-
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A Villa
18%
4.75-
Draw / Burnley
8%
11.00-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Burnley / A Villa
4%
23.00-
Burnley / Burnley
9%
9.50-
Burnley / Draw
5%
17.00-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool5500615 
May 17
Nov 1
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
2
Arsenal5311810 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Nov 1
May 17
3
Spurs5311710 
May 2
Oct 19
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
4
Bournemouth5311110 
Nov 9
Feb 7
Mar 14
Dec 20
5
C Palace523049 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
Dec 3
Feb 11
6
Chelsea522158 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Nov 22
Feb 21
7
Sunderland522128 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
8
Fulham522118 
Sep 28
Apr 25
Dec 13
Mar 21
9
Man City521247 
Oct 26
May 24
Apr 25
Sep 27
10
Everton521217 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 27
Mar 4
11
Man Utd5212-27 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
12
Leeds5212-37 
Feb 21
Nov 23
Oct 18
May 2
13
Newcastle513106 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
Dec 30
Dec 6
14
Brighton5122-25 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Apr 11
Jan 3
15
Nottm Forest5122-45 
Jan 3
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
16
Burnley5113-34 
Oct 5
May 9
-
-
17
Brentford5113-44 
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
Feb 28
Nov 29
18
West Ham5104-83 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Feb 7
Nov 8
19
A Villa5032-43 
-
-
May 9
Oct 5
20
Wolves5005-90 
Nov 30
Feb 28
May 24
Oct 26
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
Burnley 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Sheff Utd0 - 2Burnley
Norwich1 - 2Burnley
Stoke0 - 2Burnley
Bristol C0 - 1Burnley
West Brom0 - 0Burnley
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Hull1 - 1Burnley
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
ABurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley2 - 0Hull
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 2010
A Villa
Burnley
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
AVL
2
D
3
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Burnley
A Villa5 - 2
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
A Villa
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
AVL
3
D
2
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
1 - 3A Villa
1 - 3A Villa
Burnley3 - 2
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Burnley on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 19th Burnley 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Burnley have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
AVL
BRN
54%
better
view stats
Games scored0
3
Failed to score4
2
Scored first0
1
Goals scored0
5
Avg. goals scored0
1
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal0
7
Conversion rate for0
15
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
36%
better
AVL
BRN
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded4
8
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.8
2.9
KickOff rating
+36%

A Villa v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
M CashM CashB KamaraM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF51
2
-
L Digne DEF5
1
-
T Mings DEF5
-
M Rogers MID5
-
J McGinn MID5
-
O Watkins FWD5
-
D Malen FWD5
-
L Bogarde DEF4
1
-
E Konsa DEF4
1
E Buendía MID4
1
-
Y Tielemans MID4
-
E Guessand FWD4
-
E Martínez GLK3
-
I Maatsen DEF3
1
-
B Kamara MID31
1
-
M Bizot GLK2
1
-
P Torres DEF2
-
H Elliot MID2
-
A Onana MID2
1
-
V Lindelöf DEF1
-
J Sancho FWD1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyJ CullenL Ugochukwu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK5
-
K Walker DEF5
1
-
Q Hartman DEF5
-
H Ekdal DEF5
-
M Estève DEF5
-
H Mejbri MID5
-
J Cullen MID511
-
J Laurent MID5
1
-
L Tchaouna FWD5
1
-
J Anthony FWD531
1
-
L Foster FWD511
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID4
1
1
J Worrall DEF3
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
Z Flemming FWD3
-
J Larsen  FWD31
-
Florentino MID2
1
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
A Broja  FWD1
-