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Newcastle United v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 17:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Matthias Jaissle’s Newcastle United will have the joy of it on Saturday evening. Mikel Arteta Amatriain’s Arsenal are their visitors to the St. James' Park. For every Premier League match, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Newcastle and Arsenal combined during 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 79% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
24%
5.25-
Draw
27%
4.10-
Arsenal
49%
1.57-
Arsenal 1-0
14%
8.50
6%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
8.50-
Arsenal 2-0
10%
9.00-
Draw 0-0
9%
13.00
13%
-
Arsenal 2-1
9%
9.00-
Newcastle 1-0
9%
17.00-
Newcastle 2-1
6%
17.00
11%
-
Arsenal 3-0
5%
13.00-
Arsenal 3-1
4%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00-
Newcastle 2-0
4%
29.00
15%
-
Arsenal 3-2
2%
26.00-
Newcastle 3-1
2%
41.00-
Arsenal 4-0
2%
26.00
13%
-
Arsenal 4-1
2%
26.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
1.73
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
2.10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
2.63-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.50-
No 1st Goal
6%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.75-
BTTS - No
54%
2.00-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.00-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
3.25
2%
-
Home/draw
51%
2.30-
Away/draw
76%
1.17-
Home/away
73%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1.25
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
4.00
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3.00
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.40
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
11.00
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.05
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13.00
13%
-
Home DNB
43%
3.75
6%
-
Away DNB
68%
1.25
2%
-
Newcastle win to nil
14%
10.00-
Arsenal win to nil
30%
2.75-
Newcastle / Newcastle
10%
9.00
5%
-
Newcastle / Arsenal
4%
21.00-
Newcastle / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Newcastle
7%
12.00-
Draw / Arsenal
18%
4.75-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
7%
-
Arsenal / Newcastle
2%
41.00-
Arsenal / Arsenal
35%
2.50
4%
-
Arsenal / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Newcastle have conceded 9 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 27 points in the Premier League league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 5 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal109011027 
Nov 21
Jan 23
-
-
2
Man City10703821 
Dec 26
Feb 20
Nov 29
Jan 30
3
Brighton96121719 
Jan 30
Nov 29
May 30
l
 
3-0A
4
Chelsea9513416 
Feb 10
Jan 3
w
 
2-1A
Mar 13
5
Everton10442216 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 6
w
 
2-0F
May 23
6
Liverpool9432215 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 10
Feb 6
w
 
0-1F
7
Brentford9351714 
Feb 27
Dec 19
Jan 5
Dec 2
8
Leeds10352214 
Mar 20
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1A
May 8
9
Bournemouth9333112 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 13
Dec 13
Apr 24
10
Spurs10334-112 
Apr 17
w
 
0-2F
May 1
Dec 6
11
Newcastle10334-312 
-
-
Jan 23
Nov 21
12
A Villa9333-312 
l
 
0-1A
May 15
Apr 17
w
 
0-1F
13
Hull10253011 
w
 
2-1F
May 30
w
 
1-0F
Jan 16
14
Ipswich9324-411 
Apr 24
Dec 12
Jan 2
Feb 10
15
Fulham10244-210 
Jan 16
d
 
1-1F
Feb 20
Dec 30
16
Nottm Forest10235-49 
Dec 30
Mar 3
May 15
w
 
0-1F
17
Coventry10307-99 
May 8
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 10
18
Man Utd9144-57 
Dec 2
Jan 7
Dec 20
Feb 27
19
C Palace9216-127 
May 23
w
 
0-2F
Mar 3
Dec 27
20
Sunderland9126-105 
Dec 6
May 1
Mar 20
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
28
33
Games: Scored
18 / 31
20 / 31
Clean sheets
11 / 31
13 / 31
NEW
9
D
8
ARS
14
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
67
19
Games: Scored
27 / 31
12 / 31
Clean sheets
19 / 31
4 / 31
NEW
4
D
3
ARS
24
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Newcastle United look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive English Premier League games, and it could be a long evening for M. Jaissle's men.

Newcastle 11th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Newcastle scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
0.9
1.4
Attack rating
%
better
NEW
ARS
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NEW
ARS
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Newcastle v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9223
L HornicekJ WillockH BarnesY Wissa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK9
1
-
L Hall DEF911
1
-
J Willock MID92
-
H Barnes FWD922
-
Y Wissa FWD911
3
-
M Thiaw DEF8
1
-
J Murphy FWD81
3
-
A Dedic DEF72
-
S Botman DEF71
2
-
N González  MID71
3
-
S. Steur MID7
-
L Miley MID7
1
-
B. Touré FWD61
-
J Ramsey MID51
2
1
M Fernandez FWD5
-
A Elanga FWD52
1
-
W Osula FWD511
1
-
F Schär DEF4
2
-
D Burn DEF4
1
-
Joelinton MID4
2
-
A. Bamba MID3
-
T Livramento  DEF21
1
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9352
D RayaK HavertzD RiceG Magalhães
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK9
1
-
R Calafiori DEF912
-
G Magalhães DEF91
2
-
M Merino MID9
1
-
M Ødegaard MID92
1
-
D Rice MID95
1
-
K Havertz FWD93
1
-
E Konsa DEF81
-
M. A. Lewis-Skelly DEF7
2
-
B White DEF73
-
B Guimarães MID72
-
B Saka FWD73
-
E Eze MID6
-
M Zubimendi MID6
-
C Tzolis FWD61
2
-
N Madueke FWD61
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD61
-
J Timber DEF5
1
-
P Hincapié DEF4
-
C Mosquera DEF2
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-