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Chelsea v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

the Stamford Bridge faithful welcome Leeds United's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Xabier Alonso Olano's Chelsea face Daniel Farke's charges in the English Premier League. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Chelsea and Leeds's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
54%
1.80
3%
-
Draw
23%
3.60
3%
-
Leeds
23%
4.10
2%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
6%
-
Chelsea 1-0
10%
9.00-
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.50
6%
-
Chelsea 2-0
9%
10.00-
Leeds 1-0
6%
15.00-
Leeds 2-1
6%
15.00-
Chelsea 3-1
6%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Chelsea 3-0
5%
17.00-
Leeds 2-0
3%
26.00-
Chelsea 3-2
3%
26.00-
Chelsea 4-1
3%
29.00-
Chelsea 4-0
2%
34.00-
Leeds 3-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.73-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.10-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.62-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.40-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.67
2%
-
BTTS - No
44%
2.10
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.50-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7.50-
Home/draw
77%
1.22-
Away/draw
46%
1.95
3%
-
Home/away
77%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.22-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.33-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.44-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00-
Home DNB
70%
1.36
2%
-
Away DNB
39%
3.00
8%
-
Chelsea win to nil
28%
3.40
5%
-
Leeds win to nil
11%
8.00-
Chelsea / Chelsea
30%
2.88-
Chelsea / Leeds
3%
34.00-
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Chelsea
17%
5.00-
Draw / Leeds
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Leeds / Chelsea
4%
23.00-
Leeds / Leeds
12%
7.00
7%
-
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals at home.

Leeds are in 8th position in the Premier League on 14 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Leeds are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Leeds have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal109011027 
Mar 13
l
 
2-1F
May 8
l
 
2-1F
2
Man City10703821 
Apr 24
Dec 12
Jan 6
Dec 2
3
Brighton96121719 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 17
Mar 13
d
 
1-1F
4
Chelsea9513416 
-
-
Jan 23
Nov 21
5
Everton10442216 
May 15
w
 
0-2F
Jan 1
Feb 10
6
Liverpool9432215 
Dec 5
May 1
Apr 24
Dec 12
7
Brentford9351714 
May 30
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 17
8
Leeds10352214 
Nov 21
Jan 23
-
-
9
Bournemouth9333112 
w
 
5-1F
May 23
Feb 6
l
 
2-0A
10
Spurs10334-112 
l
 
0-2A
May 8
w
 
1-0F
Jan 16
11
Newcastle10334-312 
Jan 3
Feb 10
w
 
4-1F
Mar 20
12
A Villa9333-312 
-
Feb 27
Feb 20
Dec 26
13
Hull10253011 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 20
Mar 3
Dec 29
14
Ipswich9324-411 
Feb 20
Dec 30
Dec 5
May 1
15
Fulham10244-210 
Apr 10
w
 
2-3F
Dec 19
Feb 27
16
Nottm Forest10235-49 
Jan 30
Nov 27
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
17
Coventry10307-99 
Mar 3
Dec 27
Nov 28
Jan 30
18
Man Utd9144-57 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 6
d
 
1-1A
May 15
19
C Palace9216-127 
Dec 2
Jan 6
d
 
0-00-0
May 30
20
Sunderland9126-105 
Jan 16
Nov 8
May 23
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Leeds 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
11
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 1992
Chelsea
Leeds
Goals: Scored
23
15
Games: Scored
12 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
4 / 16
CHE
9
D
5
LEE
2
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
24
12
Games: Scored
11 / 16
8 / 16
Clean sheets
8 / 16
5 / 16
CHE
3
D
5
LEE
8
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 24 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Leeds United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been a problem for Leeds United of late. It has been 5 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Chelsea.

Chelsea 4th Leeds 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
CHE
LEE
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
CHE
LEE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Chelsea v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9534
M RogersM RogersC PalmerC Palmer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID951
3
-
C Palmer MID933
3
1
P Neto FWD931
2
-
M Lacroix DEF81
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF8
1
-
L Colwill DEF8
1
-
P Chavarría DEF71
-
R Lavia MID711
1
-
D Welbeck FWD7
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD7
-
E Martínez GLK6
-
M Gusto DEF6
-
J Hato DEF62
-
J Pedro  FWD653
1
-
W Fofana DEF5
1
-
M Caicedo MID5
-
G. Quenda FWD5
-
M Palestra DEF4
-
R James  DEF4
1
-
J Henderson MID421
-
V Barco MID4
1
-
M Penders GLK3
1
-
M. Nicoll-Jazuli MID1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9424
J TraffordD Calvert-LewinT MuharemovićE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK9
-
T Muharemović DEF92
1
-
J Bogle  DEF91
3
-
J Justin  DEF911
1
-
A Stach MID91
-
E Ampadu MID9
4
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD941
3
-
A Tanaka MID81
2
-
B Aaronson MID8
-
L Nmecha  FWD81
-
N Okafor FWD81
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF71
1
-
N Elvedi DEF7
1
-
H Wilson FWD7
1
-
J Bijol DEF5
-
S Longstaff MID5
-
D James FWD4
-
J Bahoya FWD3
-
J Rodon DEF2
-
M Bard DEF1
-