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Aston Villa v Sunderland : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 15:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Unai Emery Etxegoien’s Aston Villa will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Régis Le Bris’s Sunderland are their visitors to the Villa Park. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Unai Emery Etxegoien and his side approach kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Stats imply both clubs are strong in attack, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the match, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
53%
1.70
11%
-
Draw
22%
3.75
7%
-
Sunderland
24%
4.75
22%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00
7%
-
A Villa 2-1
10%
9.00
5%
-
A Villa 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
-
A Villa 2-0
8%
9.50
5%
-
Sunderland 2-1
6%
17.00
13%
-
A Villa 3-1
6%
15.00
12%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00-
Sunderland 1-0
5%
17.00
31%
-
A Villa 3-0
5%
15.00
21%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
13.00
18%
-
A Villa 3-2
4%
26.00-
Sunderland 2-0
3%
29.00
26%
-
A Villa 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
-
Sunderland 3-1
3%
41.00
21%
-
Sunderland 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.73
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.57
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.50
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.70-
BTTS - No
40%
2.05-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.40
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
8.50
21%
-
Home/draw
76%
1.18
6%
-
Away/draw
47%
2.10
10%
-
Home/away
78%
1.25
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.22
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.33
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.75
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.44
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5.00
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.17
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
13.00
18%
-
Home DNB
69%
1.29
8%
-
Away DNB
40%
3.50
27%
-
A Villa win to nil
25%
3.25
4%
-
Sunderland win to nil
11%
9.00
29%
-
A Villa / A Villa
32%
2.75
11%
-
A Villa / Sunderland
3%
34.00-
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A Villa
17%
5.00-
Draw / Sunderland
9%
10.00
11%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
8%
-
Sunderland / A Villa
4%
21.00
9%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
11%
8.00
23%
-
Sunderland / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Premier League league table. A Villa are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 5 games at home winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Sunderland are in 20th position in the Premier League on 5 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Sunderland are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal109011027 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
l
 
0-2A
Mar 20
2
Man City10703821 
w
 
2-1F
May 23
May 30
l
 
5-3A
3
Brighton96121719 
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
May 8
4
Chelsea9513416 
Feb 27
-
Nov 8
Jan 16
5
Everton10442216 
Dec 2
Jan 5
Feb 20
Dec 26
6
Liverpool9432215 
Dec 30
Mar 3
Jan 5
Dec 2
7
Brentford9351714 
d
 
2-2A
May 8
Mar 13
d
 
1-1A
8
Leeds10352214 
Dec 26
Feb 20
d
 
0-00-0
May 23
9
Bournemouth9333112 
Feb 10
Jan 2
May 15
l
 
2-0A
10
Spurs10334-112 
May 30
w
 
2-3F
Nov 29
Jan 30
11
Newcastle10334-312 
May 15
w
 
0-1F
May 1
Dec 6
12
A Villa9333-312 
-
-
Feb 6
Nov 21
13
Hull10253011 
Mar 13
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 2
Feb 10
14
Ipswich9324-411 
Jan 30
Nov 28
Apr 10
l
 
2-1A
15
Fulham10244-210 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 23
w
 
1-0F
Apr 17
16
Nottm Forest10235-49 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 20
Dec 13
Apr 24
17
Coventry10307-99 
Apr 24
Dec 13
Jan 23
l
 
3-1A
18
Man Utd9144-57 
Jan 16
Nov 8
Mar 3
Dec 30
19
C Palace9216-127 
Dec 5
May 1
Dec 20
Feb 27
20
Sunderland9126-105 
Nov 21
Feb 6
-
-
Win / draw / win form
3
Sunderland have lost 3 consecutive away league games
A Villa 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 1Fulham
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa2 - 2Brentford
A Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa4 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 2Spurs
A Villa4 - 3Sunderland
A Villa2 - 0West Ham
A Villa1 - 4Chelsea
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 1Fulham
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 2Brentford
AA Villa3 - 2Spurs
HA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa0 - 0Hull
HA Villa0 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa0 - 4Brighton
AA Villa2 - 1Man City
HA Villa4 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa2 - 2Burnley
HA Villa1 - 2Spurs
AA Villa0 - 1Fulham
HA Villa4 - 3Sunderland
AA Villa1 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa2 - 0West Ham
AA Villa1 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 4Chelsea
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
Sunderland 20TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Coventry3 - 1Sunderland
Bournemouth2 - 0Sunderland
Man City5 - 3Sunderland
Brentford1 - 1Sunderland
Ipswich2 - 1Sunderland
Everton1 - 3Sunderland
Wolves1 - 1Sunderland
A Villa4 - 3Sunderland
Newcastle1 - 2Sunderland
Leeds0 - 1Sunderland
Bournemouth1 - 1Sunderland
Arsenal3 - 0Sunderland
West Ham3 - 1Sunderland
Brentford3 - 0Sunderland
Spurs1 - 1Sunderland
Brighton0 - 0Sunderland
Man City3 - 0Sunderland
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Fulham1 - 0Sunderland
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASunderland1 - 3Coventry
HSunderland0 - 0Leeds
ASunderland0 - 2Bournemouth
HSunderland0 - 2Brighton
ASunderland3 - 5Man City
HSunderland0 - 2Arsenal
ASunderland1 - 1Brentford
HSunderland1 - 0Fulham
ASunderland1 - 2Ipswich
HSunderland2 - 1Chelsea
ASunderland3 - 1Everton
HSunderland0 - 0Man Utd
ASunderland1 - 1Wolves
HSunderland0 - 5Nottm Forest
ASunderland3 - 4A Villa
HSunderland1 - 0Spurs
ASunderland2 - 1Newcastle
HSunderland0 - 1Brighton
ASunderland1 - 0Leeds
ASunderland1 - 1Bournemouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1997
A Villa
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
22
13
Games: Scored
10 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
7 / 17
AVL
7
D
8
SUN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa4 - 3
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa6 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Sunderland
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Sunderland
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
League games at Sunderland since 1996
Sunderland
A Villa
Goals: Scored
16
24
Games: Scored
12 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
5 / 17
AVL
7
D
5
SUN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3A Villa
Sunderland3 - 1
0 - 4A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3A Villa
Sunderland1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland2 - 1
Sunderland1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Sunderland on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 12th Sunderland 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
A Villa have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Sunderland have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
31%
better
AVL
SUN
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score3
4
Scored first4
1
Goals scored10
7
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
18%
better
AVL
SUN
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded13
17
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%

A Villa v Sunderland Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9535
V LindelöfN JacksonJ McGinnM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Lindelöf DEF9
-
E Buendía MID91
2
-
B Kamara MID91
-
J McGinn MID913
2
-
R Barkley MID9
-
Z Suzuki GLK8
-
M Cash DEF8
5
-
N Jackson FWD85
2
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD81
2
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF6
-
I Maatsen DEF6
1
-
T Mings DEF6
1
-
P Torres DEF6
-
J Gomes MID61
2
1
J. Manzambi MID623
1
-
I. Mbaye FWD61
-
G. Hemmings FWD5
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
-
A Garnacho FWD4
-
T Abraham FWD4
-
L Goretzka MID3
-
M Bizot GLK1
-
L Bogarde MID1
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD1
1
-
Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9313
R RoefsB BrobbeyE FéeR Mandava
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK9
-
E Fée MID921
-
N Sadiki MID9
1
-
G Xhaka MID9
2
-
T Hume DEF8
-
R Mandava DEF8
2
1
N Angulo FWD811
1
-
T Meunier DEF71
-
N Mukiele DEF7
1
-
B Brobbey FWD73
1
-
W Isidor FWD71
-
K Danso DEF5
1
D Ballard DEF5
2
-
C Rigg MID5
1
-
M Fofana FWD5
-
O Alderete DEF4
2
1
L O'Nien DEF4
1
-
H Diarra MID41
-
C Talbi FWD3
-
D. Methalie DEF2
1
-
T. Tuterov FWD2
-
J. Ahoka Jules MID1
-
R Mundle FWD1
-
D. Bi FWD1
-