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Aston Villa v West Ham United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 14:15 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Aston Villa are in English Premier League action on Sunday afternoon, as Unai Emery Etxegoien looks to get one over on Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo and his West Ham United side at the Villa Park. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of A Villa and West Ham scoring at least two goals in this Premier League clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
50%
1.951.91
Draw
24%
3.603.70
West Ham
26%
3.703.75
Draw 1-1
11%
7.507.00
A Villa 2-1
10%
9.50
6%
8.50
A Villa 1-0
9%
10.00
5%
8.50
A Villa 2-0
8%
12.009.50
West Ham 2-1
7%
15.0012.00
West Ham 1-0
7%
15.00
12%
12.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
A Villa 3-1
5%
17.0012.00
A Villa 3-0
5%
19.0015.00
West Ham 2-0
4%
23.0017.00
A Villa 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
West Ham 3-1
3%
29.0021.00
A Villa 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
West Ham 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.671.67
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.202.10
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.671.65
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.252.40
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.621.62
BTTS - No
43%
2.202.15
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.60
5%
3.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.33
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.506.00
Home/draw
74%
1.291.25
Away/draw
50%
1.801.85
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.22
2%
1.20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.33
4%
4.00
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.75
5%
2.60
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.44
4%
1.44
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.00
11%
4.60
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.17
3%
1.17
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10.00
11%
9.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
Home DNB
67%
1.44
2%
1.40
Away DNB
43%
2.63
8%
2.70
A Villa win to nil
25%
3.75-
West Ham win to nil
12%
7.00
11%
-
A Villa / A Villa
27%
3.202.90
A Villa / West Ham
3%
29.0023.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / A Villa
16%
5.505.00
Draw / West Ham
10%
8.508.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.505.50
West Ham / A Villa
4%
23.0017.00
West Ham / West Ham
14%
6.005.75
West Ham / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 9 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 15 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

West Ham are in 18th position in the Premier League on 29 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 8 and won 5. West Ham have conceded 50 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
West Ham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City3018753261 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Man Utd3015961354 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
4
A Villa301569351 
-
-
l
 
2-3F
Mar 22
5
Liverpool301479949 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-2A
6
Chelsea3013981848 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-5F
l
 
3-2F
7
Brentford2913511444 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
May 2
8
Everton3012711-143 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
9
Newcastle3012612042 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 17
10
Bournemouth309147-241 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
11
Fulham3012513-341 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
12
Brighton30101010340 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
13
Sunderland30101010-540 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
14
C Palace3010911-239 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
Apr 20
15
Leeds3071112-1132 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
May 24
l
 
2-1A
16
Spurs307914-730 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest307815-1529 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
18
West Ham307815-1929 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
-
-
19
Burnley304818-2620 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
West Ham 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
A Villa have not lost to West Ham in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1994
A Villa
West Ham
Goals: Scored
34
27
Games: Scored
19 / 26
17 / 26
Clean sheets
9 / 26
7 / 26
AVL
10
D
10
WHU
6
League games at West Ham since 1993
West Ham
A Villa
Goals: Scored
32
29
Games: Scored
21 / 27
19 / 27
Clean sheets
8 / 27
6 / 27
AVL
6
D
13
WHU
8
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 14 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against West Ham United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 4th West Ham 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that West Ham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
West Ham have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
West Ham
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
2%
better
AVL
WHU
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score9
9
Scored first11
13
Goals scored39
35
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
24%
better
AVL
WHU
view stats
Games conceded21
25
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded34
54
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+24%

A Villa v West Ham Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29857
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2985
6
-
E Konsa DEF28
1
O Watkins FWD2881
2
-
M Cash DEF2732
7
-
E Buendía MID2752
5
-
E Martínez GLK25
2
-
L Digne DEF244
3
-
I Maatsen DEF23
2
-
L Bogarde MID23
5
-
J McGinn MID2232
3
-
A Onana MID202
2
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
J Sancho FWD181
-
Y Tielemans MID174
-
P Torres DEF16
-
T Mings DEF12
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
R Barkley MID121
-
L Bailey FWD71
1
-
D Luiz MID61
-
T Abraham FWD61
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
H Elliot MID4
-
A García DEF3
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD3
-
West Ham Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30866
J BowenJ BowenJ BowenM Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bowen FWD3086
4
-
M Fernandes MID2833
6
-
T Soucek MID274
2
1
E Diouf DEF245
4
-
C Wilson FWD2451
-
C Summerville FWD2451
4
-
K Mavropanos DEF231
2
-
M Kilman DEF21
4
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF212
3
-
A Areola GLK201
-
J Todibo DEF201
4
1
F Potts MID191
1
-
S Magassa MID191
4
-
K Walker-Peters DEF181
2
-
O. Scarles DEF12
1
-
M Hermansen GLK10
-
T Castellanos FWD102
2
-
A Disasi DEF6
-
E. Mayers DEF6
-
A Traoré FWD6
1
-
Pablo FWD6
-