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Brighton and Hove Albion v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 12:30 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

the Amex Stadium plays host on Saturday lunch time, as Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion host Arne Slot's Liverpool in the English Premier League. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brighton or Liverpool are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Brighton 35%	21/10 6%	21/10
Draw 26%	13/5 3%	27/10
Liverpool 39%	11/10 5%	23/20
Draw 1-1 12%	7/1	6/1
Liverpool 1-0 9%	11/1 9%	17/2
Liverpool 2-1 9%	9/1 5%	15/2
Brighton 1-0 9%	14/1	10/1
Brighton 2-1 8%	12/1	9/1
Liverpool 2-0 6%	12/1 8%	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	16/1 13%	12/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Brighton 2-0 6%	20/1 9%	14/1
Liverpool 3-1 4%	16/1 13%	12/1
Brighton 3-1 4%	22/1 21%	18/1
Liverpool 3-0 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
Liverpool 3-2 3%	22/1	16/1
Brighton 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Brighton 3-0 3%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	8/13	3/5
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	13/10	5/4
Home 1st Goal 47%	11/10 5%	23/20
Away 1st Goal 49%	8/11 4%	3/4
No 1st Goal 4%	16/1 13%	11/1
BTTS - Yes 56%	8/15 3%	11/20
BTTS - No 44%	11/8 6%	11/8
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1 9%	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 19%	13/5 3%	5/2
Home/draw 61%	7/10 6%	7/10
Away/draw 65%	4/11 2%	4/11
Home/away 74%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/5	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	7/2	17/5
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	6/4	29/20
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	8/15	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	7/2	10/3
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/5	1/5
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	7/1 11%	7/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/12 1%	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/33	1/50
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	14/1 13%	12/1
Home DNB 53%	5/4 14%	5/4
Away DNB 57%	4/7 9%	4/7
Brighton win to nil 18%	11/2 7%	-
Liverpool win to nil 20%	10/3 8%	-
Brighton / Brighton 17%	4/1 17%	7/2
Brighton / Liverpool 4%	22/1 10%	16/1
Brighton / Draw 6%	14/1	10/1
Draw / Brighton 11%	7/1 6%	13/2
Draw / Liverpool 14%	5/1 9%	19/4
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	19/4
Liverpool / Brighton 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Liverpool / Liverpool 25%	5/2 9%	21/10
Liverpool / Draw 6%	14/1	10/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 28 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Liverpool lay in 5th place on 49 points in the Premier League league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Liverpool have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Liverpool have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Brighton Liverpool
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	39	70	l 0-1A	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
2	Man City	30	18	7	5	32	61	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	l 1-2F	l 3-0A
3	Man Utd	30	15	9	6	13	54	May 24	l 4-2A	l 1-2A	May 2
4	A Villa	30	15	6	9	3	51	l 3-4F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	May 17
5	Liverpool	30	14	7	9	9	49	Mar 21	l 2-0A	-	-
6	Chelsea	30	13	9	8	18	48	Apr 26	w 1-3A	May 9	l 2-1A
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	4	44	w 2-1A	w 0-2F	May 24	l 3-2A
8	Everton	30	12	7	11	-1	43	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	Apr 19
9	Newcastle	30	12	6	12	0	42	w 2-1F	May 2	w 4-1A	w 2-3F
10	Bournemouth	30	9	14	7	-2	41	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	w 4-2F	l 3-2A
11	Fulham	30	12	5	13	-3	41	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	Apr 11	d 2-2A
12	Brighton	30	10	10	10	3	40	-	-	w 2-0F	Mar 21
13	Sunderland	30	10	10	10	-5	40	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
14	C Palace	30	10	9	11	-2	39	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 25	l 2-1A
15	Leeds	30	7	11	12	-11	32	w 3-0F	May 17	d 0-00-0	d 3-3F
16	Spurs	30	7	9	14	-7	30	d 2-2F	Apr 18	d 1-1F	w 1-2F
17	Nottm Forest	30	7	8	15	-15	29	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	l 0-3A	w 0-1F
18	West Ham	30	7	8	15	-19	29	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	w 5-2F	w 0-2F
19	Burnley	30	4	8	18	-26	20	w 2-0F	Apr 11	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	-30	16	May 9	d 1-1A	w 2-1F	l 2-1A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton	0 - 1	Arsenal
Brighton	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
Brighton	0 - 1	C Palace
Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
Brighton	2 - 0	Burnley
Brighton	0 - 0	Sunderland
Brighton	1 - 1	West Ham
Brighton	3 - 4	A Villa
Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
Brighton	3 - 0	Leeds
Brighton	2 - 1	Newcastle
Brighton	2 - 2	Spurs
Brighton	2 - 1	Man City
Brighton	1 - 1	Fulham
Brighton	3 - 2	Liverpool
Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
Brighton	3 - 2	West Ham
Brighton	2 - 2	Leicester
Brighton	0 - 3	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Brighton	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Brighton	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Brentford
A	Brighton	0 - 1	A Villa
H	Brighton	0 - 1	C Palace
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Fulham
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Brighton	1 - 1	Man City
H	Brighton	2 - 0	Burnley
A	Brighton	2 - 2	West Ham
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Arsenal
H	Brighton	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Brighton	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Brighton	1 - 1	West Ham
H	Brighton	3 - 4	A Villa
A	Brighton	2 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Brighton	0 - 0	C Palace

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves	2 - 1	Liverpool
Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Liverpool
Sunderland	0 - 1	Liverpool
Bournemouth	3 - 2	Liverpool
Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
Fulham	2 - 2	Liverpool
Spurs	1 - 2	Liverpool
Leeds	3 - 3	Liverpool
West Ham	0 - 2	Liverpool
Man City	3 - 0	Liverpool
Brentford	3 - 2	Liverpool
Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool
C Palace	2 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
Brighton	3 - 2	Liverpool
Chelsea	3 - 1	Liverpool
Leicester	0 - 1	Liverpool
Fulham	3 - 2	Liverpool
Man City	0 - 2	Liverpool

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Liverpool	1 - 2	Wolves
H	Liverpool	5 - 2	West Ham
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Liverpool	1 - 2	Man City
H	Liverpool	4 - 1	Newcastle
A	Liverpool	2 - 3	Bournemouth
H	Liverpool	1 - 1	Burnley
A	Liverpool	0 - 0	Arsenal
A	Liverpool	2 - 2	Fulham
H	Liverpool	0 - 0	Leeds
H	Liverpool	2 - 1	Wolves
A	Liverpool	2 - 1	Spurs
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Brighton
A	Liverpool	3 - 3	Leeds
H	Liverpool	1 - 1	Sunderland
A	Liverpool	2 - 0	West Ham
H	Liverpool	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Liverpool	0 - 3	Man City
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	A Villa

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Brighton

Liverpool

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

BHA

LIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Brighton	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Liverpool
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Liverpool
	0 - 1	Liverpool
	1 - 5	Liverpool

Liverpool

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

1 / 9

BHA

LIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool	2 - 0
Liverpool	2 - 1
Liverpool	2 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Brighton
Liverpool	2 - 1
Liverpool	1 - 0
Liverpool	4 - 0

Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion's defensive record is very strong, F. Hürzeler's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Liverpool makes sense in this context.

	Brighton 12th	Liverpool 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-11 Liverpool have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

BHA

LIV

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		25
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	11		16
Goals scored	38		48
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.7
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.8
KickOff rating		+22%

BHA

LIV

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		20
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	16		11
Goals conceded	36		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+6%

Brighton v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	10	4	9
B Verbruggen	D Welbeck	Y Minteh	L Dunk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Verbruggen GLK	30			3 -
F Kadioglu DEF	29			6 -
D Welbeck FWD	29	10		4 -
J Hecke DEF	28	3	2	7 -
L Dunk DEF	28			9 -
D Amarilla MID	27	5		8 -
Y Minteh FWD	26	2	4	1 -
M Cuyper DEF	24	2		2 -
C Quomah MID	24			5 -
G Rutter FWD	24	2	3	2 -
Y Ayari MID	23	3	2	1 -
M Wieffer MID	20		3	6 -
J Hinshelwood MID	19	1	2	-
K Mitoma FWD	19	2	1	3 -
J Veltman DEF	18	1		4 -
J Milner MID	18	1	1	2 -
C. Kostoulas FWD	16	2	1	2 -
P Groß MID	11	1	1	2 -
S Tzimas FWD	9	1	1	-
O Boscagli DEF	8		1	2 -
M O'Riley MID	4	1		-
S March FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	18	4	8
D Welbeck	D Welbeck	Y Minteh	Y Minteh

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Welbeck FWD	10	18		2
D Amarilla MID	5	13		3
J Hecke DEF	3	8	2	2
Y Ayari MID	3	11	2	1
Y Minteh FWD	2	9	4	8
M Cuyper DEF	2	6		7
G Rutter FWD	2	12	3	7
K Mitoma FWD	2	10	1	3
C. Kostoulas FWD	2	6	1	2
J Hinshelwood MID	1	7	2	1
J Veltman DEF	1	1
J Milner MID	1	2	1	1
P Groß MID	1	4	1	2
S Tzimas FWD	1	1	1
M O'Riley MID	1	2
F Kadioglu DEF		8
L Dunk DEF		2		1
C Quomah MID		2
M Wieffer MID		5	3	4
O Boscagli DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2171	71	159
L Dunk	D Amarilla	J Hecke

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Dunk DEF	2171	32	111
J Hecke DEF	1948	42	159
B Verbruggen GLK	1209	1	13
F Kadioglu DEF	1031	51	115
Y Ayari MID	868	43	88
M Wieffer MID	727	56	116
D Amarilla MID	658	71	143
P Groß MID	567	18	42
C Quomah MID	548	29	70
M Cuyper DEF	546	21	50
J Hinshelwood MID	466	15	31
K Mitoma FWD	453	12	61
Y Minteh FWD	451	39	126
O Boscagli DEF	418	10	28
J Milner MID	406	12	22
D Welbeck FWD	392	20	52
G Rutter FWD	385	27	100
J Veltman DEF	335	29	68
C. Kostoulas FWD	97	11	41
M O'Riley MID	60	4	6
S Tzimas FWD	24	3	5
S March FWD			1

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	11	6	7
V Dijk	H Ekitiké	M Salah	D Szoboszlai

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Dijk DEF	29	3		4 -
I Konaté DEF	28	1		5 -
A Mac Allister MID	28	2	2	4 -
M Kerkez DEF	27	1	1	4 -
R Gravenberch MID	27	4	3	5 -
D Szoboszlai MID	27	4	3	6 1
C Gakpo FWD	27	6	3	2 -
H Ekitiké FWD	26	11	4	-
F Wirtz MID	25	4	2	1 -
C Jones MID	25		1	1 -
Alisson GLK	24			1 -
F Chiesa FWD	21	2	1	2 -
M Salah FWD	21	5	6	1 -
A Robertson DEF	17			-
C Bradley DEF	15		2	5 -
J Gomez DEF	15		2	2 -
J Frimpong DEF	13		2	-
R. Ngumoha FWD	11	1		-
A Isak FWD	10	2	1	-
W Endo MID	8		1	1 -
G Mamardashvili GLK	5			-
T. Nyoni MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	19	6	10
H Ekitiké	H Ekitiké	M Salah	M Salah

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Ekitiké FWD	11	19	4	3
C Gakpo FWD	6	14	3	8
M Salah FWD	5	14	6	10
R Gravenberch MID	4	9	3	4
D Szoboszlai MID	4	18	3	8
F Wirtz MID	4	15	2	4
V Dijk DEF	3	11
A Mac Allister MID	2	10	2	2
F Chiesa FWD	2	4	1	2
A Isak FWD	2	4	1	1
I Konaté DEF	1	3		2
M Kerkez DEF	1	1	1	3
R. Ngumoha FWD	1	3		2
C Jones MID		5	1	3
A Robertson DEF		1		3
C Bradley DEF			2	3
J Gomez DEF		1	2	3
J Frimpong DEF		1	2	3
W Endo MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2207	45	179
V Dijk	I Konaté	I Konaté

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	2207	17	174
I Konaté DEF	1703	45	179
D Szoboszlai MID	1669	42	99
R Gravenberch MID	1544	45	122
F Wirtz MID	1117	28	84
C Jones MID	1094	25	67
A Mac Allister MID	1081	43	88
M Kerkez DEF	939	41	104
Alisson GLK	764		8
M Salah FWD	618	12	46
C Gakpo FWD	609	22	120
C Bradley DEF	492	19	61
A Robertson DEF	443	10	23
H Ekitiké FWD	391	11	88
J Frimpong DEF	299	7	36
J Gomez DEF	198	5	14
G Mamardashvili GLK	169		3
F Chiesa FWD	102	8	18
W Endo MID	94	7	18
R. Ngumoha FWD	67	2	14
A Isak FWD	66	6	12
T. Nyoni MID	4

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Brentford v Wolves

Mon 16th Mar, 20:00

Bournemouth v Man Utd

Newcastle v Sunderland

Brighton and Hove Albion v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Brighton have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Liverpool lay in 5th place on 49 points in the Premier League league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Brighton v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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