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Brighton and Hove Albion v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 12:30 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Fabian Hürzeler welcomes Arne Slot to the Amex Stadium on Saturday lunch time, as their Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool charges meet in the English Premier League. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brighton or Liverpool are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you fancy a bet in the ‘Both teams to score & result’ market, then we’d suggest you back Liverpool. Our predictive algorithm delivers a 19% probability of them winning in a match in which both teams have found the net.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert BTTS & result tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
35%
210
6%
210
Draw
26%
260
3%
270
Liverpool
39%
110
5%
115
Draw 1-1
12%
700600
Liverpool 1-0
9%
1100
9%
850
Liverpool 2-1
9%
900
5%
750
Brighton 1-0
9%
14001000
Brighton 2-1
8%
1200900
Liverpool 2-0
6%
1200
8%
1000
Draw 0-0
6%
1600
13%
1200
Draw 2-2
6%
12001000
Brighton 2-0
6%
2000
9%
1400
Liverpool 3-1
4%
1600
13%
1200
Brighton 3-1
4%
2200
21%
1800
Liverpool 3-0
3%
2200
10%
1600
Liverpool 3-2
3%
22001600
Brighton 3-2
3%
28002000
Brighton 3-0
3%
40002500
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
-163-167
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
130125
Home 1st Goal
47%
110
5%
115
Away 1st Goal
49%
-138
4%
-133
No 1st Goal
4%
1600
13%
1100
BTTS - Yes
56%
-188
3%
-182
BTTS - No
44%
137
6%
138
BTTS - Home Win
17%
400
9%
380
BTTS - Draw
19%
333320
BTTS - Away Win
19%
260
3%
250
Home/draw
61%
-143
6%
-143
Away/draw
65%
-275
2%
-278
Home/away
74%
-350-400
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
-500-556
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
350340
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
150145
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
-188-200
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
350333
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-500-500
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
700
11%
700
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1200
1%
-1667
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-3300-5000
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
1400
13%
1200
Home DNB
53%
125
14%
125
Away DNB
57%
-175
9%
-175
Brighton win to nil
18%
550
7%
-
Liverpool win to nil
20%
333
8%
-
Brighton / Brighton
17%
400
17%
350
Brighton / Liverpool
4%
2200
10%
1600
Brighton / Draw
6%
14001000
Draw / Brighton
11%
700
6%
650
Draw / Liverpool
14%
500
9%
475
Draw / Draw
13%
550475
Liverpool / Brighton
3%
2500
10%
2000
Liverpool / Liverpool
25%
250
9%
210
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14001000
Both teams to score & result Premier League table
BTTS yes
BTTS no
Brighton
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
2
Man City3018753261 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
3
Man Utd3015961354 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
l
 
1-2A
May 2
4
A Villa301569351 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 17
5
Liverpool301479949 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
Chelsea3013981848 
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
May 9
l
 
2-1A
7
Brentford2913511444 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 24
l
 
3-2A
8
Everton3012711-143 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
9
Newcastle3012612042 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
w
 
4-1A
w
 
2-3F
10
Bournemouth309147-241 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2A
11
Fulham3012513-341 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
12
Brighton30101010340 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
13
Sunderland30101010-540 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
14
C Palace3010911-239 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
15
Leeds3071112-1132 
w
 
3-0F
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
16
Spurs307914-730 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest307815-1529 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
18
West Ham307815-1929 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-2F
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley304818-2620 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
Both teams to score & result form
Brighton 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Won
8
Drawn
8
Lost
4
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Yes
14
No
6
Won
6
Drawn
7
Lost
7
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Yes
10
No
10
Liverpool 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Won
8
Drawn
3
Lost
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Yes
12
No
8
Won
9
Drawn
6
Lost
5
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Yes
11
No
9
Both teams to score & result head to head (H2H)
League games at Brighton since 2017
BHA
2
Draw
2
LIV
4
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
Yes
5
No
3
League games at Liverpool since 2018
BHA
1
Draw
2
LIV
6
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
Yes
5
No
4
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion's defensive record is to be admired, F. Hürzeler's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Liverpool makes sense in this context.

Brighton 12th Liverpool 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Liverpool have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
BHA
LIV
22%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score7
4
Scored first11
16
Goals scored38
48
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
BHA
LIV
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
20
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first16
11
Goals conceded36
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%

Brighton v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301049
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK30
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF29
6
-
D Welbeck FWD2910
4
-
J Hecke DEF2832
7
-
L Dunk DEF28
9
-
D Amarilla MID275
8
-
Y Minteh FWD2624
1
-
M Cuyper DEF242
2
-
C Quomah MID24
5
-
G Rutter FWD2423
2
-
Y Ayari MID2332
1
-
M Wieffer MID203
6
-
J Hinshelwood MID1912
-
K Mitoma FWD1921
3
-
J Veltman DEF181
4
-
J Milner  MID1811
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1621
2
-
P Groß MID1111
2
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
O Boscagli DEF81
2
-
M O'Riley MID41
-
S March FWD1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291167
V Dijk H EkitikéM SalahD Szoboszlai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF293
4
-
I Konaté DEF281
5
-
A Mac Allister MID2822
4
-
M Kerkez DEF2711
4
-
R Gravenberch MID2743
5
-
D Szoboszlai MID2743
6
1
C Gakpo FWD2763
2
-
H Ekitiké FWD26114
-
F Wirtz MID2542
1
-
C Jones MID251
1
-
Alisson GLK24
1
-
F Chiesa FWD2121
2
-
M Salah FWD2156
1
-
A Robertson DEF17
-
C Bradley DEF152
5
-
J Gomez DEF152
2
-
J Frimpong DEF132
-
R. Ngumoha FWD111
-
A Isak FWD1021
-
W Endo MID81
1
-
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
T. Nyoni MID3
-