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Burnley v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 14:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

We’ve English Premier League action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Scott Parker and his Burnley side host Arne Slot’s Liverpool at the Turf Moor. We've got bespoke statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Liverpool to win

This one only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is Liverpool's. We predict Sunday's visitors to Turf Moor will claim victory, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from GB's top bookmakers too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and are offering a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 72% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
10%
9.508.50
Draw
17%
5.255.50
Liverpool
72%
1.301.33
Liverpool 2-0
13%
7.006.50
Liverpool 1-0
11%
8.507.00
Liverpool 3-0
10%
9.008.50
Liverpool 2-1
9%
10.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
11.009.50
Liverpool 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Liverpool 4-0
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.0013.00
Liverpool 4-1
4%
21.0015.00
Burnley 1-0
4%
23.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
23.0017.00
Burnley 2-1
3%
29.0019.00
Liverpool 3-2
3%
29.0019.00
Liverpool 5-0
3%
29.0021.00
Liverpool 5-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.382.25
Home 1st Goal
36%
3.403.70
Away 1st Goal
62%
1.331.30
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.001.95
BTTS - No
53%
1.751.80
BTTS - Home Win
5%
15.0012.00
BTTS - Draw
12%
7.006.50
BTTS - Away Win
30%
3.002.88
Home/draw
28%
3.403.25
Away/draw
90%
1.071.07
Home/away
83%
1.171.14
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.201.18
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.504.40
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.502.45
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.531.50
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.334.20
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.221.20
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.081.07
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
22%
7.006.50
Away DNB
84%
1.101.09
Burnley win to nil
5%
15.00-
Liverpool win to nil
43%
2.10-
Burnley / Burnley
5%
19.0012.00
Burnley / Liverpool
4%
21.0017.00
Burnley / Draw
4%
23.0017.00
Draw / Burnley
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / Liverpool
21%
4.003.90
Draw / Draw
11%
8.007.50
Liverpool / Burnley
2%
51.0041.00
Liverpool / Liverpool
43%
1.911.91
Liverpool / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Chelsea321067 
Nov 22
Feb 21
May 9
Oct 4
2
Arsenal220066 
Nov 1
May 17
Aug 31
Jan 7
3
Spurs320146 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
Mar 14
Dec 20
4
Liverpool220036 
Sep 14
Jan 17
-
-
5
Everton320126 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Sep 20
Apr 18
6
Sunderland320126 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Dec 3
Feb 11
7
Bournemouth320106 
Mar 14
Dec 20
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
8
Nottm Forest211024 
Sep 20
Apr 18
Nov 22
Feb 21
9
Man Utd311104 
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
Oct 19
May 2
10
Leeds3111-44 
Oct 18
May 2
Dec 30
Dec 6
11
Man City210123 
Apr 25
Sep 27
Feb 7
Nov 8
12
Burnley3102-23 
-
-
Jan 17
Sep 14
13
Brentford3102-23 
Feb 28
Nov 29
May 24
Oct 25
14
C Palace202002 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Apr 25
Sep 27
15
Newcastle3021-12 
Dec 30
Dec 6
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
16
Fulham3021-22 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Apr 11
Jan 3
17
A Villa2011-11 
May 9
Oct 5
Nov 1
May 17
18
Brighton2011-21 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Dec 13
Mar 21
19
Wolves3003-60 
May 24
Oct 26
Dec 27
Mar 4
20
West Ham2002-70 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Feb 28
Nov 29
Win / draw / win form
5
Burnley have won 5 consecutive home league games
24
Burnley have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
Burnley 12TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Burnley0 - 0QPR
Burnley0 - 0Preston
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
ABurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley2 - 0Hull
HBurnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABurnley0 - 0Portsmouth
Liverpool 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Leicester0 - 1Liverpool
Fulham3 - 2Liverpool
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Everton2 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Nottm Forest1 - 1Liverpool
West Ham0 - 5Liverpool
Spurs3 - 6Liverpool
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Arsenal2 - 2Liverpool
C Palace0 - 1Liverpool
Wolves1 - 2Liverpool
Man Utd0 - 3Liverpool
Ipswich0 - 2Liverpool
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 3Brighton
HLiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 3Chelsea
HLiverpool5 - 1Spurs
ALiverpool1 - 0Leicester
HLiverpool2 - 1West Ham
ALiverpool2 - 3Fulham
HLiverpool1 - 0Everton
HLiverpool3 - 1Southampton
HLiverpool2 - 0Newcastle
ALiverpool2 - 0Man City
ALiverpool2 - 2A Villa
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 2Everton
ALiverpool2 - 0Bournemouth
HLiverpool4 - 1Ipswich
ALiverpool2 - 0Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2010
Burnley
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
4
19
Games: Scored
3 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
6 / 9
BRN
1
LIV
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
1 - 3Liverpool
1 - 2Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
League games at Liverpool since 2009
Liverpool
Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
7
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
BRN
1
D
2
LIV
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool4 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Liverpool in their clash with Burnley, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 61 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Burnley 12th Liverpool 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Liverpool have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
0.7
2.3
Attack rating
%
better
BRN
LIV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BRN
LIV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Burnley v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyJ CullenK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK3
-
K Walker DEF3
1
-
Q Hartman DEF3
-
H Ekdal DEF3
-
M Estève DEF3
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
L Ugochukwu MID3
-
H Mejbri MID3
-
J Cullen MID311
-
J Laurent MID3
1
-
L Tchaouna FWD3
1
-
J Anthony FWD321
1
-
L Foster FWD31
1
-
J Larsen  FWD31
-
J Worrall DEF2
-
Z Flemming FWD2
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2221
AlissonH EkitikéC GakpoM Kerkez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Alisson GLK2
-
M Kerkez DEF2
1
-
V Dijk  DEF2
-
I Konaté DEF2
1
-
F Wirtz MID2
-
D Szoboszlai MID2
-
C Jones MID2
-
W Endo MID21
-
C Gakpo FWD212
-
F Chiesa FWD21
-
M Salah FWD211
-
H Ekitiké FWD221
-
J Frimpong DEF1
-
C Bradley DEF1
1
-
J Gomez DEF1
-
A Robertson DEF1
-
R Gravenberch MID11
1
-
H Elliot MID1
-
A Mac Allister MID11
-
R. Ngumoha FWD11
-