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Chelsea v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 15:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Enzo Maresca attempts to outsmart Fabian Hürzeler and his Brighton and Hove Albion side at the Stamford Bridge. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for each one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League tie, with Chelsea and Brighton going head-to-head, offers great potential in the popular 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having studied the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
54%
1.75
3%
1.67
1%
Draw
22%
4.104.00
Brighton
23%
4.10
10%
4.80
4%
Draw 1-1
10%
8.507.50
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Chelsea 1-0
9%
11.00
13%
7.00
Chelsea 2-0
8%
11.00
6%
8.00
Chelsea 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
Brighton 2-1
6%
15.00
11%
13.00
13%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
11%
13.00
13%
Brighton 1-0
5%
17.0012.00
Chelsea 3-0
5%
17.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00
8%
11.00
Chelsea 3-2
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
Brighton 2-0
3%
26.0021.00
Chelsea 4-1
3%
26.0021.00
Chelsea 4-0
3%
29.00
12%
19.00
Brighton 3-1
2%
34.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.571.75
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.382.00
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.57
2%
1.53
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.38
5%
2.80
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
8%
10.00
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.57
6%
1.80
2%
BTTS - No
41%
2.25
2%
1.95
2%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.203.30
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
9%
5.00
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6.50
11%
8.00
Home/draw
77%
1.22
1%
1.18
1%
Away/draw
46%
2.00
4%
2.15
2%
Home/away
78%
1.221.25
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.00
7%
3.70
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.50
6%
2.88
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.53
3%
1.36
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.335.25
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.221.14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00
15%
10.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.04
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
8%
10.00
Home DNB
70%
1.33
3%
1.25
Away DNB
39%
3.25
7%
3.50
3%
Chelsea win to nil
26%
3.50
14%
-
Brighton win to nil
10%
9.00
11%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
31%
2.75
5%
2.50
Chelsea / Brighton
3%
34.0029.00
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Chelsea
17%
5.00
6%
4.40
2%
Draw / Brighton
8%
10.009.50
Draw / Draw
13%
7.00
8%
5.50
Brighton / Chelsea
4%
21.0017.00
Brighton / Brighton
12%
7.00
11%
7.00
7%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool4400512 
Oct 4
May 9
Mar 21
Dec 13
2
Arsenal430189 
Nov 29
Feb 28
Mar 4
Dec 27
3
Spurs430179 
May 17
Nov 1
Sep 20
Apr 18
4
Bournemouth430119 
Dec 30
Dec 6
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea422068 
-
-
Apr 25
Sep 27
6
Sunderland421127 
Oct 25
May 24
Dec 20
Mar 14
7
Everton421127 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
8
Man City420246 
Apr 11
Jan 3
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
9
C Palace413036 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
Feb 7
Nov 8
10
Newcastle412105 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Oct 18
May 2
11
Fulham4121-15 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
12
Brentford4112-24 
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
Nov 22
Feb 21
13
Brighton4112-24 
Sep 27
Apr 25
-
-
14
Man Utd4112-34 
Apr 18
Sep 20
May 24
Oct 25
15
Nottm Forest4112-44 
May 2
Oct 18
Feb 28
Nov 29
16
Leeds4112-54 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Nov 1
May 17
17
Burnley4103-33 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Jan 3
Apr 11
18
West Ham4103-73 
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
Dec 6
Dec 30
19
A Villa4022-42 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Dec 3
Feb 11
20
Wolves4004-70 
Nov 8
Feb 7
May 9
Oct 5
Win / draw / win form
12
Chelsea have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
3
Chelsea have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Brighton 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 2017
Chelsea
Brighton
Goals: Scored
16
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
CHE
5
D
2
BHA
1
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
CHE
4
D
2
BHA
2
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 15 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 5th Brighton 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Brighton have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
23%
better
CHE
BHA
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored9
4
Avg. goals scored2.3
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for24
13
Avg. XG for2.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
46%
better
CHE
BHA
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded3
6
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+46%

Chelsea v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4232
R SánchezE FernándezJ Pedro J Hato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK4
-
M Cucurella  DEF41
-
T Chalobah DEF41
-
R James  DEF4
1
-
E Fernández MID421
-
M Caicedo MID42
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD4
-
J Pedro  FWD423
-
P Neto FWD41
-
T Adarabioyo DEF3
-
M Gusto DEF3
-
A Santos MID3
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD31
1
-
L Delap FWD3
-
J Hato DEF2
2
-
W Fofana DEF2
-
C Palmer MID21
-
T. George FWD2
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF1
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-
A Garnacho FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
B VerbruggenB GrudaY MintehF Kadioglu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK4
-
M Cuyper DEF4
1
-
J Hecke DEF4
1
-
L Dunk DEF4
1
-
C Quomah MID4
1
-
Y Ayari MID4
-
B Gruda MID41
-
Y Minteh FWD41
-
D Welbeck FWD4
-
K Mitoma FWD411
1
-
F Kadioglu DEF3
2
-
D Amarilla MID3
1
-
J Milner  MID31
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID3
-
G Rutter FWD3
1
-
J Veltman DEF2
1
-
M Wieffer MID2
1
-
D Coppola DEF1
-
S Tzimas FWD1
-