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Everton v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 15:00 BST, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Aston Villa, led by manager Unai Emery, visit David Moyes and his Everton side at the Goodison Park on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Everton and A Villa combined during 90 minutes. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 75% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Everton
38%
2.602.70
Draw
27%
3.303.25
A Villa
36%
2.702.60
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.50
Everton 1-0
10%
9.008.00
A Villa 1-0
10%
9.007.50
Everton 2-1
8%
11.009.50
A Villa 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Draw 0-0
8%
9.508.50
Everton 2-0
7%
13.0012.00
A Villa 2-0
6%
15.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0013.00
Everton 3-1
4%
23.0019.00
A Villa 3-1
3%
26.0017.00
Everton 3-0
3%
29.0021.00
A Villa 3-0
3%
29.0021.00
Everton 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.102.05
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.731.73
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.952.05
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.002.00
No 1st Goal
5%
9.508.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
48%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.505.25
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5.505.00
Home/draw
64%
1.441.48
Away/draw
62%
1.501.44
Home/away
73%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.331.35
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.403.00
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.753.50
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.291.25
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.101.08
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.508.00
Home DNB
56%
1.831.91
Away DNB
54%
1.831.80
Everton win to nil
21%
4.33-
A Villa win to nil
20%
4.33-
Everton / Everton
19%
4.504.20
Everton / A Villa
3%
29.0023.00
Everton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Everton
13%
6.506.00
Draw / A Villa
13%
6.505.75
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.50
A Villa / Everton
3%
29.0023.00
A Villa / A Villa
19%
4.504.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Everton
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Chelsea321067 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Mar 4
Dec 27
2
Arsenal220066 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Dec 6
Dec 30
3
Spurs320146 
Oct 26
May 24
May 2
Oct 19
4
Liverpool220036 
Apr 18
Sep 20
May 17
Nov 1
5
Everton320126 
-
-
Jan 17
Sep 13
6
Sunderland320126 
May 17
Nov 1
Apr 18
Sep 20
7
Bournemouth320106 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Nov 8
Feb 7
8
Nottm Forest211024 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Jan 3
Apr 11
9
Man Utd311104 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Dec 20
Mar 14
10
Leeds3111-44 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
Feb 21
Nov 22
11
Man City210123 
May 2
Oct 18
Oct 26
May 24
12
Burnley3102-23 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Oct 5
May 9
13
Brentford3102-23 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Jan 31
l
 
1-0A
14
C Palace202002 
Oct 4
May 9
Aug 31
Jan 7
15
Newcastle3021-12 
Nov 29
Feb 28
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 24
16
Fulham3021-22 
Nov 8
Feb 7
Sep 27
Apr 25
17
A Villa2011-11 
Sep 13
Jan 17
-
-
18
Brighton2011-21 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
Feb 11
Dec 3
19
Wolves3003-60 
Jan 7
w
 
2-3F
Nov 29
Feb 28
20
West Ham2002-70 
Sep 29
Apr 25
Mar 21
Dec 13
Win / draw / win form
Everton 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Everton2 - 0Southampton
Everton2 - 2Ipswich
Everton0 - 2Man City
Everton1 - 1Arsenal
Everton1 - 1West Ham
Everton2 - 2Man Utd
Everton2 - 2Liverpool
Everton4 - 0Leicester
Everton3 - 2Spurs
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 2Nottm Forest
Everton0 - 0Chelsea
Everton4 - 0Wolves
Everton0 - 0Brentford
Everton1 - 1Fulham
Everton0 - 0Newcastle
Everton2 - 1C Palace
Everton2 - 3Bournemouth
Everton0 - 3Brighton
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEverton3 - 2Wolves
HEverton2 - 0Brighton
AEverton0 - 1Leeds
AEverton1 - 0Newcastle
HEverton2 - 0Southampton
AEverton3 - 1Fulham
HEverton2 - 2Ipswich
AEverton0 - 1Chelsea
HEverton0 - 2Man City
AEverton1 - 0Nottm Forest
HEverton1 - 1Arsenal
AEverton0 - 1Liverpool
HEverton1 - 1West Ham
AEverton1 - 1Wolves
AEverton1 - 1Brentford
HEverton2 - 2Man Utd
AEverton2 - 1C Palace
HEverton2 - 2Liverpool
HEverton4 - 0Leicester
AEverton1 - 0Brighton
A Villa 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
C Palace4 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Arsenal2 - 2A Villa
Everton0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
A Villa have not lost to Everton in 12 consecutive league meetings
4
A Villa have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive away league meetings with Everton
League games at Everton since 1992
Everton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
40
36
Games: Scored
20 / 30
22 / 30
Clean sheets
8 / 30
10 / 30
EVE
9
D
11
AVL
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Everton
0 - 1A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Everton4 - 0
Everton3 - 0
Everton2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Everton4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Everton2 - 0
Everton2 - 1
Everton3 - 2
0 - 1A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Everton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Everton1 - 0
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Everton
Goals: Scored
53
29
Games: Scored
24 / 30
16 / 30
Clean sheets
14 / 30
6 / 30
EVE
4
D
9
AVL
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa4 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 0
1 - 3Everton
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 2Everton
1 - 3Everton
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 0
1 - 3Everton
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Everton's defensive record is very strong, David Moyes's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Aston Villa makes sense in this context.

Everton 5th A Villa 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Everton will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Everton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
A Villa have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Everton
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
48%
better
EVE
AVL
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score1
2
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
0
Avg. goals scored0.7
0
Avg. shots per game5
6
Avg. shots per goal7
0
Conversion rate for14
0
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
11%
better
EVE
AVL
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
15
Conversion rate against5%
7%
Avg. XG against2.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+11%

Everton v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Everton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3242
J PickfordI NdiayeJ GrealishT Iroegbunam
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pickford GLK3
-
M Keane DEF3
-
J O'Brien DEF3
-
J Tarkowski DEF3
-
I Gueye MID3
-
T Iroegbunam MID3
2
-
J Garner MID31
1
-
J Grealish MID34
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID311
2
-
C Alcaraz MID3
1
-
T Barry FWD3
-
I Ndiaye FWD32
-
Beto FWD31
1
-
V Mykolenko DEF1
-
S Coleman DEF1
-
H. Armstrong MID1
-
D McNeil FWD1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
M CashB Kamara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF2
-
L Digne DEF2
-
T Mings DEF2
-
B Kamara MID2
1
-
J McGinn MID2
-
A Onana MID2
1
-
Y Tielemans MID2
-
O Watkins FWD2
-
D Malen FWD2
-
M Rogers FWD2
-
M Bizot GLK1
-
E Martínez GLK1
-
I Maatsen DEF1
-
L Bogarde DEF1
1
-
E Konsa DEF1
1
P Torres DEF1
-
E Buendía MID1
-
E Guessand FWD1
-