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Everton v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 17:30 BST, Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Liam Rosenior takes his Chelsea troops to the Hill Dickinson Stadium in the English Premier League on Saturday evening, with David Moyes's Everton waiting for them. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Everton and Chelsea will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither David Moyes or Liam Rosenior has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Everton
30%
3.40
3%
3.60
Draw
24%
3.60
3%
3.60
Chelsea
45%
2.00
3%
2.00
Draw 1-1
11%
7.506.50
Chelsea 2-1
9%
9.508.00
Chelsea 1-0
9%
9.50
12%
8.50
Everton 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
Chelsea 2-0
7%
12.00
10%
10.00
Everton 1-0
7%
13.00
15%
11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
Chelsea 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Everton 2-0
5%
21.0017.00
Chelsea 3-0
4%
21.0015.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Everton 3-1
3%
29.0023.00
Everton 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Chelsea 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.80
9%
1.73
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.00
10%
2.05
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.25
3%
2.38
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.731.70
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
18%
10.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.67
5%
1.65
BTTS - No
42%
2.10
5%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
7%
6.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.20
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3.75
4%
3.60
Home/draw
55%
1.80
6%
1.80
Away/draw
70%
1.301.29
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.25
5%
1.22
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.00
15%
3.90
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.00
14%
2.75
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.40
6%
1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.50
17%
5.00
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.14
4%
1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00
15%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
18%
11.00
Home DNB
47%
2.502.60
Away DNB
62%
1.501.44
Everton win to nil
14%
6.50-
Chelsea win to nil
22%
3.75
3%
-
Everton / Everton
15%
6.005.25
Everton / Chelsea
4%
23.0017.00
Everton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Everton
10%
8.508.00
Draw / Chelsea
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
Draw / Draw
15%
6.005.25
Chelsea / Everton
3%
29.0023.00
Chelsea / Chelsea
26%
3.253.00
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Everton have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Everton have conceded 14 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Everton have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Chelsea lay in 6th place on 48 points in the Premier League league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Everton
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City3018753261 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd3015961354 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
4
A Villa301569351 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
5
Liverpool301479949 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
6
Chelsea3013981848 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
-
-
7
Brentford2913511444 
l
 
2-4A
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
8
Everton3012711-143 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
9
Newcastle3012612042 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
10
Bournemouth309147-241 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Fulham3012513-341 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Brighton30101010340 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
13
Sunderland30101010-540 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
14
C Palace3010911-239 
w
 
2-1A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
15
Leeds3071112-1132 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Spurs307914-730 
l
 
0-3A
May 24
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Nottm Forest307815-1529 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 2
w
 
0-3F
18
West Ham307815-1929 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
19
Burnley304818-2620 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Everton 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Chelsea 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Everton
League games at Everton since 1992
Everton
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
41
37
Games: Scored
22 / 33
21 / 33
Clean sheets
12 / 33
11 / 33
EVE
13
D
9
CHE
11
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Everton
Goals: Scored
68
24
Games: Scored
29 / 34
17 / 34
Clean sheets
17 / 34
5 / 34
EVE
1
D
13
CHE
20
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 24 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Everton on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Everton 8th Chelsea 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Everton will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Everton have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
Chelsea have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Everton
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
EVE
CHE
31%
better
view stats
Games scored21
27
Failed to score8
2
Scored first14
16
Goals scored34
53
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
3%
better
EVE
CHE
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded33
34
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Everton v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Everton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30668
J PickfordT BarryJ GrealishT Iroegbunam
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pickford GLK30
2
-
J Garner MID3025
7
-
Beto FWD304
2
-
T Barry FWD306
3
-
J Tarkowski DEF2911
5
-
J O'Brien DEF291
2
1
M Keane DEF263
1
V Mykolenko DEF251
5
-
I Ndiaye FWD2453
2
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID2363
6
-
T Iroegbunam MID222
8
-
I Gueye MID2121
1
1
J Grealish FWD2026
4
1
D McNeil FWD171
1
-
C Alcaraz MID161
3
-
T Obling FWD14
2
-
H. Armstrong MID11
-
M Röhl MID11
-
J Branthwaite DEF71
1
-
N Patterson DEF6
-
T. George FWD5
-
S Coleman DEF3
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2914510
T ChalobahJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD30145
4
-
T Chalobah DEF293
3
1
E Fernández MID2983
8
-
R Sánchez GLK281
3
1
P Neto FWD2854
3
1
M Gusto DEF2723
3
1
R James  DEF2724
4
-
M Cucurella  DEF2613
5
1
M Caicedo MID2531
9
1
A Santos MID22
4
-
L Delap FWD211
2
-
C Palmer MID1991
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1922
3
-
A Garnacho FWD1914
1
-
W Fofana DEF181
3
1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
J Hato DEF15
4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF14
2
-
J. Acheampong DEF121
1
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
R Lavia MID7
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
M Sarr DEF2
-