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Leeds United v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 20:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Daniel Farke and Keith Andrews meet in the English Premier League on Saturday night, as Leeds United face Brentford at the Elland Road. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Leeds or Brentford are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
39%
2.45
2%
2.50
Draw
25%
3.403.40
Brentford
37%
2.63
3%
2.70
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Leeds 2-1
9%
11.009.00
Brentford 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Leeds 1-0
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
Brentford 1-0
8%
11.009.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Leeds 2-0
6%
15.00
13%
12.00
Brentford 2-0
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
12.00
9%
10.00
Leeds 3-1
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Brentford 3-1
4%
23.0017.00
Leeds 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Brentford 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Leeds 3-0
3%
26.0021.00
Brentford 3-0
3%
29.00
17%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.801.83
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.001.91
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.91
2%
1.95
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.002.05
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00
9%
9.50
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.67
3%
1.70
BTTS - No
41%
2.10
2%
2.10
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.754.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5.00
10%
4.80
Home/draw
63%
1.441.44
Away/draw
61%
1.53
2%
1.50
Home/away
75%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.25
1%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.00
7%
3.50
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.203.00
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.361.33
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.50
8%
5.75
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.14
2%
1.11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.03
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.00
9%
9.50
Home DNB
56%
1.80
2%
1.80
Away DNB
54%
1.91
4%
1.91
Leeds win to nil
18%
4.50
4%
-
Brentford win to nil
17%
5.00
11%
-
Leeds / Leeds
21%
4.003.90
Leeds / Brentford
3%
29.0021.00
Leeds / Draw
6%
15.0011.00
Draw / Leeds
13%
6.505.75
Draw / Brentford
13%
7.006.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.505.00
Brentford / Leeds
3%
26.0021.00
Brentford / Brentford
19%
4.504.20
Brentford / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 38 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Brentford lay in 7th place on 44 points in the Premier League league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brentford have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Brentford have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Brentford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Man City3018753261 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
May 9
3
Man Utd3015961354 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
w
 
3-1F
Apr 27
4
A Villa301569351 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
5
Liverpool301479949 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
May 24
6
Chelsea3013981848 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2913511444 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
Everton3012711-143 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
w
 
2-4F
9
Newcastle3012612042 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-3A
10
Bournemouth309147-241 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Fulham3012513-341 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
12
Brighton30101010340 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
13
Sunderland30101010-540 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
14
C Palace3010911-239 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
l
 
2-0A
15
Leeds3071112-1132 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
16
Spurs307914-730 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
17
Nottm Forest307815-1529 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
18
West Ham307815-1929 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
May 2
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley304818-2620 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-4F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Mar 16
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Brentford 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Leeds have not lost to Brentford in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2010
Leeds
Brentford
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
LEE
3
D
5
BRE
1
League games at Brentford since 2009
Brentford
Leeds
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
LEE
1
D
4
BRE
5
Goal Statistics
Leeds 15th Brentford 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Leeds have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+1
Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
LEE
BRE
12%
better
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score9
9
Scored first12
16
Goals scored37
44
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
LEE
BRE
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
22
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded48
40
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+20%

Leeds v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271037
G Gudmundsson D Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF28
4
-
B Aaronson MID2843
1
-
J Rodon DEF272
1
-
J Bogle  DEF2712
5
-
P Struijk DEF261
3
-
E Ampadu MID2611
7
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD26101
1
-
A Stach MID2443
3
-
N Okafor FWD234
3
-
L Nmecha  FWD2361
-
J Justin  DEF2011
2
-
A Tanaka MID202
1
-
I Gruev MID203
3
-
S Longstaff MID1712
2
-
L Perri GLK16
2
-
J Bijol DEF1611
2
-
W Gnonto FWD161
3
-
D James FWD14
-
K Darlow GLK13
1
-
J Piroe FWD13
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
F Buonanotte MID2
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281847
I ThiagoI ThiagoM DamsgaardY Yarmoliuk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Yarmoliuk MID2912
7
-
I Thiago FWD29181
6
-
C Kelleher GLK28
1
-
M Kayode DEF28
6
-
M Jensen MID2721
3
-
J Henderson MID2713
4
-
K Lewis-Potter FWD2731
1
-
N Collins DEF2612
4
-
K Schade FWD2673
6
1
R Henry DEF251
2
-
M Damsgaard MID2534
-
S Berg DEF241
1
-
K Ajer DEF231
2
-
D Ouattara FWD2352
4
-
V Janelt MID2214
7
-
A Hickey DEF18
1
-
F Carvalho MID61
-
R Nelson FWD6
-
R Donovan FWD4
-
E Pinnock DEF3
1
-
H Valdimarsson GLK1
-
A Milambo MID1
-