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Manchester City v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 16:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City and their boss Pep Guardiola will be looking to get one over on Ruben Amorim and his Manchester United side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Etihad Stadium in the English Premier League. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Man Utd prepare themselves for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After studying the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both sides know they have goals in them and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are aligned: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
58%
1.671.70
Draw
21%
4.004.00
Man Utd
21%
4.754.50
Man City 2-1
10%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
10%
8.508.00
Man City 2-0
9%
11.009.50
Man City 1-0
8%
11.009.00
Man City 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Man City 3-0
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Man Utd 2-1
6%
17.0013.00
Man Utd 1-0
5%
21.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Man City 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Man City 4-1
3%
23.0019.00
Man City 4-0
3%
29.0021.00
Man Utd 2-0
3%
29.0021.00
Man Utd 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.571.55
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.382.38
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.531.55
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.502.62
No 1st Goal
3%
17.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.571.57
BTTS - No
40%
2.252.25
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.002.90
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.60
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7.506.50
Home/draw
79%
1.181.20
Away/draw
42%
2.152.15
Home/away
79%
1.221.22
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.382.30
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.571.55
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.333.90
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
73%
1.291.29
Away DNB
36%
3.503.30
Man City win to nil
27%
3.40-
Man Utd win to nil
9%
10.00-
Man City / Man City
32%
2.602.50
Man City / Man Utd
3%
34.0026.00
Man City / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Man City
17%
5.004.60
Draw / Man Utd
8%
11.009.00
Draw / Draw
13%
7.006.00
Man Utd / Man City
4%
21.0017.00
Man Utd / Man Utd
11%
8.007.00
Man Utd / Draw
6%
17.0013.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Chelsea321067 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Sep 20
Apr 18
2
Arsenal220066 
Apr 18
Sep 21
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
3
Spurs320146 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
Feb 7
Nov 8
4
Liverpool220036 
Nov 8
Feb 7
May 2
Oct 19
5
Everton320126 
Oct 18
May 2
Nov 22
Feb 21
6
Sunderland320126 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Oct 4
May 9
7
Bournemouth320106 
Nov 1
May 17
Dec 13
Mar 21
8
Nottm Forest211024 
Mar 4
Dec 27
May 17
Nov 1
9
Man Utd311104 
Sep 14
Jan 17
-
-
10
Leeds3111-44 
Nov 29
Feb 28
Apr 11
Jan 3
11
Man City210123 
-
-
Jan 17
Sep 14
12
Burnley3102-23 
Sep 27
Apr 25
w
 
3-2F
Jan 7
13
Brentford3102-23 
May 9
Oct 5
Apr 25
Sep 27
14
C Palace202002 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Feb 28
Nov 29
15
Newcastle3021-12 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Dec 27
Mar 4
16
Fulham3021-22 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
17
A Villa2011-11 
May 24
Oct 26
Mar 14
Dec 20
18
Brighton2011-21 
Jan 7
Aug 31
Oct 25
May 24
19
Wolves3003-60 
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Dec 30
Dec 6
20
West Ham2002-70 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Dec 3
Feb 11
Win / draw / win form
6
Man Utd have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Man City 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Man Utd 9TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
44
39
Games: Scored
18 / 28
23 / 28
Clean sheets
5 / 28
10 / 28
MCI
11
D
3
MNU
14
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Man City
Goals: Scored
40
37
Games: Scored
20 / 28
19 / 28
Clean sheets
9 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
9
D
7
MNU
12
Goal Statistics
Man City 11th Man Utd 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Man Utd have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
2
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
MCI
MNU
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MCI
MNU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Man City v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
J TraffordE HaalandR LewisN González 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK2
-
J Stones DEF2
-
R Lewis DEF21
-
R Nouri DEF2
-
R Dias DEF2
-
O Bobb MID21
-
N González  MID2
1
-
R Cherki MID21
-
T Reijnders MID211
1
-
B Silva MID2
-
E Haaland FWD22
-
O Marmoush FWD2
-
J Doku FWD2
-
A. Khusanov DEF1
-
N Aké  DEF1
-
N. O'Reilly MID1
1
-
M Nunes MID1
-
P Foden MID1
-
Rodri MID1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
A BayındırB FernandesD DalotCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bayındır GLK3
-
L Shaw DEF3
-
D Dalot DEF31
-
M Ligt DEF3
-
L Yoro DEF3
-
Casemiro MID3
1
-
B Fernandes MID31
1
-
M Mount  MID3
-
A Diallo FWD3
-
B Sesko FWD3
-
B Mbeumo FWD31
-
M Cunha FWD3
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2
1
-
H Maguire DEF2
-
M Ugarte MID2
-
A. Heaven DEF1
-
N Mazraoui  DEF1
-
K Mainoo MID1
-
J Zirkzee FWD1
-