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Newcastle United v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 16:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Newcastle United are in English Premier League action on Sunday afternoon, as Eddie Howe looks to get one over on Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal side at the St. James' Park. Premier League statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Newcastle and Arsenal's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
30%
3.10
3%
-
Draw
26%
3.60
3%
-
Arsenal
44%
2.15-
Draw 1-1
12%
7.50-
Arsenal 1-0
10%
8.50
6%
-
Arsenal 2-1
9%
10.00-
Newcastle 1-0
8%
11.00-
Arsenal 2-0
8%
12.00-
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 0-0
7%
11.00
9%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
12%
-
Newcastle 2-0
5%
17.00-
Arsenal 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Arsenal 3-0
4%
21.00-
Newcastle 3-1
3%
29.00-
Arsenal 3-2
3%
29.00-
Newcastle 3-2
2%
34.00-
Newcastle 3-0
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.91
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.91
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.20-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.80-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.80
3%
-
BTTS - No
46%
1.95
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.00
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4.50
4%
-
Home/draw
56%
1.67-
Away/draw
70%
1.36
3%
-
Home/away
74%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.30
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.50
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.40
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.33
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.50
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.11
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
9%
-
Home DNB
48%
2.25-
Away DNB
62%
1.57-
Newcastle win to nil
16%
5.50-
Arsenal win to nil
23%
3.75
7%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
16%
5.50-
Newcastle / Arsenal
3%
26.00-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Newcastle
12%
7.50-
Draw / Arsenal
16%
5.50-
Draw / Draw
16%
5.50
9%
-
Arsenal / Newcastle
3%
34.00-
Arsenal / Arsenal
24%
3.60-
Arsenal / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool4400512 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
Jan 7
l
 
1-0A
2
Arsenal430189 
Sep 28
Apr 25
-
-
3
Spurs430179 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Nov 22
Feb 21
4
Bournemouth430119 
Apr 18
Sep 20
Apr 11
Jan 3
5
Chelsea422068 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Feb 28
Nov 29
6
Sunderland421127 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Feb 7
Nov 8
7
Everton421127 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Mar 14
Dec 20
8
Man City420246 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Sep 21
Apr 18
9
C Palace413036 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Oct 26
May 24
10
Newcastle412105 
-
-
Apr 25
Sep 28
11
Fulham4121-15 
Oct 25
May 24
May 2
Oct 18
12
Brentford4112-24 
Feb 7
Nov 8
Dec 3
Feb 11
13
Brighton4112-24 
May 2
Oct 18
Dec 27
Mar 4
14
Man Utd4112-34 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
15
Nottm Forest4112-44 
Oct 5
May 9
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
16
Leeds4112-54 
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
17
Burnley4103-33 
Dec 6
Dec 30
May 17
Nov 1
18
West Ham4103-73 
May 17
Nov 1
Oct 4
May 9
19
A Villa4022-42 
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 30
Dec 6
20
Wolves4004-70 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Dec 13
Mar 21
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Fulham
Newcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Newcastle4 - 0Leicester
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 2West Ham
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Spurs
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
HNewcastle3 - 0Ipswich
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 1Man Utd
ANewcastle3 - 0Leicester
HNewcastle2 - 1Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
ANewcastle0 - 4Man City
HNewcastle1 - 2Fulham
ANewcastle3 - 1Southampton
Arsenal 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Ipswich0 - 4Arsenal
Everton1 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Leicester0 - 2Arsenal
Wolves0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brentford1 - 3Arsenal
C Palace1 - 5Arsenal
Fulham1 - 1Arsenal
West Ham2 - 5Arsenal
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Bournemouth2 - 0Arsenal
Man City2 - 2Arsenal
Spurs0 - 1Arsenal
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal5 - 0Leeds
AArsenal1 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal2 - 1Southampton
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 2C Palace
AArsenal4 - 0Ipswich
HArsenal1 - 1Brentford
AArsenal1 - 1Everton
HArsenal2 - 1Fulham
HArsenal1 - 0Chelsea
AArsenal1 - 1Man Utd
AArsenal0 - 0Nottm Forest
HArsenal0 - 1West Ham
AArsenal2 - 0Leicester
HArsenal5 - 1Man City
AArsenal1 - 0Wolves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
27
31
Games: Scored
17 / 30
19 / 30
Clean sheets
11 / 30
13 / 30
NEW
9
D
8
ARS
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle2 - 0
0 - 2Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
66
19
Games: Scored
26 / 30
12 / 30
Clean sheets
18 / 30
4 / 30
NEW
4
D
3
ARS
23
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal4 - 0
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal4 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal7 - 3
Arsenal2 - 1
0 - 1Newcastle
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal1 - 0
1 - 3Newcastle
Arsenal5 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal3 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
0 - 1Newcastle
Arsenal2 - 0
2 - 3Newcastle
Arsenal2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is to be admired, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Newcastle United makes sense in this context.

Newcastle 10th Arsenal 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Newcastle have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
NEW
ARS
51%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
3
Goals scored3
9
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
4
Conversion rate for9
26
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
NEW
ARS
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
1
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
22
Conversion rate against15%
5%
Avg. XG against0.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+26%

Newcastle v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
N Pope B GuimarãesT Livramento B Guimarães
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK4
1
-
T Livramento  DEF41
-
D Burn DEF4
1
-
K Trippier DEF4
-
F Schär DEF4
-
S Tonali MID4
-
B Guimarães MID41
2
-
W Osula FWD41
-
H Barnes FWD4
-
A Elanga FWD4
-
Joelinton MID3
1
-
L Miley MID3
-
J Murphy FWD31
-
L Hall DEF2
-
S Botman DEF2
-
J Ramsey MID2
-
A Gordon FWD2
1
M Thiaw DEF1
-
J Willock MID1
-
N Woltemade FWD11
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
D RayaV GyökeresR CalafioriR Calafiori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK4
1
-
R Calafiori DEF412
2
-
J Timber DEF421
1
-
G Magalhães DEF4
-
M Zubimendi MID42
1
-
M Ødegaard MID4
-
D Rice MID41
-
V Gyökeres FWD43
1
-
N Madueke FWD4
-
C Mosquera DEF3
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF3
1
-
W Saliba DEF3
-
M Merino MID3
-
G Martinelli FWD3
-
E Eze MID21
-
E Nwaneri MID2
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-
B Saka FWD21
-
L Trossard FWD21
-
B White DEF1
-
K Havertz FWD1
-