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Newcastle United v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Home advantage is often beneficial in the English Premier League, and Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Ange Postecoglou’s Nottingham Forest are their opponents at the St. James' Park. Premier League statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Newcastle and Nottm Forest will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Eddie Howe or Ange Postecoglou has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
55%
1.70-
Draw
23%
4.10-
Nottm Forest
22%
4.33-
Draw 1-1
11%
8.50-
Newcastle 1-0
10%
8.50-
Newcastle 2-1
10%
9.00-
Newcastle 2-0
9%
9.50-
Newcastle 3-1
6%
15.00-
Nottm Forest 1-0
6%
15.00-
Nottm Forest 2-1
6%
15.00-
Newcastle 3-0
6%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Newcastle 3-2
3%
26.00-
Nottm Forest 2-0
3%
26.00-
Newcastle 4-1
3%
29.00-
Newcastle 4-0
3%
29.00-
Nottm Forest 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.73-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.10-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.57-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.50-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.75-
BTTS - No
44%
2.00-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.40-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7.50-
Home/draw
78%
1.20-
Away/draw
45%
2.10-
Home/away
77%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.40-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00-
Home DNB
71%
1.30-
Away DNB
38%
3.40-
Newcastle win to nil
29%
3.00-
Nottm Forest win to nil
10%
8.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
32%
2.75-
Newcastle / Nottm Forest
3%
34.00-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Newcastle
17%
5.00-
Draw / Nottm Forest
9%
10.00-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Nottm Forest / Newcastle
4%
21.00-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
11%
8.00-
Nottm Forest / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool5500615 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
Feb 21
Nov 22
2
Arsenal5311810 
Sep 28
Apr 25
Jan 17
l
 
3-0A
3
Spurs5311710 
Dec 3
Feb 11
Dec 13
Mar 21
4
Bournemouth5311110 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
May 24
Oct 26
5
C Palace523049 
Jan 3
Apr 11
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
6
Chelsea522158 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Oct 18
May 2
7
Sunderland522128 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Sep 27
Apr 25
8
Fulham522118 
Oct 25
May 24
Mar 14
Dec 20
9
Man City521247 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Dec 27
Mar 4
10
Everton521217 
Feb 28
Nov 29
Dec 30
Dec 6
11
Man Utd5212-27 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Nov 1
May 17
12
Leeds5212-37 
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 9
Feb 7
13
Newcastle513106 
-
-
May 9
Oct 5
14
Brighton5122-25 
May 2
Oct 18
Nov 30
Feb 28
15
Nottm Forest5122-45 
Oct 5
May 9
-
-
16
Burnley5113-34 
Dec 6
Dec 30
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
17
Brentford5113-44 
Feb 7
Nov 9
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
18
West Ham5104-83 
May 17
Nov 2
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
19
A Villa5032-43 
Jan 24
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
Jan 3
20
Wolves5005-90 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Feb 11
Dec 3
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Fulham
Newcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Newcastle4 - 0Leicester
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 2West Ham
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Spurs
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
HNewcastle3 - 0Ipswich
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 1Man Utd
ANewcastle3 - 0Leicester
HNewcastle2 - 1Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
ANewcastle0 - 4Man City
HNewcastle1 - 2Fulham
Nottm Forest 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
West Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
Spurs1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
Ipswich2 - 4Nottm Forest
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Fulham2 - 1Nottm Forest
Bournemouth5 - 0Nottm Forest
Wolves0 - 3Nottm Forest
Everton0 - 2Nottm Forest
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
Man Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
Man City3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Leicester1 - 3Nottm Forest
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Brighton2 - 2Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest1 - 1Burnley
ANottm Forest0 - 3Arsenal
HNottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
HNottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
HNottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
ANottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
HNottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
ANottm Forest2 - 1Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 1Everton
ANottm Forest1 - 2A Villa
HNottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
ANottm Forest4 - 2Ipswich
HNottm Forest1 - 0Man City
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest3 - 4Newcastle
ANottm Forest1 - 2Fulham
HNottm Forest7 - 0Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Newcastle have beaten Nottm Forest in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
24
9
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
NEW
8
NFO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle4 - 3
1 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle5 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
League games at Nottm Forest since 1994
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
NEW
4
D
3
NFO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
1 - 3Newcastle
2 - 3Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Nottm Forest1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Nottingham Forest have conceded in each of their last 13 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.9 for Eddie Howe's side suggests that run should continue.

Newcastle 13th Nottm Forest 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Newcastle have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Nottm Forest have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
NEW
NFO
30%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
2
Scored first1
2
Goals scored3
5
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
60%
better
NEW
NFO
view stats
Games conceded1
5
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded3
9
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded4
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+60%

Newcastle v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
N Pope W OsulaT Livramento B Guimarães
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK5
1
-
T Livramento  DEF51
-
D Burn DEF5
1
-
S Tonali MID5
-
A Elanga FWD5
-
W Osula FWD51
-
H Barnes FWD5
-
K Trippier DEF4
-
F Schär DEF4
-
L Miley MID4
-
B Guimarães MID41
2
-
J Murphy FWD41
-
L Hall DEF3
-
S Botman DEF3
-
Joelinton MID3
1
-
M Thiaw DEF2
1
-
J Willock MID2
-
J Ramsey MID2
-
N Woltemade FWD21
-
A Gordon FWD2
1
J Lascelles DEF1
-
Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
M SelsC WoodE AndersonN Williams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sels GLK5
1
-
N Milenković DEF5
-
N Williams DEF51
2
-
E Anderson MID51
-
I Sangaré MID5
-
M Gibbs-White MID51
-
D Ndoye FWD511
-
C Wood FWD52
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD51
-
Murillo DEF4
1
-
I Jesus FWD4
-
A Kalimuendo FWD4
-
O Aina  DEF3
1
-
J McAtee MID3
-
R Yates MID3
-
Morato DEF2
1
-
O Hutchinson MID2
-
D Bakwa FWD2
-
N. Savona DEF1
-
O Zinchenko DEF1
-
D Luiz MID1
-