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Rayo Vallecano v AEK Athens : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 9th Apr, 17:45 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

It's an away trip for Marko Nikolić's AEK Athens side on Thursday evening, as they head to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas for a Europa Conference tie with Iñigo Pérez Soto's Rayo Vallecano. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% chance of R.Vallecano and AEK scoring at least two goals in this Europa Conference match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Vallecano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
48%
19/20
8%
1/1
7%
Draw
25%
12/5
7%
12/5
6%
AEK
26%
11/4
8%
11/4
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
R.Vallecano 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
13%
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
6%
R.Vallecano 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
8/1
AEK 1-0
8%
10/1
21%
9/1
14%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
23%
8/1
11%
AEK 2-1
7%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
R.Vallecano 3-0
5%
16/1
12%
14/1
15%
AEK 2-0
4%
18/1
19%
16/1
12%
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
25/1
12%
22/1
10%
AEK 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
33/1
21%
25/1
26%
AEK 3-2
2%
40/125/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1
8%
19/20
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5
8%
3/4
8%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6
4%
7/10
5%
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8
1%
29/20
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
23%
15/2
11%
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
2%
5/6
9%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
4%
10/11
6%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3
19%
3/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/211/2
8%
Home/draw
74%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Away/draw
52%
4/5
9%
4/5
5%
Home/away
75%
3/10
3%
3/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
3%
3/10
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
7%
11/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/2
15%
23/10
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/7
6%
2/7
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
23%
11/2
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
3%
1/10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
27%
12/1
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
23%
15/2
11%
Home DNB
66%
4/9
7%
4/9
3%
Away DNB
44%
13/8
9%
13/8
11%
R.Vallecano win to nil
27%
12/5-
AEK win to nil
14%
11/2
14%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
25%
11/5
13%
21/10
8%
R.Vallecano / AEK
3%
33/125/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
16%
4/14/1
Draw / AEK
10%
7/1
12%
13/2
6%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
9%
19/5
8%
AEK / R.Vallecano
4%
22/1
13%
18/1
AEK / AEK
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
8%
AEK / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
AEK
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
-
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
-
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
-
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
-
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
-
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
w
 
3-2A
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2A
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1F
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
-
-
17
Jagiellonia623119 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
-
-
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
-
-
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
-
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
-
-
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
-
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
-
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
d
 
2-2F
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
-
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
w
 
6-0F
-
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
-
-
-
-
37
Neman Grodno 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
38
Beer Sheva 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
39
Aris 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2F
40
Anderlecht 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
AEK have won 3 consecutive away european games
R.Vallecano 5TH
5 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
Conceded
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
Failed to score
1 / 5
Won
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
9 / 10
Conceded
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Failed to score
1 / 10
Won
7
D
1
L
2
AEK 3RD
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Rayo Vallecano's defensive record is to be admired, I. Pérez Soto's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Europa Conference outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for AEK Athens makes sense in this context.

R.Vallecano 5th AEK 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that AEK will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games
=0
R.Vallecano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
AEK have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
AEK
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
VAL
AEK
38%
better
view stats
Games scored14
18
Failed to score6
2
Scored first8
13
Goals scored25
47
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal9
4
Conversion rate for12
22
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
VAL
AEK
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
10
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first11
6
Goals conceded24
15
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+34%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between R.Vallecano v AEK will show here when available.

R.Vallecano Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
AEK Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14535
T StrakoshaA KoitaO PinedaP Mantalos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Strakosha GLK14
1
-
L Rota DEF142
3
-
F Relvas DEF142
3
-
O Pineda MID143
3
-
A Koita FWD145
2
-
S Pilios DEF132
2
-
R Marin MID1333
2
-
P Mantalos MID132
4
1
H Moukoudi DEF121
-
M Gacinovic  MID1121
1
-
D Kutesa FWD1151
1
-
L Jović  FWD1041
2
-
R Pereyra MID91
2
-
F Pierrot FWD91
1
-
J Penrice DEF8
-
A Ademi MID71
1
-
N Eliasson  MID723
-
Zini FWD7
-
D Vida DEF51
2
-
M Grujić MID5
-
D Kaloskamis MID1
-
J Jönsson MID1
-