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Ajaccio v Lorient : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd May, 19:00 BST, Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

Mathieu Chabert's Ajaccio side are on home soil in the Ligue 2 on Friday evening, as Olivier Pantaloni's Lorient visit the Stade François-Coty. Ligue 2 statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Ajaccio and Lorient have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Lorient coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ajaccio 27%	5/1	-
Draw 27%	29/10 3%	-
Lorient 46%	11/20 1%	-
Lorient 1-0 13%	5/1 9%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	13/2	-
Draw 0-0 9%	8/1 6%	-
Ajaccio 1-0 9%	12/1	-
Lorient 2-0 9%	11/2	-
Lorient 2-1 9%	15/2 6%	-
Ajaccio 2-1 6%	18/1	-
Ajaccio 2-0 4%	28/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	-
Lorient 3-0 4%	10/1	-
Lorient 3-1 4%	12/1 13%	-
Ajaccio 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Lorient 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Ajaccio 3-0 1%	66/1	-
Lorient 4-0 1%	20/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	19/20 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	17/20 9%	-
Home 1st Goal 43%	13/5	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/11 3%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	8/1 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	11/10 5%	-
BTTS - No 52%	4/6 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 11%	12/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	3/1 8%	-
Home/draw 54%	11/8 3%	-
Away/draw 73%	1/8	-
Home/away 73%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	3/10 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	12/5 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	12/5 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	3/10 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	6/1 13%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/10 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	14/1 21%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/33 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	10/1 29%	-
Home DNB 46%	7/2 4%	-
Away DNB 65%	2/11 2%	-
Ajaccio win to nil 15%	9/1 11%	-
Lorient win to nil 28%	11/8 6%	-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio 8%	10/1	-
Ajaccio / Lorient 4%	22/1	-
Ajaccio / Draw 4%	18/1	-
Draw / Ajaccio 7%	11/1	-
Draw / Lorient 19%	10/3 8%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Lorient / Ajaccio 2%	40/1	-
Lorient / Lorient 35%	11/8 1%	-
Lorient / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Ajaccio have conceded 31 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 1st place on 68 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ajaccio Lorient
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lorient Away	32	21	5	6	34	68	May 2	l 3-0A	-	-
2	Paris FC	32	20	5	7	20	65	l 0-2A	May 10	w 2-0F	l 3-2A
3	Metz	32	17	10	5	29	61	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
4	Dunkerque	32	17	3	12	7	54	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	w 4-2A	w 0-1F
5	Guingamp	32	16	3	13	10	51	l 0-3A	l 1-0A	w 3-1F	w 1-2A
6	Lavallois	32	14	7	11	7	49	w 3-0F	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
7	Annecy	32	13	9	10	-2	48	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	w 4-2A	d 0-00-0
8	Bastia	32	10	14	8	5	44	d 0-00-0	l 4-0A	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0
9	Grenoble	32	12	7	13	-1	43	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
10	Pau	32	10	12	10	-10	42	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 5-0F	l 1-0A
11	Troyes	32	12	5	15	3	41	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
12	Amiens	32	12	4	16	-13	40	w 2-1F	l 3-1A	w 3-1A	l 1-0A
13	Ajaccio Home	32	11	6	15	-11	39	-	-	w 3-0F	May 2
14	Rodez	32	9	10	13	2	37	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	w 3-1A	d 3-3F
15	Red Star	32	9	9	14	-14	36	w 2-1A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	w 1-2F
16	Martigues	32	9	4	19	-23	31	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	May 10	w 0-1F
17	Clermont	32	6	11	15	-17	29	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 3-2A	l 2-1A
18	Caen	32	5	6	21	-26	21	w 2-1A	l 1-0A	w 4-0F	w 1-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Lorient have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Pau
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Amiens
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Red Star
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Dunkerque
Ajaccio	3 - 0	Lavallois
Ajaccio	0 - 3	Guingamp
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Clermont
Ajaccio	0 - 1	Metz
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Martigues
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Grenoble
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Troyes
Ajaccio	1 - 0	Rodez
Ajaccio	1 - 2	Grenoble
Ajaccio	1 - 1	Quevillaise.
Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
Ajaccio	2 - 0	St Etienne

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Annecy
H	Ajaccio	1 - 1	Pau
A	Ajaccio	0 - 0	Troyes
H	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Amiens
A	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Martigues
H	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Red Star
A	Ajaccio	2 - 2	Grenoble
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Dunkerque
A	Ajaccio	1 - 0	Metz
H	Ajaccio	3 - 0	Lavallois
H	Ajaccio	0 - 3	Guingamp
A	Ajaccio	1 - 0	Clermont
A	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Rodez
H	Ajaccio	2 - 1	Caen
A	Ajaccio	0 - 4	Bastia
H	Ajaccio	1 - 2	Annecy
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Pau
H	Ajaccio	0 - 2	Paris FC
H	Ajaccio	0 - 0	Bastia
A	Ajaccio	0 - 1	Dunkerque

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Annecy	0 - 0	Lorient
Guingamp	1 - 2	Lorient
Grenoble	1 - 2	Lorient
Paris FC	3 - 2	Lorient
Troyes	0 - 1	Lorient
Red Star	1 - 2	Lorient
Dunkerque	0 - 1	Lorient
Lavallois	2 - 0	Lorient
Bastia	0 - 0	Lorient
Clermont	2 - 1	Lorient
Rodez	3 - 3	Lorient
Caen	1 - 2	Lorient
Pau	1 - 0	Lorient
Metz	1 - 1	Lorient
Amiens	1 - 0	Lorient
Martigues	0 - 1	Lorient
Marseille	3 - 1	Lorient
Lens	2 - 0	Lorient
Nice	3 - 0	Lorient
Montpellier	2 - 0	Lorient

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lorient	4 - 0	Caen
A	Lorient	0 - 0	Annecy
A	Lorient	2 - 1	Guingamp
H	Lorient	5 - 0	Pau
A	Lorient	2 - 1	Grenoble
H	Lorient	4 - 0	Bastia
A	Lorient	2 - 3	Paris FC
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Rodez
H	Lorient	0 - 1	Lavallois
A	Lorient	1 - 0	Troyes
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Amiens
A	Lorient	2 - 1	Red Star
H	Lorient	3 - 2	Clermont
A	Lorient	1 - 0	Dunkerque
H	Lorient	0 - 0	Metz
A	Lorient	0 - 2	Lavallois
H	Lorient	2 - 0	Paris FC
H	Lorient	2 - 0	Troyes
A	Lorient	0 - 0	Bastia
H	Lorient	3 - 1	Guingamp

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lorient have beaten Ajaccio in 3 consecutive league meetings

Lorient have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Ajaccio

Ajaccio

Lorient

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

AJC

LOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
	0 - 1	Lorient
Ajaccio	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Ajaccio	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Lorient

Lorient

Ajaccio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

0 / 6

Clean sheets

6 / 6

1 / 6

LOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Lorient	3 - 0
Lorient	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Lorient	1 - 0
Lorient	2 - 0
Lorient	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Lorient's defensive record is very strong, Olivier Pantaloni's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Ligue 2 matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Ajaccio makes sense in this context.

	Ajaccio 13th	Lorient 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Ajaccio scoring 1 goal or less	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 58% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-27 Lorient have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season

AJC

LOR

38%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		25
Failed to score	14		7
Scored first	10		15
Goals scored	28		62
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.9
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	11		18
Avg. XG for	0.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+38%

AJC

LOR

21%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		19
Clean sheets	8		13
Conceded first	20		14
Goals conceded	39		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.7		0.9
KickOff rating		+21%

Ajaccio v Lorient Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	6	3	7
F Sollacaro	A Kanté	M Barreto	B Santelli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Anziani MID	32	3	1	4 -
F Sollacaro GLK	29			4 -
A Bamba DEF	28	3		5 -
M Soumano FWD	27	4	2	2 -
T Strata DEF	26	1	1	2 -
C Vidal DEF	25			6 -
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	23			4 -
M Barreto MID	23	2	3	6 -
M Puchherrantz MID	22			2 1
A Kanté FWD	22	6	1	-
K. Kouassi DEF	21		2	3 2
B Santelli FWD	21	1	1	6 1
M Huard DEF	20		1	4 1
M Youssouf DEF	20			5 -
I Chegra MID	18			3 -
B Touré FWD	18	2		2 -
T Mangani MID	17		1	6 -
Y Touzghar FWD	9	1		-
V Jacob MID	7		1	-
S Quemper DEF	5			2 -
G Quilichini GLK	3			-
A. Toure FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	3	11
A Kanté	J Anziani	M Barreto	J Anziani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Kanté FWD	6	12	1	3
M Soumano FWD	4	15	2	7
J Anziani MID	3	18	1	11
A Bamba DEF	3	5		3
M Barreto MID	2	6	3	10
B Touré FWD	2	7		5
Y Touzghar FWD	1	3		5
B Santelli FWD	1	7	1	5
T Strata DEF	1	3	1	7
M Puchherrantz MID				5
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF				2
K. Kouassi DEF		2	2	8
M Huard DEF			1	4
M Youssouf DEF		3		2
I Chegra MID		3		7
C Vidal DEF		1
T Mangani MID			1	1
V Jacob MID			1	2
S Quemper DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1045	39	130
A Bamba	J Anziani	J Anziani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bamba DEF	1045	28	95
J Anziani MID	977	39	130
C Vidal DEF	892	11	97
F Sollacaro GLK	811		11
M Barreto MID	799	31	78
T Strata DEF	667	25	62
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF	664	26	85
M Huard DEF	603	30	89
K. Kouassi DEF	582	32	126
M Youssouf DEF	464	31	92
T Mangani MID	385	15	40
M Soumano FWD	335	21	115
B Santelli FWD	333	16	116
M Puchherrantz MID	288	26	47
A Kanté FWD	212	8	61
S Quemper DEF	191	8	12
B Touré FWD	188	12	65
Y Touzghar FWD	112	3	20
I Chegra MID	110	8	31
V Jacob MID	100	11	27
G Quilichini GLK	78
A. Toure FWD	9		1

Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	20	8	7
Y Mvogo	E Kroupi	A Tosin	L Abergel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Mvogo GLK	32			-
D Yongwa DEF	31	1	6	4 -
A Avon MID	30	2	3	2 -
L Abergel MID	30	1	6	7 -
S Soumano FWD	30	12	3	1 -
M Talbi DEF	29	1	1	3 1
J Mvuka MID	28	3		-
J Ponceau MID	28	3	5	3 -
E Kroupi FWD	28	20	2	2 -
A Tosin FWD	25	3	8	-
I Silva DEF	24		1	6 -
P Pagis FWD	24	3	4	3 -
P Katseris DEF	21	4		3 -
J Laporte DEF	20	2		4 -
F Mendy DEF	20	1		1 -
G Kalulu DEF	18			1 -
J Makengo MID	16		1	1 -
N Adjei DEF	9			-
I. James DEF	7			2 -
Mohamed Bamba FWD	7	3	4	-
E. Genton DEF	6	1		1 -
B Fadiga MID	6		1	-
S Diarra MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
20	35	8	26
E Kroupi	E Kroupi	A Tosin	A Avon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Kroupi FWD	20	35	2	12
S Soumano FWD	12	20	3	9
P Katseris DEF	4	10		12
J Ponceau MID	3	16	5	24
A Tosin FWD	3	14	8	13
P Pagis FWD	3	18	4	19
Mohamed Bamba FWD	3	3	4	3
J Mvuka MID	3	9		6
A Avon MID	2	8	3	26
J Laporte DEF	2	2		1
M Talbi DEF	1	6	1	6
L Abergel MID	1	9	6	17
D Yongwa DEF	1	4	6	19
F Mendy DEF	1	2		2
E. Genton DEF	1	1		1
I. James DEF				2
B Fadiga MID			1	1
J Makengo MID		8	1	3
G Kalulu DEF				3
I Silva DEF		4	1	10

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1946	75	201
M Talbi	D Yongwa	D Yongwa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Talbi DEF	1946	32	149
L Abergel MID	1827	71	161
J Laporte DEF	1323	21	110
J Ponceau MID	1148	28	76
D Yongwa DEF	1144	75	201
A Avon MID	1111	74	152
Y Mvogo GLK	1110	1	7
I Silva DEF	1022	58	98
G Kalulu DEF	750	25	54
F Mendy DEF	728	30	82
P Pagis FWD	664	37	92
E Kroupi FWD	534	12	48
N Adjei DEF	482	10	35
J Mvuka MID	407	28	80
S Soumano FWD	293	4	69
P Katseris DEF	292	25	63
J Makengo MID	275	10	43
A Tosin FWD	252	7	38
I. James DEF	103	11	20
Mohamed Bamba FWD	87	4	21
B Fadiga MID	33	1	3
E. Genton DEF	22	2	6
S Diarra MID	6		1

French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Dunkerque v Lavallois

Ajaccio v Lorient : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ajaccio have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Lorient lay in 1st place on 68 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Ajaccio v Lorient Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

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