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Bastia v Troyes : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Feb, 19:45 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 2, and Benoit Tavenot’s Bastia will have the luxury of it on Monday evening. Stéphane Dumont’s Troyes are their opponents at the Stade Armand-Cesari. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
29%
--
Draw
29%
--
Troyes
42%
--
Troyes 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Bastia 1-0
11%
--
Troyes 2-0
8%
--
Troyes 2-1
8%
--
Bastia 2-1
6%
--
Bastia 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Troyes 3-0
3%
--
Troyes 3-1
3%
--
Bastia 3-1
2%
--
Bastia 3-0
2%
--
Troyes 3-2
1%
--
Bastia 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
42%
--
BTTS - No
58%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
62%
--
Bastia win to nil
18%
--
Troyes win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Troyes lay in 1st place on 41 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Troyes have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Troyes have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Troyes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2112541341 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
Reims2111551438 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 6
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Le Mans211083838 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
4
St Etienne211047934 
Apr 17
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-3A
Apr 24
5
Red Star20974834 
Dec 5
Apr 10
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
6
Dunkerque219661233 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Guingamp21957032 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
w
 
5-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
Annecy21948631 
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 16
9
Montpellier21948331 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
10
Pau21876-331 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
11
Rodez21696-327 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
d
 
1-1F
Apr 10
12
Grenoble21678-525 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
May 9
13
Boulogne216510-923 
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
Apr 17
w
 
1-2F
14
Clermont21579-522 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
Mar 6
d
 
0-00-0
15
Nancy216411-1122 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
16
Amiens215412-919 
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
Feb 27
17
Lavallois213711-1516 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
May 2
w
 
0-1F
18
Bastia203611-1315 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia0 - 0Nancy
Bastia0 - 2Montpellier
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Lavallois
Bastia1 - 3Reims
Bastia1 - 0Clermont
Bastia0 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia2 - 3Rodez
Bastia1 - 3Guingamp
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia0 - 0Nancy
HBastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
HBastia1 - 3Reims
HBastia1 - 0Clermont
ABastia0 - 2Nancy
ABastia0 - 1Troyes
HBastia0 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 0Grenoble
HBastia2 - 3Rodez
ABastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia0 - 1Boulogne
ABastia0 - 0Amiens
HBastia1 - 3Guingamp
ABastia0 - 1Le Mans
HBastia1 - 1Pau
Troyes 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guingamp1 - 0Troyes
Boulogne1 - 2Troyes
Lavallois0 - 1Troyes
Pau1 - 1Troyes
Reims0 - 0Troyes
Le Mans2 - 2Troyes
Red Star1 - 3Troyes
Dunkerque2 - 0Troyes
Clermont0 - 0Troyes
Grenoble3 - 1Troyes
Clermont0 - 2Troyes
Metz2 - 1Troyes
Pau0 - 2Troyes
Paris FC1 - 0Troyes
Martigues1 - 2Troyes
Lavallois1 - 0Troyes
Rodez2 - 1Troyes
Amiens0 - 3Troyes
Lorient2 - 0Troyes
Red Star0 - 3Troyes
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTroyes0 - 2Le Mans
ATroyes0 - 1Guingamp
HTroyes2 - 1Reims
HTroyes1 - 0Red Star
ATroyes2 - 1Boulogne
HTroyes1 - 1Rodez
ATroyes1 - 0Lavallois
HTroyes2 - 3St Etienne
ATroyes1 - 1Pau
HTroyes3 - 1Amiens
ATroyes0 - 0Reims
HTroyes1 - 0Bastia
ATroyes2 - 2Le Mans
HTroyes3 - 1Annecy
ATroyes3 - 1Red Star
HTroyes5 - 2Guingamp
HTroyes3 - 0Nancy
ATroyes0 - 2Dunkerque
HTroyes1 - 0Montpellier
ATroyes0 - 0Clermont
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2016
Bastia
Troyes
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
BAS
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bastia3 - 2
Bastia2 - 0
League games at Troyes since 2015
Troyes
Bastia
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
TRO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Troyes
Troyes1 - 0
Troyes2 - 0
Troyes2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bastia 18th Troyes 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Troyes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Troyes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Troyes
0.9
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
BAS
TRO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BAS
TRO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bastia v Troyes Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19416
Z. ArissJ SebasF TomiZ. Ariss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Tomi MID2021
3
-
Z. Ariss DEF191
6
-
T. Meynadier DEF18
4
-
J Placide GLK171
1
-
A Roncaglia DEF171
2
2
J Sebas FWD174
4
1
D Guidi DEF161
6
-
C Vincent MID16
3
-
A Aiki FWD15
-
I Karamoko FWD15
2
-
A Boutrah FWD1521
1
-
J Janneh MID14
-
T Ducrocq MID141
4
1
M. Ble FWD14
1
-
J. Guevara DEF131
4
-
F Bohnert DEF131
4
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID131
2
-
L Etoga MID91
1
-
N. Parravicini FWD6
3
-
L. Olmeta GLK3
1
-
G Akueson DEF3
1
-
D. Basset DEF1
-
Troyes Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21957
A MonfrayT. BentayebM AdelineA Monfray
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Monfray DEF21
7
-
M. Ifnaoui MID2034
1
-
A. Mille MID2023
4
-
M Diop MID2032
1
1
M Adeline MID2045
3
1
M. Detourbet FWD2013
3
-
I Boura DEF1912
3
-
K. Assoumou FWD1741
3
-
M Idrissy FWD1531
4
-
T. Bentayeb FWD1591
1
1
P Gozzi DEF14
3
-
L Maronnier DEF13
3
1
H Konaté GLK12
1
-
H Gambor DEF111
2
-
Y. Titi DEF111
1
-
N Lemaître GLK10
3
-
R Ripart FWD83
1
-
E. Odede FWD81
-
A Phliponeau  MID7
1
-
A. Diakité FWD3
1
-
S. Bocoum DEF1
-
M Hamdi DEF1
1
-
X Chavalerin MID1
1
-
I. Traoré FWD1
-