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Guingamp v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd May, 19:00 BST, Stade Municipal de Roudourou, Guingamp

Benoit Tavenot takes his Bastia team to the Stade Municipal de Roudourou in the Ligue 2 on Friday evening, with Sylvain Ripoll's Guingamp the opponent. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Guingamp and Bastia 3 goals or less combined during this Ligue 2 clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guingamp are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Guingamp
53%
1/1
5%
-
Draw
26%
5/2-
Bastia
21%
27/10
8%
-
Guingamp 1-0
14%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Guingamp 2-0
11%
8/1
6%
-
Guingamp 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Bastia 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Guingamp 3-0
6%
16/1
13%
-
Bastia 2-1
5%
12/1-
Guingamp 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Bastia 2-0
3%
18/1-
Guingamp 4-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Guingamp 3-2
2%
28/1-
Guingamp 4-1
2%
33/1-
Bastia 3-1
1%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
21/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/4-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
9%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
5/6-
BTTS - No
54%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
79%
2/7
6%
-
Away/draw
47%
4/5
6%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/2
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
-
Home DNB
71%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
39%
13/8
5%
-
Guingamp win to nil
33%
12/5
5%
-
Bastia win to nil
12%
5/1
8%
-
Guingamp / Guingamp
26%
11/5
7%
-
Guingamp / Bastia
2%
33/1-
Guingamp / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Guingamp
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Bastia
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Bastia / Guingamp
4%
22/1-
Bastia / Bastia
14%
5/1
8%
-
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Guingamp have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 2 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Guingamp have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Guingamp have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Bastia are in 8th position in the Ligue 2 on 44 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Bastia have conceded 18 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Guingamp
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient3221563468 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
2
Paris FC3220572065 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Metz32171052961 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
4
Dunkerque3217312754 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
5
Guingamp Home32163131051 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
May 2
6
Lavallois3214711749 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
7
Annecy3213910-248 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-4F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
Bastia Away3210148544 
May 2
l
 
3-1F
-
-
9
Grenoble3212713-143 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
10
Pau32101210-1042 
l
 
0-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
11
Troyes3212515341 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
12
Amiens3212416-1340 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
13
Ajaccio3211615-1139 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Rodez3291013237 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
15
Red Star329914-1436 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Martigues329419-2331 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Clermont3261115-1729 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
18
Caen325621-2621 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Bastia have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Guingamp 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guingamp2 - 1Martigues
Guingamp1 - 2Lorient
Guingamp2 - 0Lavallois
Guingamp3 - 1Clermont
Guingamp0 - 3Metz
Guingamp0 - 1Paris FC
Guingamp3 - 0Rodez
Guingamp1 - 1Dunkerque
Guingamp3 - 0Amiens
Guingamp3 - 0Grenoble
Guingamp1 - 0Ajaccio
Guingamp0 - 1Pau
Guingamp3 - 1Caen
Guingamp2 - 2Annecy
Guingamp3 - 4Red Star
Guingamp4 - 0Troyes
Guingamp0 - 1Lavallois
Guingamp2 - 2St Etienne
Guingamp1 - 2Angers
Guingamp0 - 1Bastia
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuingamp2 - 1Martigues
AGuingamp2 - 3Amiens
HGuingamp1 - 2Lorient
AGuingamp1 - 3Dunkerque
HGuingamp2 - 0Lavallois
AGuingamp1 - 0Troyes
HGuingamp3 - 1Clermont
AGuingamp1 - 3Red Star
AGuingamp1 - 1Grenoble
HGuingamp0 - 3Metz
AGuingamp3 - 0Ajaccio
HGuingamp0 - 1Paris FC
AGuingamp1 - 0Caen
HGuingamp3 - 0Rodez
AGuingamp4 - 1Annecy
HGuingamp1 - 1Dunkerque
AGuingamp1 - 3Bastia
AGuingamp1 - 0Martigues
HGuingamp3 - 0Amiens
AGuingamp1 - 3Lorient
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paris FC1 - 0Bastia
Annecy1 - 1Bastia
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Clermont1 - 1Bastia
Rodez0 - 2Bastia
Amiens1 - 0Bastia
Grenoble3 - 2Bastia
Red Star0 - 0Bastia
Ajaccio0 - 0Bastia
Lavallois2 - 2Bastia
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Dunkerque2 - 1Bastia
Martigues0 - 1Bastia
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Pau1 - 2Bastia
Annecy3 - 2Bastia
Guingamp0 - 1Bastia
Bordeaux2 - 3Bastia
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia2 - 3Grenoble
ABastia0 - 1Paris FC
HBastia5 - 2Lavallois
ABastia1 - 1Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 4Lorient
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bastia have not lost to Guingamp in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Guingamp since 2013
Guingamp
Bastia
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
GUI
3
D
2
BAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guingamp
0 - 1Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Bastia
Guingamp5 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Guingamp
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
GUI
1
D
3
BAS
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Guingamp
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Guingamp have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Bastia on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Guingamp 5th Bastia 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Guingamp will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Guingamp’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Bastia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280005/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Guingamp
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
GUI
BAS
view stats
Games scored27
22
Failed to score5
10
Scored first18
14
Goals scored52
39
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
GUI
BAS
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
20
Clean sheets11
12
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded42
34
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%

Guingamp v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Guingamp Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321184
E BasilioJ SiweH PicardK Sidibé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Basilio GLK32
-
H Picard MID3228
-
D Louiserre MID311
3
-
K Sidibé MID2915
4
-
B Labeau FWD2784
-
S. Nair DEF261
2
1
A Sissoko DEF268
4
-
M Riou DEF261
-
R Ghrieb MID2671
2
-
J Siwe FWD26112
3
-
T Luvambo MID254
4
-
A. Hemia MID2492
4
-
A Sagna MID202
-
L Maronnier DEF191
1
-
L Vallier DEF192
2
-
S. Guendouz FWD181
3
-
D Gomis DEF16
1
1
L Phiri MID16
1
-
J Mendes FWD1421
-
D. Ourega DEF9
-
T Bris MID82
1
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32839
J PlacideL CisséT DucrocqG Akueson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK32
3
-
A Boutrah FWD3161
2
-
T Ducrocq MID3033
6
-
L Cissé FWD2983
-
Z. Ariss DEF272
6
-
F Bohnert DEF27
2
-
G Akueson DEF27
8
1
T. Meynadier DEF25
3
-
C Vincent MID2551
6
-
J Maggiotti  MID252
4
-
J Janneh MID241
6
2
L Tramoni FWD2413
2
-
A Roncaglia MID21
2
1
F Tomi MID2041
1
-
D Guidi DEF18
5
-
J. Guevara DEF161
4
-
L Etoga MID161
4
1
C. Inao Oulaï MID141
4
-
J Sebas FWD111
1
-
D Tavares DEF6
1
1
A Aiki FWD6
-
M. Boumaaoui FWD2
-
S. Mazikou DEF1
-