Lille's team badge Paris Saint-Germain's team badge

Lille v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Sunday evening sees Bruno Genesio’s Lille and Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain go head to head in a Ligue 1 battle at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Sunday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Lille and PSG to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean it's a losing tip but, with statistics below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
24%
4.334.20
Draw
22%
3.804.00
PSG
54%
1.731.75
Draw 1-1
10%
7.507.00
PSG 2-1
10%
8.507.50
PSG 1-0
8%
9.508.00
PSG 2-0
8%
9.509.00
PSG 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
Lille 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Lille 1-0
5%
15.0012.00
PSG 3-0
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0012.00
PSG 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Lille 2-0
3%
23.0019.00
PSG 4-1
3%
23.0019.00
PSG 4-0
3%
26.0021.00
Lille 3-1
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.621.60
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.302.25
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.402.60
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.571.57
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.621.60
BTTS - No
40%
2.202.20
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7.006.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.60
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.203.10
Home/draw
46%
2.052.05
Away/draw
76%
1.201.22
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.201.18
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.504.33
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.502.45
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.531.50
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.504.20
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.201.20
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.071.07
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0012.00
Home DNB
39%
3.253.10
Away DNB
70%
1.331.33
Lille win to nil
10%
9.00-
PSG win to nil
26%
3.40-
Lille / Lille
12%
7.006.50
Lille / PSG
4%
19.0017.00
Lille / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Lille
9%
9.508.50
Draw / PSG
17%
5.004.60
Draw / Draw
13%
6.505.75
PSG / Lille
3%
29.0026.00
PSG / PSG
30%
2.632.62
PSG / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lille
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG6501815 
Oct 5
Jan 18
-
-
2
Lyon6501515 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
Apr 19
Nov 9
3
Marseille6402712 
Dec 7
Mar 22
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
4
Monaco6402412 
w
 
1-0F
May 9
Mar 8
Nov 30
5
Strasbourg6402212 
Jan 25
Nov 9
Oct 17
Feb 1
6
Lille6312410 
-
-
Jan 18
Oct 5
7
Lens6312310 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
8
Rennes6231-19 
Jan 4
Mar 15
Dec 7
Feb 15
9
Brest621307 
Feb 15
d
 
3-3F
May 9
Oct 25
10
Toulouse6213-27 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
11
Paris FC6213-37 
Nov 23
Apr 26
Jan 4
May 16
12
Nice6213-37 
Apr 19
Oct 29
Nov 1
Mar 22
13
Lorient6213-57 
Mar 8
w
 
1-7F
May 3
Oct 29
14
Auxerre6204-46 
May 16
Dec 14
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
15
Le Havre6123-25 
May 3
Nov 30
Nov 23
Feb 28
16
Nantes6123-25 
Mar 1
Oct 19
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
17
Angers6123-35 
Nov 2
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
18
Metz6024-82 
Oct 26
Feb 8
Feb 22
Dec 14
Win / draw / win form
Lille 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille0 - 1Lyon
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Lille1 - 0Monaco
Lille2 - 1Reims
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Lille3 - 1Auxerre
Lille1 - 0Lens
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Lille2 - 1Monaco
Lille1 - 2Le Havre
Lille4 - 1St Etienne
Lille2 - 1Nice
Lille1 - 1Nantes
Lille3 - 1Brest
Lille1 - 0Rennes
Lille1 - 1Lyon
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Lille3 - 3Strasbourg
Lille1 - 3PSG
Lille2 - 0Angers
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille0 - 1Lyon
ALille0 - 3Lens
HLille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille7 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Monaco
ALille3 - 3Brest
HLille2 - 1Reims
ALille0 - 2Brest
HLille1 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 0Angers
HLille3 - 1Auxerre
ALille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille1 - 2Lyon
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 1Nantes
HLille1 - 0Montpellier
ALille1 - 4PSG
HLille2 - 1Monaco
ALille2 - 0Rennes
HLille1 - 2Le Havre
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Montpellier1 - 4PSG
Strasbourg2 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 1PSG
St Etienne1 - 6PSG
Rennes1 - 4PSG
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Brest2 - 5PSG
Lens1 - 2PSG
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Auxerre0 - 0PSG
Angers2 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Nice1 - 1PSG
Reims1 - 1PSG
Lille1 - 3PSG
Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG2 - 0Auxerre
APSG0 - 1Marseille
HPSG2 - 0Lens
APSG6 - 3Toulouse
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG1 - 0Nantes
HPSG3 - 1Auxerre
APSG4 - 1Montpellier
APSG1 - 2Strasbourg
HPSG1 - 3Nice
APSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG2 - 1Le Havre
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG6 - 1St Etienne
HPSG3 - 1Marseille
APSG4 - 1Rennes
HPSG4 - 1Lille
APSG3 - 2Lyon
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
PSG have beaten Lille in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
PSG have not lost to Lille in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
PSG
Goals: Scored
11
28
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
LIL
1
D
3
PSG
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
1 - 3PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 7PSG
1 - 5PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
Lille5 - 1
0 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3PSG
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Lille
Goals: Scored
30
13
Games: Scored
10 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
2 / 12
LIL
1
D
2
PSG
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG4 - 1
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 3
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 1
PSG3 - 1
PSG2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG6 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Lille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lille 6th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Lille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
PSG have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.2
1.9
Attack rating
7%
better
LIL
PSG
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
4
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
LIL
PSG
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded8
4
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+44%

Lille v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6232
N Ngoy M FernandezF CorreiaM Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Ngoy  DEF61
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID6
1
-
N Bentaleb MID61
1
-
F Correia FWD63
-
M Fernandez FWD621
2
-
B Özer GLK51
-
R Perraud DEF511
1
-
H Haraldsson MID52
-
N Mukau MID51
-
O Giroud FWD52
1
-
A Mandi DEF4
2
-
Alexsandro DEF4
-
B André MID41
1
-
I. Hamza FWD42
1
-
O Sahraoui FWD411
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID31
-
C Mbemba DEF2
1
-
C Verdonk DEF2
1
-
T Meunier DEF2
-
M Broholm FWD2
-
A Bodart GLK1
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
T Santos DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6331
L ChevalierB BarcolaVitinhaA Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK6
-
A Hakimi DEF6
1
-
Vitinha MID613
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID6
-
I. Mbaye FWD6
-
G Ramos FWD6
1
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF51
-
N Mendes  DEF51
-
F Ruiz MID511
-
K Lee FWD5
-
B Barcola FWD53
1
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD5
-
L Beraldo DEF41
-
W Pacho DEF3
-
L Hernández  DEF3
-
S. Mayulu MID31
-
J Neves MID33
-
D Doué FWD3
-
O Dembélé FWD321
-
Marquinhos DEF2
-