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Marseille v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 14:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ligue 1, and Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Olivier Pantaloni’s Lorient are their visitors to the Stade Vélodrome. Stats power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Marseille to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Ligue 1 game, a bet on win / draw / win for Marseille to win in front of their own fans is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will have too much for Lorient, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Marseille claiming victory is the bet come Sunday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
69%
2/5
1%
2/5
3%
Draw
18%
7/24/1
9%
Lorient
13%
13/2
7%
6/1
Marseille 2-0
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Marseille 1-0
9%
8/1
29%
13/2
25%
Draw 1-1
8%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Marseille 3-0
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Marseille 4-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Marseille 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
Lorient 2-1
4%
20/116/1
Lorient 1-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Marseille 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
19%
Marseille 5-0
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Marseille 5-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15
15%
8/15
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
6/4
25%
11/8
19%
Home 1st Goal
59%
2/54/11
Away 1st Goal
39%
2/1
3%
23/10
6%
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
10%
3/4
13%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
11%
19/20
13%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
15/8
11%
7/4
15%
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
8%
19/4
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
17%
Home/draw
87%
1/101/10
1%
Away/draw
31%
7/419/10
5%
Home/away
82%
2/111/6
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
6%
1/6
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
25%
18/5
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
13/10
23%
13/10
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/13
16%
4/7
15%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
27%
29/10
26%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/4
10%
2/9
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
36%
6/1
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
5%
1/12
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
Home DNB
81%
1/8
1%
1/8
1%
Away DNB
26%
5/1
9%
17/4
Marseille win to nil
36%
6/4
11%
-
Lorient win to nil
6%
14/1
36%
-
Marseille / Marseille
40%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Marseille / Lorient
2%
40/133/1
Marseille / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Marseille
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
Draw / Lorient
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
Lorient / Marseille
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
Lorient / Lorient
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
Lorient / Draw
5%
18/114/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG330059 
Sep 21
Feb 8
Oct 29
May 3
2
Lyon330059 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Dec 7
Apr 12
3
Lille321077 
Mar 22
Dec 7
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
4
Monaco320126 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Sep 28
Jan 18
5
Lens320126 
Jan 25
Oct 26
Mar 15
Nov 2
6
Strasbourg320116 
Feb 15
Sep 28
Apr 26
Dec 14
7
Toulouse320106 
Nov 30
Mar 8
Nov 9
Mar 22
8
Angers311104 
Oct 29
Jan 18
Feb 15
Oct 26
9
Rennes3111-34 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Jan 25
10
Marseille310213 
-
-
Apr 19
Sep 14
11
Le Havre3102-13 
Oct 19
May 9
May 16
Sep 21
12
Nice3102-13 
Apr 26
Nov 23
Nov 30
Feb 22
13
Nantes3102-13 
Jan 4
May 3
Feb 1
Nov 23
14
Auxerre3102-23 
Mar 15
Nov 2
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
15
Paris FC3102-33 
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
Apr 5
Oct 5
16
Lorient3102-33 
Sep 14
Apr 19
-
-
17
Brest3012-41 
Nov 9
Feb 22
Oct 19
Feb 8
18
Metz3003-50 
Apr 12
Oct 5
Jan 4
May 9
Win / draw / win form
5
Marseille have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
Marseille have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Marseille 10TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Lorient 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre1 - 0Lorient
Ajaccio2 - 1Lorient
Annecy0 - 0Lorient
Guingamp1 - 2Lorient
Grenoble1 - 2Lorient
Paris FC3 - 2Lorient
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Red Star1 - 2Lorient
Dunkerque0 - 1Lorient
Lavallois2 - 0Lorient
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Clermont2 - 1Lorient
Rodez3 - 3Lorient
Caen1 - 2Lorient
Pau1 - 0Lorient
Metz1 - 1Lorient
Amiens1 - 0Lorient
Martigues0 - 1Lorient
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Lens2 - 0Lorient
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLorient1 - 7Lille
HLorient4 - 0Rennes
ALorient0 - 1Auxerre
HLorient5 - 1Martigues
ALorient1 - 2Ajaccio
HLorient4 - 0Caen
ALorient0 - 0Annecy
ALorient2 - 1Guingamp
HLorient5 - 0Pau
ALorient2 - 1Grenoble
HLorient4 - 0Bastia
ALorient2 - 3Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Rodez
HLorient0 - 1Lavallois
ALorient1 - 0Troyes
HLorient3 - 1Amiens
ALorient2 - 1Red Star
HLorient3 - 2Clermont
ALorient1 - 0Dunkerque
HLorient0 - 0Metz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Marseille have beaten Lorient in 5 consecutive home league meetings
12
Marseille have not lost to Lorient in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lorient
Goals: Scored
20
11
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
MAR
6
D
1
LOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille4 - 1
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
3 - 5Lorient
Marseille1 - 0
League games at Lorient since 2013
Lorient
Marseille
Goals: Scored
5
16
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
MAR
5
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
2 - 4Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Marseille
0 - 1Marseille
1 - 4Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Marseille
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Lorient, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 61 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Marseille 10th Lorient 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Lorient scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
Marseille have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
-24
Lorient have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
9%
better
MAR
LOR
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored5
4
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for2.5
2.1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
MAR
LOR
51%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
1
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
1
Avg. goals conceded1
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
3
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against20%
10%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.7
KickOff rating
+51%

Marseille v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
G RulliP AubameyangM Greenwood C Egan-Riley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
M Murillo DEF3
1
-
L Balerdi DEF3
1
-
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
A Gomes MID3
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID31
-
D. Bakola MID3
-
R. Vaz FWD31
1
-
T Weah FWD3
-
P Aubameyang FWD32
-
M Greenwood  FWD312
-
B Nadir MID22
-
A Gouiri FWD2
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
G Kondogbia MID1
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212
B KamaraA Tosin K. KouassiL Abergel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kamara GLK3
-
K. Kouassi DEF31
1
-
M Talbi DEF3
-
D Yongwa DEF3
-
I Silva DEF3
1
-
L Abergel MID3
2
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-
A Avon MID31
1
-
K Dermane MID3
1
-
A Tosin  FWD32
-
S Soumano FWD311
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD31
-
A. Faye DEF2
1
-
T Bris MID21
-
P Pagis FWD21
1
-
J Mvuka FWD2
-
N Cadiou MID1
-