Marseille's team badge Toulouse's team badge

Marseille v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Nov, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Saturday night sees Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille and Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse go head to head in a Ligue 1 battle at the Stade Vélodrome. Analysing both teams' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

A Ligue 1 home win for Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Marseille win is the way to go, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
65%
8/13
3%
-
Draw
20%
14/5-
Toulouse
15%
9/2
10%
-
Marseille 2-0
11%
13/2
12%
-
Marseille 1-0
10%
6/1
13%
-
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2-
Marseille 3-0
8%
11/1
8%
-
Marseille 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
-
Toulouse 1-0
4%
12/1
13%
-
Toulouse 2-1
4%
16/1
13%
-
Marseille 4-0
4%
22/1
12%
-
Marseille 4-1
4%
25/1-
Marseille 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Toulouse 2-0
2%
25/1-
Marseille 5-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
10/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
10/11
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/11
9%
-
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
13/5
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1
18%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
35%
5/4
5%
-
Home/away
80%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/5
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
79%
1/4
3%
-
Away DNB
29%
11/4
7%
-
Marseille win to nil
35%
13/8
12%
-
Toulouse win to nil
7%
8/1-
Marseille / Marseille
34%
6/4
4%
-
Marseille / Toulouse
2%
40/1
21%
-
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Marseille
19%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Toulouse
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Toulouse / Marseille
4%
20/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
9%
8/1
13%
-
Toulouse / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 10th position in the Ligue 1 on 16 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 12 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG128311327 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
2
Marseille128131725 
-
-
Mar 8
Nov 29
3
Lens128131025 
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
Jan 2
Apr 19
4
Strasbourg12714822 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
Dec 6
May 3
5
Lille12624820 
Mar 22
Dec 5
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
6
Monaco12624320 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
7
Lyon12624320 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
May 9
w
 
1-2A
8
Rennes12462218 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
9
Nice12525-117 
Apr 26
Nov 21
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
10
Toulouse12444216 
Nov 29
Mar 8
-
-
11
Paris FC12426-314 
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
Feb 22
Dec 13
12
Le Havre12354-414 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
13
Angers12345-513 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
Nov 23
Feb 8
14
Metz12327-1511 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
15
Brest12246-710 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
16
Nantes12246-710 
Jan 4
May 3
d
 
2-2A
May 16
17
Lorient12246-1210 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
18
Auxerre12219-127 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
10
Marseille have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Rennes0 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
AToulouse1 - 0Nice
AToulouse3 - 2St Etienne
HToulouse1 - 1Lens
HToulouse2 - 1Rennes
AToulouse0 - 0Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Reims
HToulouse1 - 2Lille
AToulouse2 - 3Marseille
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
20
Marseille have not lost to Toulouse in 20 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
8 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
2 / 10
MAR
6
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille6 - 1
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille4 - 0
Marseille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Marseille
Goals: Scored
11
25
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
MAR
6
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 3Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
2 - 5Marseille
1 - 2Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 6Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Toulouse, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 70 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Marseille 2nd Toulouse 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Toulouse scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+43
Marseille have scored 43% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
25%
better
MAR
TOU
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score2
3
Scored first7
4
Goals scored28
18
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
22%
better
MAR
TOU
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded11
16
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+22%

Marseille v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10834
P HöjbjergM Greenwood M Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF122
4
-
P Höjbjerg MID121
1
-
A Gomes MID113
3
-
R. Vaz FWD1142
2
-
M Greenwood  FWD1183
-
G Rulli GLK10
-
P Aubameyang FWD1042
-
B Pavard DEF911
3
-
Emerson DEF91
1
-
M O'Riley MID912
2
-
T Weah FWD91
1
-
I Paixão FWD911
1
-
N Aguerd DEF81
2
-
L Balerdi DEF8
3
-
B Nadir MID83
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF6
1
A Vermeeren MID61
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
D. Bakola MID5
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
J Lange GLK2
-
F Medina DEF2
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12435
G. RestesF MagriY GbohoA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK12
2
-
D. Methalie DEF12
3
-
D Sidibé DEF122
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF12
1
-
C Cresswell DEF1231
3
-
M Sauer MID12
1
-
F Magri FWD124
2
-
Y Gboho FWD1233
-
M McKenzie DEF11
2
-
A Dönnum MID1133
5
-
C Yepes MID11
2
-
W Kamanzi DEF10
-
S Hidalgo FWD92
1
-
A. Vossah MID811
1
1
A Francis MID8
2
-
Emersonn FWD811
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD7
-
R. Messali MID2
1
-
S. Koumbassa DEF1
-
J. Vignolo FWD1
-