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Metz v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 16:00 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Saturday afternoon sees Stéphane Le Mignan’s Metz and Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille go head to head in a Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Marseille to win

This one only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the home side, that way is Marseille's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Stade Saint-Symphorien will be coming away victorious, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely outcome, and are willing to give a best price of 1.38.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 65% chance of Marseille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
16%
19/45/1
Draw
20%
10/37/2
Marseille
65%
1/21/2
Marseille 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Marseille 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
15/27/1
Marseille 3-0
7%
10/19/1
Marseille 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Metz 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/111/1
Metz 1-0
4%
18/114/1
Marseille 4-0
4%
18/114/1
Marseille 4-1
4%
20/114/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Metz 2-0
2%
33/122/1
Marseille 4-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/133/5
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/105/4
Home 1st Goal
40%
7/42/1
Away 1st Goal
57%
4/94/9
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/48/11
BTTS - No
45%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
9%
9/115/2
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
31%
2/115/8
Home/draw
35%
6/46/4
Away/draw
84%
1/72/15
Home/away
80%
1/51/5
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/52/11
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/210/3
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
6/429/20
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
8/151/2
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/216/5
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/51/5
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
Home DNB
30%
7/210/3
Away DNB
78%
2/112/11
Metz win to nil
7%
10/1-
Marseille win to nil
33%
13/8-
Metz / Metz
9%
9/115/2
Metz / Marseille
5%
18/116/1
Metz / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Metz
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Marseille
19%
7/216/5
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
Marseille / Metz
2%
40/128/1
Marseille / Marseille
36%
5/45/4
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG6501815 
Dec 14
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
2
Lyon6501515 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
3
Marseille6402712 
Oct 4
Apr 12
-
-
4
Monaco6402412 
May 3
l
 
5-2F
Dec 14
Apr 5
5
Strasbourg6402212 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
6
Lille6312410 
Feb 8
Oct 26
Mar 22
Dec 7
7
Lens6312310 
Oct 29
Mar 8
Jan 25
Oct 25
8
Rennes6231-19 
Nov 30
Mar 22
May 16
l
 
1-0A
9
Brest621307 
Mar 1
Nov 23
Nov 8
Feb 22
10
Toulouse6213-27 
Mar 15
Oct 19
Nov 30
Mar 8
11
Paris FC6213-37 
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
12
Nice6213-37 
Nov 9
May 16
Apr 26
Nov 23
13
Lorient6213-57 
May 9
Jan 4
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
14
Auxerre6204-46 
Feb 15
Dec 7
Mar 15
Nov 1
15
Le Havre6123-25 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Oct 18
May 9
16
Nantes6123-25 
Apr 5
Nov 2
Jan 4
May 3
17
Angers6123-35 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Oct 29
Jan 18
18
Metz6024-82 
-
-
Apr 12
Oct 4
Win / draw / win form
3
Marseille have won 3 consecutive league games
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Metz1 - 1Angers
Metz0 - 1Strasbourg
Metz1 - 0Dunkerque
Metz3 - 3Rodez
Metz2 - 2Red Star
Metz2 - 1Troyes
Metz5 - 1Annecy
Metz0 - 1Ajaccio
Metz3 - 1Clermont
Metz3 - 0Grenoble
Metz3 - 1Paris FC
Metz0 - 0Pau
Metz2 - 0Dunkerque
Metz1 - 0Caen
Metz1 - 0Guingamp
Metz3 - 2Amiens
Metz6 - 0Martigues
Metz1 - 1Lorient
Metz1 - 1Lavallois
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
AMetz2 - 5Monaco
HMetz1 - 1Angers
AMetz2 - 3Paris FC
AMetz0 - 3Lyon
HMetz0 - 1Strasbourg
HMetz1 - 0Dunkerque
AMetz3 - 2Lavallois
HMetz3 - 3Rodez
AMetz1 - 2Pau
HMetz2 - 2Red Star
AMetz4 - 1Martigues
AMetz2 - 2Caen
HMetz2 - 1Troyes
AMetz3 - 2Dunkerque
HMetz5 - 1Annecy
AMetz2 - 1Amiens
HMetz0 - 1Ajaccio
AMetz3 - 0Guingamp
HMetz3 - 1Clermont
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Marseille have not lost to Metz in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
MET
1
D
3
MAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Marseille
Metz1 - 0
0 - 2Marseille
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Metz
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
D
3
MAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille6 - 3
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille3 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Marseille in their clash with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 64 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Metz 18th Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Metz have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+2
Marseille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1
2.2
Attack rating
MET
MAR
15%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score2
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored5
10
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game5
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
22
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
MET
MAR
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded13
4
Avg. goals conceded2.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against21%
10%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+49%

Metz v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6122
J. FischerJ GbaminG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK6
-
K Kouao DEF6
2
-
J Gbamin MID61
-
A. Touré MID6
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD61
-
B Traore MID51
2
-
J Deminguet MID5
2
-
B Stambouli MID5
-
I. Sane FWD5
-
G Hein FWD512
-
T Yegbe DEF4
-
G Abuashvili FWD4
-
C Sabaly FWD41
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD4
-
U. Mboula DEF3
-
S. Sané DEF31
1
1
H Diallo FWD31
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD3
-
M Colin DEF2
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF1
-
I. Guerti MID1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5333
M MurilloP AubameyangM Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF61
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID61
1
-
T Weah FWD6
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD623
-
G Rulli GLK5
-
L Balerdi DEF5
2
-
A Gomes MID51
2
-
R. Vaz FWD51
1
-
P Aubameyang FWD53
-
A Gouiri FWD5
-
B Nadir MID42
-
N Aguerd DEF31
1
-
B Pavard DEF31
2
-
Emerson DEF3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
D. Bakola MID3
-
M O'Riley MID3
1
-
I Paixão FWD3
1
-
F Medina DEF2
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
J Lange GLK1
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
A Vermeeren MID11
-
H Traorè FWD1
-