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Metz v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 16:15 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro pays counterpart Stéphane Le Mignan a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Ligue 1, as their Nantes and Metz sides face each other at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Metz and Nantes's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Nantes coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
35%
9/5
10%
7/4
Draw
25%
23/10
2%
23/10
Nantes
40%
29/20
9%
6/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
5/1
Nantes 2-1
9%
9/115/2
Nantes 1-0
9%
13/2
12%
6/1
Metz 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
Metz 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
6/1
Nantes 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
6%
8/17/1
Metz 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Nantes 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Metz 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Nantes 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
Nantes 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Metz 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Metz 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
11/1011/10
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
8/114/6
Home 1st Goal
48%
21/20
5%
21/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
10/11
7%
19/20
No 1st Goal
3%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
10/11
6%
17/20
BTTS - No
42%
10/11
2%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/1
9%
17/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/24/1
Home/draw
61%
8/15
6%
1/2
Away/draw
65%
2/5
7%
4/9
Home/away
75%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3/1
7%
11/4
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/17/1
Home DNB
53%
1/1
11%
19/20
Away DNB
57%
8/11
9%
3/4
Metz win to nil
17%
7/2
4%
-
Nantes win to nil
19%
3/1
11%
-
Metz / Metz
18%
15/4
10%
16/5
Metz / Nantes
3%
28/120/1
Metz / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Metz
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Draw / Nantes
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Nantes / Metz
3%
28/122/1
Nantes / Nantes
21%
3/1
11%
14/5
Nantes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Metz have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Metz have conceded 60 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Metz have played 13 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Nantes lay in 17th place on 17 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 26 matches. Nantes have a shocking record against teams below them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 0, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 0 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Nantes have conceded 2 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Nantes have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
-
2
Lens2719263059 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
3
Marseille2715481949 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 10
May 3
w
 
0-2F
4
Lyon2714581247 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Lille271458847 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco271449946 
May 3
l
 
5-2F
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
7
Rennes271287644 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
9
Toulouse2710710637 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
4-0A
May 16
d
 
2-2F
10
Lorient279108-437 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
11
Brest2710611-536 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
12
Angers279513-1332 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Nice277614-2027 
w
 
2-1A
May 16
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
17
Nantes264517-2117 
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
-
-
18
Metz273519-3514 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
3
Metz have lost 3 consecutive home league games
3
Nantes have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Metz have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Metz have beaten Nantes in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Metz have not lost to Nantes in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Metz since 2014
Metz
Nantes
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
MET
3
D
4
League games at Nantes since 2015
Nantes
Metz
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
3 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
5 / 8
MET
3
D
3
NAN
2
Goal Statistics

Nantes's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Metz have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.5 for L. Ferreira de Castro's side suggests that run should continue.

Metz 18th Nantes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Metz will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Nantes will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Metz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
MET
NAN
1%
better
view stats
Games scored15
16
Failed to score12
10
Scored first6
7
Goals scored25
24
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1
1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
MET
NAN
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
22
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first18
18
Goals conceded60
45
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%

Metz v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25647
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A. Touré MID271
4
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2722
2
-
J. Fischer GLK26
-
J Deminguet MID251
4
-
J Gbamin DEF2411
2
1
K Kouao DEF2321
7
-
G Hein FWD2264
2
1
H Diallo FWD2041
-
T Yegbe DEF191
3
-
M Colin DEF19
-
B Traoré MID191
3
-
G Abuashvili FWD182
1
-
S. Sané DEF162
4
2
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
B Stambouli MID14
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF12
2
-
U. Mboula DEF10
1
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
P Sy GLK2
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25537
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK25
3
-
M Abline FWD2553
5
-
C Awaziem DEF2212
7
-
N Cozza DEF22
1
-
K Amian DEF221
3
-
D. Assoumani MID221
3
-
Y Arabi FWD223
-
J Lepenant MID201
3
-
M Mohamed FWD193
1
-
L. Leroux MID1811
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD1821
2
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
F Centonze DEF133
3
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
F Coquelin MID12
1
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-