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Monaco v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 19:45 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Monaco and their boss Sébastien Pocognoli will be aiming to beat Habib Beye and his Marseille side on Sunday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Stade Louis II in the Ligue 1. For each and every Ligue 1 fixture, KickOff delves into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Studying the KickOff match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this fixture: both teams to score. In Monaco and Marseille we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Sunday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
41%
5/4
6%
13/10
6%
Draw
24%
5/211/4
Marseille
36%
19/10
7%
7/4
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Monaco 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Marseille 2-1
8%
10/117/2
6%
Monaco 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Marseille 1-0
7%
14/1
15%
10/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/117/2
Monaco 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Marseille 2-0
5%
18/112/1
Monaco 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Marseille 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Monaco 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Monaco 3-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
11%
Marseille 3-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/7
3%
8/15
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
11/8
3%
11/8
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/55/6
1%
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/1
2%
21/20
3%
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
12/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
1/21/2
BTTS - No
38%
6/429/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/427/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
5%
16/5
5%
Home/draw
64%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
59%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/6
3%
1/6
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/1
11%
18/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/10
8%
13/10
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
8/13
6%
4/7
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/3
4%
3/1
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
13/2
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
1/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Home DNB
57%
4/6
3%
7/10
6%
Away DNB
52%
11/10
5%
21/20
5%
Monaco win to nil
18%
4/1
11%
-
Marseille win to nil
15%
11/2-
Monaco / Monaco
23%
13/5
3%
12/5
6%
Monaco / Marseille
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Monaco / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Monaco
13%
5/15/1
8%
Draw / Marseille
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Marseille / Monaco
4%
20/116/1
11%
Marseille / Marseille
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
8%
Marseille / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 4. Monaco have conceded 13 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Monaco have played 14 games at home, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Marseille lay in 3rd place on 49 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
2
Lens2719263059 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Marseille2715481949 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Lyon2714581247 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille271458847 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco271449946 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
7
Rennes271287644 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
May 16
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
w
 
3-2F
May 16
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Toulouse2710710637 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
10
Lorient279108-437 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
11
Brest2710611-536 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
12
Angers279513-1332 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 10
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-2A
May 9
15
Nice277614-2027 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes264517-2117 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-5F
l
 
0-2A
May 3
18
Metz273519-3514 
w
 
5-2A
May 3
Apr 10
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
4
Monaco have won 4 consecutive home league games
Monaco 6TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Marseille
Goals: Scored
31
17
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
MCO
8
MAR
4
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
18
19
Games: Scored
11 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
1 / 12
MCO
3
D
5
MAR
4
Goal Statistics

Monaco have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.6 against Marseille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Monaco 6th Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Monaco have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Marseille have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.6
1.5
Attack rating
MCO
MAR
8%
better
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score6
6
Scored first12
16
Goals scored47
54
Avg. goals scored1.7
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
MCO
MAR
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
19
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded38
35
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+5%

Monaco v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22958
M AklioucheF BalogunA GolovinJ Teze
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Teze DEF261
8
-
M Biereth  FWD2522
-
M Akliouche FWD2463
2
-
F Balogun FWD2394
4
1
T Kehrer DEF21
6
2
C Henrique DEF211
2
-
A Golovin MID2045
3
1
P Köhn GLK19
1
-
M. Coulibaly MID1933
5
1
L Camara MID184
4
-
A Fati FWD188
1
-
D Zakaria MID1721
3
1
K Ouattara DEF153
3
-
K Diatta MID151
2
-
G Ilenikhena FWD152
-
T Minamino FWD1532
4
-
Vanderson DEF142
4
-
M Salisu DEF121
3
-
A. Bamba MID12
2
-
C Mawissa DEF11
1
-
L Hradecky GLK10
-
E Dier DEF81
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID811
-
P. Brunner FWD6
1
-
P Pogba MID3
-
L. Michal FWD2
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241555
M Greenwood M Greenwood I PaixãoB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD26154
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID2524
3
-
T Weah MID2422
3
-
I Paixão FWD2455
3
-
P Aubameyang FWD2485
1
-
G Rulli GLK23
2
-
Emerson DEF223
2
-
B Pavard DEF2112
4
-
L Balerdi DEF191
4
-
B Nadir MID194
4
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
A Gouiri FWD1662
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
F Medina DEF11
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF10
1
1
G Kondogbia MID10
3
-
H Traorè FWD911
1
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-