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Nantes v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 16:15 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro and Olivier Pantaloni meet in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as Nantes face Lorient at the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head records, will update as you click through each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Nantes and Lorient will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro or Olivier Pantaloni has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to about a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nantes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
46%
29/20
7%
6/4
4%
Draw
26%
12/5
5%
12/5
Lorient
29%
15/8
11%
9/5
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
5/1
Nantes 1-0
11%
7/1
6%
13/2
Nantes 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Lorient 1-0
8%
8/1
18%
7/1
Nantes 2-0
8%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/115/2
Lorient 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Lorient 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Nantes 3-1
5%
20/1
24%
14/1
Nantes 3-0
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Lorient 3-1
3%
22/116/1
11%
Nantes 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Lorient 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Lorient 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
5%
1/1
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
6%
3/4
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/11
6%
19/20
2%
Away 1st Goal
45%
21/20
2%
11/10
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
9/17/1
6%
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/4
3%
4/5
BTTS - No
47%
1/1
2%
10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4/1
11%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
13%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/2
8%
17/4
Home/draw
71%
2/5
5%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
54%
8/15
3%
8/15
1%
Home/away
74%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3
3%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
9%
21/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2
9%
12/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10
4%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
2%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/115/2
Home DNB
64%
8/11
10%
3/4
3%
Away DNB
47%
1/1
11%
19/20
5%
Nantes win to nil
25%
3/1-
Lorient win to nil
15%
4/1
17%
-
Nantes / Nantes
20%
3/1
11%
29/10
4%
Nantes / Lorient
3%
28/122/1
Nantes / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Nantes
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Draw / Lorient
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
Lorient / Nantes
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Lorient / Lorient
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
2%
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Ligue 1 league table. Nantes have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. They have been outscored by their opponents by 14 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Nantes have played 6 games at home winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 12 goals at home.

Lorient are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Lorient are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Lorient have conceded 25 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG128311327 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
May 3
2
Marseille128131725 
May 3
Jan 4
Apr 19
l
 
4-0A
3
Lens128131025 
Dec 6
May 9
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
4
Strasbourg12714822 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
Dec 14
5
Lille12624820 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
6
Monaco12624320 
l
 
3-5A
Feb 15
w
 
3-1F
Jan 16
7
Lyon12624320 
Feb 8
Nov 30
Dec 7
Apr 12
8
Rennes12462218 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
9
Nice12525-117 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Nov 30
Feb 22
10
Toulouse12444216 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
11
Paris FC12426-314 
Jan 18
w
 
1-2F
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
12
Le Havre12354-414 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
May 16
d
 
1-1F
13
Angers12345-513 
Mar 8
Dec 12
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
14
Metz12327-1511 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
Jan 4
May 9
15
Brest12246-710 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
Feb 8
16
Nantes12246-710 
-
-
Jan 31
Nov 23
17
Lorient12246-1210 
Nov 23
Jan 31
-
-
18
Auxerre12219-127 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
3
Nantes have lost 3 consecutive home league games
3
Lorient have lost 3 consecutive away league games
8
Lorient have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
3
Lorient have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Nantes 16TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Lorient 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Nantes have beaten Lorient in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Nantes have not lost to Lorient in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Nantes since 2014
Nantes
Lorient
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
NAN
6
D
2
League games at Lorient since 2013
Lorient
Nantes
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
4 / 8
NAN
5
D
1
LOR
2
Goal Statistics

Nantes's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Lorient have conceded in each of their last 10 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.5 for L. Ferreira de Castro's side suggests that run should continue.

Nantes 16th Lorient 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Nantes will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Nantes have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-25
Lorient have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
NAN
LOR
13%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score6
5
Scored first4
5
Goals scored11
14
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
23%
better
NAN
LOR
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded18
26
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
4
Conversion rate against13%
28%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+23%

Nantes v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12224
C AwaziemM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Awaziem DEF12
4
-
K Amian DEF121
2
-
D. Assoumani MID12
1
-
L. Leroux MID1211
1
-
M Abline FWD1222
2
-
A Lopes GLK11
1
-
M Mohamed FWD112
1
-
Y Arabi FWD102
-
B. Guirassy FWD1021
-
N Cozza DEF9
-
J Mwanga MID91
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID9
2
-
Y Benhattab FWD91
-
J Lepenant MID61
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
B. Deuff MID6
-
A. Camara FWD6
-
F Coquelin MID4
1
-
M. Lahdo FWD41
1
-
U Radakovic DEF3
-
F Centonze DEF3
1
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12435
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiA. Faye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Kouassi DEF1213
2
-
M Talbi DEF12
1
-
L Abergel MID12
4
-
A Avon MID121
3
-
A Tosin  FWD123
1
-
S Soumano FWD1222
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1211
2
-
T Bris MID1121
-
D Yongwa DEF10
1
K Dermane MID101
3
-
J Mvuka FWD10
-
Y Mvogo  GLK9
-
J Makengo MID91
-
P Pagis FWD94
1
-
A. Faye DEF7
5
-
I Silva DEF71
1
-
N Cadiou MID7
-
B Meïté DEF6
2
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-
B Dieng FWD21
1
-