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Nice v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Nov, 19:45 BST, Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice are in Ligue 1 action on Friday evening, as Franck Haise aims to beat Roberto De Zerbi and his Marseille side at the Allianz Riviera. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Ligue 1 clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Nice and Marseille have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Marseille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nice
36%
3.90
8%
3.60
3%
Draw
27%
3.70
6%
3.70
3%
Marseille
37%
1.90
7%
1.95
Draw 1-1
13%
7.00
8%
6.50
7%
Marseille 1-0
10%
9.008.00
Nice 1-0
10%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
Marseille 2-1
8%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Nice 2-1
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
10%
Marseille 2-0
6%
10.00
9%
9.50
Nice 2-0
6%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00
8%
11.00
Marseille 3-1
3%
15.0012.00
Nice 3-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Marseille 3-0
3%
17.00
11%
13.00
Nice 3-0
3%
41.0029.00
12%
Marseille 3-2
2%
21.00
9%
17.00
Nice 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1.67
7%
1.67
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
2.20
10%
2.10
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.30
2%
2.38
3%
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.67
3%
1.67
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
13.00
8%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.621.62
BTTS - No
49%
2.202.20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.505.75
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.40
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
3.50
7%
3.40
3%
Home/draw
63%
1.91
10%
1.83
Away/draw
64%
1.25
3%
1.29
1%
Home/away
73%
1.291.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.22
2%
1.22
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
4.33
8%
4.00
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2.75
8%
2.60
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.44
3%
1.44
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5.004.60
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.171.17
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
Home DNB
55%
2.75
10%
2.62
5%
Away DNB
56%
1.40
7%
1.44
Nice win to nil
20%
8.00
14%
-
Marseille win to nil
21%
3.75-
Nice / Nice
14%
6.00
9%
5.50
5%
Nice / Marseille
4%
21.0017.00
Nice / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Nice
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
Draw / Marseille
16%
5.00
9%
5.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Marseille / Nice
3%
29.0023.00
Marseille / Marseille
27%
3.00
8%
3.00
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nice have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 3. Nice have conceded 6 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Nice have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Marseille lay in 2nd place on 25 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nice
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG128311327 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
2
Marseille128131725 
Nov 21
Apr 26
-
-
3
Lens128131025 
May 3
Dec 14
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
4
Strasbourg12714822 
Jan 3
Apr 5
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
5
Lille12624820 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
Mar 22
Dec 5
6
Monaco12624320 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Dec 14
Apr 5
7
Lyon12624320 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
8
Rennes12462218 
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
May 16
l
 
1-0A
9
Nice12525-117 
-
-
Apr 26
Nov 21
10
Toulouse12444216 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
Nov 29
Mar 8
11
Paris FC12426-314 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
12
Le Havre12354-414 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
w
 
6-2A
May 9
13
Angers12345-513 
Dec 7
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
14
Metz12327-1511 
May 16
l
 
2-1F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
15
Brest12246-710 
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
16
Nantes12246-710 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Jan 4
May 3
17
Lorient12246-1210 
Feb 22
Nov 30
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
18
Auxerre12219-127 
w
 
3-1F
May 9
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
Nice have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Nice 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nice3 - 2Lyon
Nice1 - 1Paris FC
Nice1 - 0Nantes
Nice3 - 1Auxerre
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
Nice6 - 0Brest
Nice1 - 0Reims
Nice2 - 1Angers
Nice1 - 2Nantes
Nice1 - 1Auxerre
Nice0 - 2Lyon
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Lens
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Nice3 - 2Rennes
Nice2 - 1Le Havre
Nice2 - 1Strasbourg
Nice2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 1Monaco
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANice1 - 2Metz
ANice0 - 1PSG
HNice2 - 0Lille
ANice2 - 1Rennes
HNice3 - 2Lyon
ANice2 - 2Monaco
HNice1 - 1Paris FC
ANice1 - 4Brest
HNice1 - 0Nantes
ANice1 - 3Le Havre
HNice3 - 1Auxerre
HNice0 - 1Toulouse
HNice6 - 0Brest
ANice0 - 2Rennes
HNice1 - 0Reims
ANice3 - 1PSG
HNice2 - 1Angers
ANice2 - 2Strasbourg
HNice1 - 2Nantes
ANice1 - 2Monaco
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nice since 2015
Nice
Marseille
Goals: Scored
16
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
NIC
5
D
2
MAR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nice
Nice2 - 0
Nice1 - 0
0 - 3Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nice3 - 0
1 - 2Marseille
0 - 1Marseille
2 - 4Marseille
Nice3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nice2 - 1
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Nice
Goals: Scored
19
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
NIC
3
D
1
MAR
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Nice
Marseille2 - 1
Marseille3 - 2
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille2 - 1
Marseille2 - 1
0 - 1Nice
Marseille4 - 0
0 - 1Nice
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Nice of late. It has been 10 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Marseille.

Nice 9th Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Nice’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Marseille have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nice
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
NIC
MAR
13%
better
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score2
2
Scored first8
7
Goals scored17
28
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.3
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
NIC
MAR
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
7
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded18
11
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+24%

Nice v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12624
Y DioufS DiopJ BogaA. Juma Bah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK12
-
K Oppong DEF121
1
-
M Bard DEF121
2
-
S Diop FWD1261
2
-
J Boga FWD1222
-
H Boudaoui MID1112
3
-
A. Juma Bah DEF10
4
-
A Mendy DEF10
3
-
M Sanson MID101
-
T Louchet MID102
1
-
J Clauss  DEF912
-
C Vanhoutte MID92
4
-
S Samed MID9
1
-
T Moffi FWD82
-
I Jansson FWD81
1
-
T Gouveia FWD7
1
-
K Carlos FWD7
1
-
A Abdi DEF5
1
1
M Cho FWD512
-
B. Nguene FWD3
1
-
M Bombito DEF2
1
-
Dante DEF2
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10834
P HöjbjergM Greenwood M Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF122
4
-
P Höjbjerg MID121
1
-
A Gomes MID113
3
-
M Greenwood  FWD1183
-
R. Vaz FWD1142
2
-
G Rulli GLK10
-
P Aubameyang FWD1042
-
B Pavard DEF911
3
-
Emerson DEF91
1
-
M O'Riley MID912
2
-
T Weah FWD91
1
-
I Paixão FWD911
1
-
L Balerdi DEF8
3
-
N Aguerd DEF81
2
-
B Nadir MID83
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF6
1
A Vermeeren MID61
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
D. Bakola MID5
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
J Lange GLK2
-
F Medina DEF2
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
H Traorè FWD1
-