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Lyon v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 19:45 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lyon side are on home soil in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, as Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro's Nantes visit the Groupama Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Lyon and Nantes combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
54%
4/9-
Draw
25%
16/5-
Nantes
21%
13/2-
Lyon 1-0
13%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1-
Lyon 2-0
10%
13/2-
Lyon 2-1
9%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Nantes 1-0
7%
18/1
10%
-
Lyon 3-0
6%
9/1-
Nantes 2-1
5%
20/1-
Lyon 3-1
5%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Nantes 2-0
3%
40/1-
Lyon 3-2
2%
22/1-
Lyon 4-0
2%
18/1-
Lyon 4-1
2%
20/1-
Nantes 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/5-
BTTS - No
52%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
21/10
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
12/1-
Home/draw
79%
1/10-
Away/draw
46%
13/8-
Home/away
75%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
71%
1/7-
Away DNB
39%
9/2-
Lyon win to nil
32%
6/4-
Nantes win to nil
12%
12/1-
Lyon / Lyon
40%
11/10
5%
-
Lyon / Nantes
2%
40/1-
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Lyon
19%
10/3-
Draw / Nantes
6%
14/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Nantes / Lyon
4%
20/1
11%
-
Nantes / Nantes
8%
10/1-
Nantes / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Nantes are in 16th position in the Ligue 1 on 10 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Nantes have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG128311327 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
2
Marseille128131725 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
May 3
Jan 4
3
Lens128131025 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
Dec 6
May 9
4
Strasbourg12714822 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 22
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille12624820 
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
6
Monaco12624320 
Mar 22
Jan 3
l
 
3-5A
Feb 15
7
Lyon12624320 
-
-
Feb 8
Nov 30
8
Rennes12462218 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
9
Nice12525-117 
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
10
Toulouse12444216 
l
 
1-2F
May 9
May 16
d
 
2-2F
11
Paris FC12426-314 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3F
Jan 18
w
 
1-2F
12
Le Havre12354-414 
Dec 14
Mar 15
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
13
Angers12345-513 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Mar 8
Dec 12
14
Metz12327-1511 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
15
Brest12246-710 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nantes12246-710 
Nov 30
Feb 8
-
-
17
Lorient12246-1210 
Apr 12
Dec 7
Nov 23
Jan 31
18
Auxerre12219-127 
Apr 26
Nov 23
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Lyon 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Nantes 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Lyon have not lost to Nantes in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Nantes
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
LYN
9
D
2
NAN
1
League games at Nantes since 2014
Nantes
Lyon
Goals: Scored
7
17
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
LYN
5
D
5
NAN
1
Goal Statistics

Lyon's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Nantes have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.6 for P. Rodrigues Fonseca's side suggests that run should continue.

Lyon 7th Nantes 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Nantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
41%
better
LYN
NAN
view stats
Games scored11
6
Failed to score1
6
Scored first8
4
Goals scored18
11
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
14
Avg. XG for1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
24%
better
LYN
NAN
view stats
Games conceded6
10
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded15
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%

Lyon v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12423
C MataP SulcM NiakhatéC Mata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Niakhaté DEF122
2
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF1212
-
C Mata DEF12
3
-
C Tolisso MID123
2
-
T Tessmann MID121
-
A Karabec MID111
2
-
T Morton MID1111
1
1
P Sulc MID1141
2
-
N Tagliafico DEF101
2
1
A Moreira FWD1022
2
-
M Fofana FWD921
1
-
D Greif GLK81
-
K. Merah MID7
1
-
Abner DEF6
2
1
R Ghezzal  FWD6
-
M Satriano FWD61
1
-
R Kluivert DEF51
-
M. de Carvalho MID5
1
-
R Descamps GLK4
-
H Hateboer DEF2
1
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12224
C AwaziemM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Awaziem DEF12
4
-
K Amian DEF121
2
-
D. Assoumani MID12
1
-
L. Leroux MID1211
1
-
M Abline FWD1222
2
-
A Lopes GLK11
1
-
M Mohamed FWD112
1
-
Y Arabi FWD102
-
B. Guirassy FWD1021
-
N Cozza DEF9
-
J Mwanga MID91
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID9
2
-
Y Benhattab FWD91
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
B. Deuff MID6
-
J Lepenant MID61
-
A. Camara FWD6
-
F Coquelin MID4
1
-
M. Lahdo FWD41
1
-
U Radakovic DEF3
-
F Centonze DEF3
1
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-