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Lyon v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

the Groupama Stadium is the stage on Sunday afternoon, as Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lyon host Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse in the Ligue 1. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 1 performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lyon or Toulouse are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
50%
17/2010/11
Draw
23%
27/1027/10
Toulouse
26%
29/1029/10
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Lyon 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Lyon 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Lyon 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Toulouse 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Toulouse 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Lyon 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/1
Lyon 3-0
5%
16/112/1
Toulouse 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Lyon 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Toulouse 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Lyon 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Toulouse 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/101/1
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/1029/20
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
42%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/55/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/25/1
Home/draw
74%
1/41/4
Away/draw
50%
10/1110/11
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/314/5
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Home DNB
67%
2/52/5
Away DNB
43%
7/47/4
Lyon win to nil
25%
5/2-
Toulouse win to nil
12%
6/1-
Lyon / Lyon
27%
2/115/8
Lyon / Toulouse
3%
28/125/1
Lyon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Lyon
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Toulouse
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Toulouse / Lyon
4%
20/116/1
Toulouse / Toulouse
13%
11/219/4
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG6501815 
Nov 9
Apr 19
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
2
Lyon6501515 
-
-
May 9
Oct 5
3
Marseille6402712 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Mar 8
Nov 30
4
Monaco6402412 
Mar 22
Jan 4
Apr 26
Oct 25
5
Strasbourg6402212 
Oct 26
Feb 22
Dec 7
May 3
6
Lille6312410 
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
7
Lens6312310 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
Jan 4
Apr 19
8
Rennes6231-19 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
Oct 29
Mar 1
9
Brest621307 
Jan 18
Nov 2
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
10
Toulouse6213-27 
Oct 5
May 9
-
-
11
Paris FC6213-37 
Mar 8
Oct 29
Feb 22
Dec 14
12
Nice6213-37 
Feb 15
Oct 18
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
13
Lorient6213-57 
Apr 12
Dec 7
Mar 22
Nov 9
14
Auxerre6204-46 
Apr 26
Nov 23
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
15
Le Havre6123-25 
Dec 14
Mar 15
Nov 2
Feb 15
16
Nantes6123-25 
Nov 30
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
May 16
17
Angers6123-35 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
Nov 23
Feb 8
18
Metz6024-82 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
Oct 19
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
4
Lyon have won 4 consecutive home league games
4
Lyon have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Lyon 2ND
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon1 - 0Angers
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Lyon2 - 0Angers
Lyon1 - 2Lens
Lyon4 - 1Rennes
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Lyon4 - 2Le Havre
Lyon2 - 1Brest
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Lyon4 - 0Reims
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lyon4 - 1Nice
Lyon1 - 0St Etienne
Lyon2 - 2Auxerre
Lyon2 - 0Nantes
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Lyon4 - 3Strasbourg
Lyon0 - 2Monaco
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALyon1 - 0Lille
HLyon1 - 0Angers
ALyon1 - 3Rennes
HLyon1 - 0Marseille
HLyon3 - 0Metz
ALyon1 - 0Lens
HLyon2 - 0Angers
ALyon0 - 2Monaco
HLyon1 - 2Lens
HLyon4 - 1Rennes
ALyon1 - 2St Etienne
ALyon3 - 1Auxerre
HLyon2 - 1Lille
ALyon2 - 4Strasbourg
HLyon4 - 2Le Havre
ALyon2 - 0Nice
HLyon2 - 1Brest
HLyon2 - 3PSG
ALyon4 - 1Montpellier
HLyon4 - 0Reims
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Lyon0 - 0Toulouse
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Rennes0 - 2Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Nice1 - 1Toulouse
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
AToulouse1 - 0Nice
AToulouse3 - 2St Etienne
HToulouse1 - 1Lens
HToulouse2 - 1Rennes
AToulouse0 - 0Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Reims
HToulouse1 - 2Lille
AToulouse2 - 3Marseille
HToulouse2 - 4Brest
AToulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
HToulouse1 - 1Monaco
AToulouse4 - 0Angers
AToulouse4 - 1Le Havre
HToulouse0 - 1PSG
AToulouse2 - 2Auxerre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
17
Lyon have not lost to Toulouse in 17 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
25
3
Games: Scored
9 / 10
3 / 10
Clean sheets
7 / 10
1 / 10
LYN
7
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lyon3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lyon3 - 0
Lyon5 - 1
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon4 - 0
Lyon3 - 0
Lyon3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lyon
Goals: Scored
14
20
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
LYN
7
D
2
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Lyon
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
Toulouse2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.8 against Toulouse on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Lyon 2nd Toulouse 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
21%
better
LYN
TOU
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
1
Scored first5
3
Goals scored7
7
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for2.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
59%
better
LYN
TOU
view stats
Games conceded1
3
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded3
9
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
5
Conversion rate against7%
21%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+59%

Lyon v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
M NiakhatéC TolissoA Maitland-NilesP Sulc
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Niakhaté DEF6
1
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF62
-
C Mata DEF6
1
-
P Sulc MID61
2
-
C Tolisso MID62
1
-
T Tessmann MID61
-
A Karabec MID61
1
-
K. Merah MID6
1
-
M Fofana FWD611
1
-
T Morton MID51
1
R Descamps GLK4
-
N Tagliafico DEF41
1
-
Abner DEF4
2
-
A Moreira FWD4
1
-
R Kluivert DEF3
-
D Greif GLK2
-
M. de Carvalho MID2
-
R Ghezzal  FWD2
-
M Satriano FWD1
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
G. RestesF MagriA DönnumA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK6
2
-
D. Methalie DEF6
2
-
M McKenzie DEF6
1
-
D Sidibé DEF61
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF6
-
C Cresswell DEF61
1
-
W Kamanzi DEF6
-
M Sauer MID6
1
-
A Dönnum MID612
3
-
Y Gboho FWD621
-
F Magri FWD63
1
-
C Yepes MID5
1
-
S Hidalgo FWD52
1
-
N. Edjouma FWD5
-
A Francis MID3
-
Emersonn FWD2
-
R. Messali MID1
-