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Paris Saint-Germain v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Apr, 19:45 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Toulouse, led by manager Carles Martínez Novell, visit Luis Enrique Martínez García and his Paris Saint-Germain side at the Parc des Princes on Friday evening in the Ligue 1. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: PSG to win

As the stadium fills and the PSG players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Parc des Princes has not been an easy place to go for Toulouse in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Friday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
63%
1.30-
Draw
20%
5.00-
Toulouse
17%
9.50-
PSG 2-1
10%
9.00-
PSG 2-0
10%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
9%
10.00-
PSG 1-0
9%
8.00-
PSG 3-1
7%
11.00-
PSG 3-0
7%
8.50-
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00-
Toulouse 2-1
5%
26.00-
Toulouse 1-0
4%
23.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
15.00-
PSG 4-1
4%
17.00-
PSG 4-0
4%
13.00-
PSG 3-2
4%
23.00-
Toulouse 2-0
2%
41.00-
PSG 4-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.57-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.38-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.33-
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.40-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.95-
BTTS - No
44%
1.80-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.50-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17.00-
Home/draw
83%
1.07-
Away/draw
37%
3.40-
Home/away
80%
1.17-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.57-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.33-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Home DNB
77%
1.08-
Away DNB
31%
8.00-
PSG win to nil
32%
2.20-
Toulouse win to nil
7%
17.00-
PSG / PSG
45%
1.83-
PSG / Toulouse
2%
51.00-
PSG / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / PSG
21%
4.00-
Draw / Toulouse
4%
19.00-
Draw / Draw
10%
8.00-
Toulouse / PSG
4%
19.00-
Toulouse / Toulouse
5%
17.00-
Toulouse / Draw
4%
21.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 12 games at home winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 9th position in the Ligue 1 on 37 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 19 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
-
-
l
 
3-6A
Apr 3
2
Lens2719263059 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
3
Marseille2615472049 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
4
Lyon2614571347 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
May 9
w
 
1-2A
5
Lille261358744 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
6
Monaco261349843 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
7
Rennes261277643 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg261079937 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 3
9
Toulouse2710710637 
Apr 3
w
 
3-6F
-
-
10
Lorient279108-437 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Brest2710611-536 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Angers279513-1332 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Paris FC2661010-1228 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
14
Le Havre266911-1227 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
15
Nice277614-2027 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes254516-2017 
-
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 16
18
Metz263419-3513 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4F
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG1 - 3Monaco
PSG3 - 0Metz
PSG5 - 0Marseille
PSG3 - 0Lille
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
PSG5 - 0Rennes
PSG3 - 0Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Nice
PSG3 - 3Strasbourg
PSG2 - 0Auxerre
PSG2 - 0Lens
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Auxerre
PSG1 - 3Nice
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG4 - 0Nice
HPSG1 - 3Monaco
APSG1 - 0Le Havre
HPSG3 - 0Metz
APSG1 - 3Rennes
HPSG5 - 0Marseille
APSG2 - 1Strasbourg
APSG1 - 0Auxerre
HPSG3 - 0Lille
HPSG2 - 1Paris FC
APSG3 - 2Metz
HPSG5 - 0Rennes
APSG0 - 1Monaco
HPSG3 - 0Le Havre
APSG3 - 2Lyon
HPSG1 - 0Nice
APSG1 - 1Lorient
APSG3 - 0Brest
HPSG3 - 3Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Lille
Toulouse 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz3 - 4Toulouse
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse1 - 0Lorient
AToulouse4 - 3Metz
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
PSG have beaten Toulouse in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
7
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
PSG
8
D
1
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 0
1 - 3Toulouse
PSG2 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG6 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG5 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG2 - 0
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
PSG
Goals: Scored
9
19
Games: Scored
5 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
5 / 10
PSG
7
D
2
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
3 - 6PSG
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
0 - 1PSG
Toulouse2 - 0
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Friday evening.

PSG 1st Toulouse 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Toulouse have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.1
1
Attack rating
34%
better
PSG
TOU
view stats
Games scored23
17
Failed to score2
9
Scored first21
10
Goals scored54
37
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for2
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
29%
better
PSG
TOU
view stats
Games conceded12
18
Clean sheets13
8
Conceded first4
14
Goals conceded22
32
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+29%

PSG v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241074
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaA Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID2624
2
-
Vitinha MID2517
2
-
G Ramos FWD2451
2
-
B Barcola FWD22101
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2243
1
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF211
3
-
K Lee FWD2123
2
-
W Pacho DEF19
-
S. Mayulu MID1934
2
-
I. Mbaye FWD1912
-
N Mendes  DEF1844
1
-
L Hernández  DEF182
2
-
L Chevalier GLK17
-
D Doué FWD1752
-
O Dembélé FWD1685
-
A Hakimi DEF1421
3
1
J Neves MID1451
-
F Ruiz MID1312
1
-
L Beraldo DEF121
1
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
M Safonov GLK9
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27857
G. RestesY GbohoA DönnumA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK27
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2733
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF26
1
-
Y Gboho FWD2684
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2432
6
-
M McKenzie DEF242
6
-
C Yepes MID2411
5
-
S Hidalgo FWD2344
4
-
A Dönnum MID2245
7
-
D. Methalie DEF21
6
-
M Sauer MID211
2
-
Emersonn FWD2142
4
1
W Kamanzi DEF181
1
-
A. Vossah MID1811
3
1
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD122
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
S. Koumbassa DEF5
-
K Haug GLK1
-