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FC Augsburg v Holstein Kiel : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 14:30 BST, WWK Arena, Augsburg

Marcel Rapp pays counterpart Jess Thorup a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their Holstein Kiel and FC Augsburg teams go head to head at the WWK Arena. All of the important stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Augsburg and Holstein will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Jess Thorup or Marcel Rapp has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Augsburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Augsburg
49%
5/6
6%
-
Draw
25%
29/10
5%
-
Holstein
26%
3/1
5%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
6%
-
Augsburg 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
Augsburg 2-1
9%
15/2-
Augsburg 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Holstein 1-0
8%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
8%
-
Holstein 2-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Augsburg 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Augsburg 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Holstein 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Augsburg 3-2
3%
22/1-
Holstein 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Augsburg 4-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Holstein 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/4-
BTTS - No
48%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
11/4
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
7%
-
Home/draw
74%
2/9-
Away/draw
51%
10/11
7%
-
Home/away
75%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/5
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
8%
-
Home DNB
66%
2/5
5%
-
Away DNB
44%
7/4
15%
-
Augsburg win to nil
27%
9/4-
Holstein win to nil
14%
6/1
13%
-
Augsburg / Augsburg
29%
15/8
5%
-
Augsburg / Holstein
2%
33/1-
Augsburg / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Augsburg
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Holstein
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Holstein / Augsburg
4%
20/1-
Holstein / Holstein
12%
6/1
7%
-
Holstein / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Augsburg have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 45 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Augsburg have played 15 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Holstein are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 22 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 22 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Holstein have conceded 70 goals, scored 41, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Augsburg
Holstein
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3123626175 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-6A
l
 
4-3A
2
Leverkusen31191023167 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
E.Frankfurt3116782055 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
4
Freiburg3115610-351 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
May 10
l
 
3-2A
5
RB Leipzig3113108649 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
6
Dortmund31146111148 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
May 17
7
Mainz3113810947 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
8
W.Bremen3113711-646 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
9
B. M'gladbach3113513144 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-3F
l
 
4-1A
10
Augsburg Home31111010-943 
-
-
w
 
5-1A
May 4
11
Stuttgart3111812541 
l
 
0-1A
May 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
12
Wolfsburg3110912539 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
13
Union Berlin319913-1436 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
St. Pauli318716-1031 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
15
Hoffenheim317915-1830 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
16
Heidenheim317420-2725 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
17
Holstein Away315719-2922 
May 4
l
 
5-1F
-
-
18
VfL Bochum315620-3321 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Augsburg 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

FC Augsburg's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Holstein Kiel have conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.6 for Jess Thorup's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Holstein Kiel of late. It has been 5 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against FC Augsburg.

Augsburg 10th Holstein 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Augsburg will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Augsburg have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Holstein have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283699/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Augsburg
PG (predicted goals)
Holstein
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
FCA
SVE
16%
better
view stats
Games scored20
25
Failed to score11
6
Scored first14
10
Goals scored33
45
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
39%
better
FCA
SVE
view stats
Games conceded20
29
Clean sheets11
2
Conceded first12
21
Goals conceded42
74
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+39%

Augsburg v Holstein Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Augsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30949
J GouweleeuwA Claude-MauriceJ GouweleeuwE Rexhbecaj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Tietz FWD3162
4
-
J Gouweleeuw DEF3014
8
-
M Wolf MID3013
2
-
D Giannoulis DEF2814
7
-
K Jakic MID281
2
-
F Onyeka MID281
8
-
S Essende FWD2873
4
1
C Matsima DEF271
4
-
A Maier MID25
1
A Claude-Maurice MID2592
4
-
E Rexhbecaj MID2411
9
-
H Koudossou DEF19
1
-
F Jensen MID19
-
K Schlotterbeck  DEF1831
3
1
M Kömür MID1721
1
-
F Dahmen GLK16
-
N Labrovic GLK15
-
S Mounié FWD14
3
-
C Zesiger DEF122
6
1
N. Banks DEF8
2
-
M Pedersen DEF7
-
R Gumny DEF5
2
-
Y. Kabadayı FWD51
-
M Berisha FWD2
1
-
Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251039
T BeckerS MachinoF PorathN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Remberg MID301
9
-
A Gigovic MID2951
4
-
F Porath MID2923
3
-
S Machino FWD29102
2
-
M Knudsen MID281
7
-
T Becker DEF272
2
-
T Weiner GLK25
4
-
L Rosenboom DEF2312
4
-
L Holtby MID231
1
1
P Harres FWD2381
3
-
M Ivezic DEF22
5
-
F Arp FWD222
6
1
S Skrzybski MID2163
-
M Komenda  DEF19
3
-
M Geschwill DEF1812
2
-
B Pichler FWD1712
1
-
A Bernhardsson FWD1652
3
-
D Zec DEF152
5
-
D Javorcek  DEF132
3
-
M Schulz MID11
3
-
P Erras MID101
2
-
J Tolkin DEF82
-
A. Kelati MID811
1
1
C Johansson DEF7
-
T Dähne  GLK6
-
I. Nekić DEF1
-