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Hamburger SV v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV and their manager Luis Freire will be looking to get one over on Niko Kovač and his Borussia Dortmund side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Bundesliga clash.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Hamburg and Dortmund scoring a minimum of two goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
29%
4/1
11%
7/2
7%
Draw
24%
31/10
3%
16/5
Dortmund
47%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/27/1
7%
Dortmund 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Dortmund 1-0
9%
10/1
9%
8/1
Dortmund 2-0
7%
10/1
9%
8/1
Hamburg 2-1
7%
14/111/1
Hamburg 1-0
7%
20/114/1
15%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/114/1
15%
Dortmund 3-1
5%
11/19/1
Hamburg 2-0
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Dortmund 3-0
4%
14/111/1
Dortmund 3-2
3%
18/114/1
Hamburg 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Hamburg 3-2
2%
28/1
17%
22/1
Dortmund 4-1
2%
20/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/9
4%
10/21
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
7/4
5%
6/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/5
5%
8/5
4%
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/15
3%
8/15
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
20/112/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
1/2
2%
8/15
1%
BTTS - No
42%
6/4
5%
11/8
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6/1
15%
11/2
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/219/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
7/47/4
5%
Home/draw
53%
23/20
5%
6/5
5%
Away/draw
71%
1/6
1%
1/5
2%
Home/away
76%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/71/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
9/24/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
11/10
5%
23/20
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/11
4%
13/20
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/45/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/71/4
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11/211/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/91/10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
15%
Home DNB
46%
5/2
10%
12/5
10%
Away DNB
64%
2/7
4%
2/7
1%
Hamburg win to nil
13%
10/1
10%
-
Dortmund win to nil
23%
5/2
9%
-
Hamburg / Hamburg
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Hamburg / Dortmund
5%
16/114/1
Hamburg / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Hamburg
8%
9/117/2
6%
Draw / Dortmund
17%
4/118/5
4%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/211/2
8%
Dortmund / Hamburg
3%
28/125/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
33%
6/4
5%
29/20
6%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league. Hamburg are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Hamburg have conceded 12 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Dortmund lay in 3rd place on 20 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 9 matches. Dortmund are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern99002927 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
2
RB Leipzig9711922 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
3
Dortmund9621920 
Nov 8
Mar 21
-
-
4
Stuttgart9603418 
Nov 30
Apr 11
Nov 22
Apr 4
5
Leverkusen9522417 
Jan 13
May 16
Apr 11
Nov 29
6
Hoffenheim9513316 
Apr 25
Dec 13
Dec 6
Apr 18
7
Köln9423414 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
8
E.Frankfurt9423314 
Dec 20
May 2
May 9
Jan 10
9
W.Bremen9333-412 
Dec 6
Apr 18
Jan 13
May 16
10
Union Berlin9324-411 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
11
Freiburg9243-210 
May 9
Jan 10
Apr 25
Dec 13
12
Wolfsburg9225-58 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
13
Hamburg9225-78 
-
-
Mar 21
Nov 8
14
Augsburg9216-97 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
15
St. Pauli9216-107 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
Jan 17
d
 
3-3F
16
B. M'gladbach9135-86 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 20
May 2
17
Mainz9126-75 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 21
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
18
Heidenheim9126-95 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 7
Jan 31
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Hamburg 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Hamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Hamburg2 - 2Hannover
Hamburg1 - 0Köln
Hamburg5 - 0Greuther
Hamburg2 - 2Darmstadt
Hamburg2 - 2Schalke
Hamburg1 - 1Nurnberg
Hamburg3 - 1Magdeburg
Hamburg2 - 2Paderborn
Hamburg5 - 0Regensburg
Hamburg4 - 1Preussen Munster
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
HHamburg6 - 1Ulm
AHamburg4 - 0Darmstadt
HHamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
AHamburg2 - 2Schalke
HHamburg2 - 4E. Braun
AHamburg3 - 0Nurnberg
HHamburg0 - 0Elversberg
AHamburg3 - 0Magdeburg
HHamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
AHamburg0 - 2Paderborn
Dortmund 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg0 - 1Dortmund
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 1Dortmund
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund3 - 3St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
HDortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund3 - 2Hoffenheim
HDortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
ADortmund2 - 2Bayern
ADortmund4 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund3 - 1Mainz
ADortmund0 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund0 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund2 - 0St. Pauli
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Dortmund have beaten Hamburg in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Dortmund have not lost to Hamburg in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
HSV
3
BVB
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
0 - 3Dortmund
2 - 5Dortmund
Hamburg3 - 1
Hamburg3 - 0
Hamburg3 - 2
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
HSV
2
BVB
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Dortmund6 - 2
1 - 4Hamburg
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 15 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.5 against Hamburger SV on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Hamburg 13th Dortmund 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Hamburg have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
HSV
BVB
55%
better
view stats
Games scored3
9
Failed to score5
0
Scored first2
7
Goals scored7
15
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal12
6
Conversion rate for8
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+55%
Defence rating
HSV
BVB
38%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded11
6
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+38%

Hamburg v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9314
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimF Vieira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK9
1
-
M Muheim DEF91
2
-
D Elfadli DEF9
2
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF9
-
N Remberg MID91
3
-
R Philippe FWD93
2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD91
-
M Dompé FWD82
-
L. Vušković DEF71
1
-
N Capaldo  MID71
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF61
1
1
A Lokonga MID62
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD6
-
R Glatzel FWD6
-
W Omari DEF5
-
F Vieira MID51
2
2
Y Poulsen FWD5
2
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD5
-
G Ramos DEF3
-
J Meffert MID3
-
I Pherai MID3
1
1
J Torunarigha DEF2
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9533
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonR Bensebaini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK9
1
-
R Bensebaini DEF9
3
-
W Anton DEF91
1
-
D Svensson MID91
-
F Nmecha MID911
-
J Bellingham MID9
-
K Adeyemi  FWD921
1
-
J Ryerson DEF83
2
-
P Groß MID81
-
J Brandt MID822
-
M Sabitzer  MID81
1
-
M Beier FWD821
1
-
S Guirassy  FWD851
2
-
Y Couto MID611
2
-
C Chukwuemeka MID6
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF5
1
-
F Silva FWD41
-
S Özcan MID3
-
A Anselmino DEF2
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
N Süle DEF1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-