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Derry City v St Patrick's Athletic : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry)), Londonderry

We’ve Premier Division action to look forward to on Monday evening, as Huseyin Eroglu and his Derry City side host Stephen Kenny’s St Patrick's Athletic at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry)). The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Premier Division match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Derry City's next match is v Drogheda at 19:45 on Friday 16th May
St Patrick's Athletic's next match is v Cork at 19:45 on Friday 16th May
The last Irish Premier Division meeting between Derry and St Patrick's was on Monday 5th May 2025
Irish Premier Division
May 5th 2025
Derry 1
0 St Patrick's
 
D. Mullen 48'
 
DER
STP
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
3
4
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
13
6
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
DerrySt Patrick's
 
B. Maher
R. Boyce
M. Connolly
K. Holt
H. Cann
C. Winchester (R. Benson 74')
P. McMullan (G. Whyte 74')
A. O'Reilly
S. Ferguson (S. Todd 63')
D. Mullenfootball icon (L. Boyce 63')
M. Duffy (D. Thomas 78')
J. Anang
A. Breslin
J. Redmond
(S. Hoare 63') T. Grivosti
R. McLaughlin
(C. Forrester 63') J. Mulraney
(A. Keena 63') B. Crowe-Baggley
(S. Power 73') K. Leavy
Z. Elbouzedi
J. Lennon
(B. Kavanagh 76') M. Melia

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derry are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derry
43%
19/20
13%
-
Draw
28%
21/10-
St Patrick's
29%
16/5
25%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Derry 1-0
13%
9/2
21%
-
St Patrick's 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
11/2
13%
-
Derry 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Derry 2-0
8%
7/1
15%
-
St Patrick's 2-1
7%
14/1
25%
-
St Patrick's 2-0
5%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
-
Derry 3-1
4%
18/1-
Derry 3-0
4%
16/1
26%
-
St Patrick's 3-1
2%
40/1
41%
-
Derry 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
St Patrick's 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
St Patrick's 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/13
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
16%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10
8%
-
BTTS - No
54%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/1
43%
-
Home/draw
71%
2/9
10%
-
Away/draw
57%
4/5
10%
-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/2
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
6/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
7%
-
Home DNB
63%
4/11
14%
-
Away DNB
49%
2/1
25%
-
Derry win to nil
27%
7/4
20%
-
St Patrick's win to nil
18%
5/1
20%
-
Derry / Derry
22%
11/5
15%
-
Derry / St Patrick's
2%
40/1
21%
-
Derry / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Derry
16%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / St Patrick's
12%
7/1
23%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
St Patrick's / Derry
3%
28/1-
St Patrick's / St Patrick's
15%
6/1
30%
-
St Patrick's / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Derry have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Derry have conceded 8 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derry have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

St Patrick's lay in 2nd place on 22 points in the Premier Division league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St Patrick's have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

St Patrick's have played 6 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derry
St Patrick's
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock151026 
May 23
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 24
Aug 1
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
Oct 17
May 19
2
Derry H15326 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Jun 23
Aug 29
3
Drogheda15524 
l
 
1-3F
May 16
Jun 27
Sep 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Jun 13
Aug 22
4
Bohemians15124 
w
 
1-0F
May 30
Jul 25
Sep 12
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
Jul 4
Oct 3
5
St Patrick's A15622 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
Jun 23
-
-
-
-
6
Shelbourne15222 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
Jun 16
Nov 1
7
Waterford15-821 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Jul 4
Oct 17
May 23
w
 
1-2A
Oct 24
Aug 1
8
Galway15020 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
Jun 13
Aug 22
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
9
Cork15-812 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
Aug 8
Nov 1
May 16
w
 
0-2F
Sep 12
Jun 27
10
Sligo15-119 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Oct 3
Jul 12
w
 
4-3F
May 30
Aug 8
Sep 27
Win / draw / win form
Derry 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derry2 - 0Shelbourne
Derry3 - 0Sligo
Derry1 - 3Drogheda
Derry2 - 1Cork
Derry1 - 1Galway
Derry1 - 2Waterford
Derry1 - 0Bohemians
Derry0 - 1Shelbourne
Derry1 - 1Sligo
Derry1 - 1Bohemians
Derry1 - 1Shamrock
Derry1 - 1Dundalk
Derry5 - 1Drogheda
Derry2 - 0Galway
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Derry2 - 2Sligo
Derry1 - 0Bohemians
Derry1 - 1Shelbourne
Derry3 - 1St Patrick's
Derry1 - 3Shamrock
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerry2 - 0Shelbourne
ADerry1 - 2Waterford
HDerry3 - 0Sligo
ADerry3 - 2Galway
HDerry1 - 3Drogheda
HDerry2 - 1Cork
ADerry0 - 0Shamrock
ADerry1 - 0Sligo
HDerry1 - 1Galway
ADerry0 - 2St Patrick's
HDerry1 - 2Waterford
HDerry1 - 0Bohemians
ADerry1 - 3Shelbourne
HDerry0 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry0 - 1St Patrick's
ADerry2 - 0Dundalk
HDerry1 - 1Sligo
HDerry1 - 1Bohemians
ADerry1 - 2Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Shamrock
St Patrick's 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bohemians2 - 1St Patrick's
Drogheda0 - 0St Patrick's
Cork0 - 2St Patrick's
Waterford1 - 2St Patrick's
Shamrock1 - 0St Patrick's
Galway2 - 1St Patrick's
Sligo0 - 2St Patrick's
Bohemians1 - 3St Patrick's
Shelbourne2 - 3St Patrick's
Shamrock0 - 3St Patrick's
Dundalk1 - 2St Patrick's
Galway1 - 1St Patrick's
Waterford1 - 0St Patrick's
Drogheda0 - 0St Patrick's
Bohemians2 - 2St Patrick's
Shamrock2 - 2St Patrick's
Sligo1 - 0St Patrick's
Shelbourne1 - 0St Patrick's
Derry3 - 1St Patrick's
Dundalk0 - 0St Patrick's
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt Patrick's2 - 0Galway
ASt Patrick's1 - 2Bohemians
ASt Patrick's0 - 0Drogheda
HSt Patrick's2 - 2Shamrock
ASt Patrick's2 - 0Cork
HSt Patrick's0 - 0Shelbourne
ASt Patrick's2 - 1Waterford
HSt Patrick's3 - 0Bohemians
ASt Patrick's0 - 1Shamrock
HSt Patrick's2 - 0Derry
HSt Patrick's4 - 3Sligo
ASt Patrick's1 - 2Galway
HSt Patrick's0 - 0Drogheda
ASt Patrick's2 - 0Sligo
HSt Patrick's1 - 0Derry
HSt Patrick's2 - 1Galway
ASt Patrick's3 - 1Bohemians
ASt Patrick's3 - 2Shelbourne
ASt Patrick's3 - 0Shamrock
HSt Patrick's3 - 0Waterford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Derry have beaten St Patrick's in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Derry have not lost to St Patrick's in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
St Patrick's
Goals: Scored
17
9
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
DER
6
D
4
STP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
Derry3 - 1
Derry2 - 1
Derry3 - 0
Derry2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derry2 - 1
Derry1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3St Patrick's
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at St Patrick's since 2019
St Patrick's
Derry
Goals: Scored
13
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
DER
5
D
1
STP
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St Patrick's
St Patrick's2 - 0
St Patrick's1 - 0
0 - 1Derry
St Patrick's4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Derry
0 - 4Derry
St Patrick's1 - 0
St Patrick's2 - 0
0 - 2Derry
St Patrick's1 - 0
1 - 3Derry
Goal Statistics
Derry 2nd St Patrick's 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that St Patrick's will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Derry’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
St Patrick's have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290077/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PG (predicted goals)
0
0
Attack rating
%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
%
Defence rating
%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
%

Derry v St Patrick's Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15637
B MaherM DuffyD ThomasA O'Reilly
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK15
2
-
H Cann DEF10
1
-
M Connolly  DEF14
5
-
K Holt DEF121
-
R Boyce MID1311
1
-
A O'Reilly MID141
7
-
C Winchester MID13
4
1
S Ferguson MID81
4
-
P McMullan FWD101
2
-
D Mullen FWD104
3
1
M Duffy FWD1562
4
-
Subs
A. Doherty GLK
-
S Todd DEF132
1
-
C Harkin MID5
3
-
G Whyte MID1121
2
-
R Benson MID121
-
D Thomas MID103
1
-
S Patton FWD9
2
-
P Hoban FWD51
2
-
L Boyce  FWD1341
2
1
St Patrick's Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15525
J AnangA KeenaJ MulraneyT Grivosti
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Anang GLK15
2
-
J Mulraney DEF142
2
-
J Redmond DEF151
2
-
T Grivosti DEF9
5
-
A Breslin DEF131
3
1
B Baggley MID131
4
1
J Lennon MID10
5
-
K Leavy MID811
-
Z Elbouzedi FWD152
1
-
M Melia FWD1531
1
-
R McLaughlin FWD7
1
-
Subs
D Rogers GLK
-
S Hoare DEF8
2
-
L Turner DEF5
-
C Forrester MID1441
-
B Kavanagh MID1422
-
S Power MID7
-
J McClelland FWD1112
-
C Carty FWD10
-
A Keena FWD951
-