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St Patrick's Athletic v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 23rd Jun, 19:45 BST, Richmond Park, Dublin

Monday evening at the Richmond Park, and it’s a Premier Division showdown between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City. Stephen Kenny and Huseyin Eroglu going all-out to guide their side to the win. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that St Patrick's and Derry will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St Patrick's are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St Patrick's
48%
11/1011/10
Draw
25%
9/411/5
Derry
26%
2/12/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
St Patrick's 1-0
11%
7/16/1
St Patrick's 2-1
9%
8/17/1
St Patrick's 2-0
9%
10/117/2
Derry 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/18/1
Derry 2-1
6%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
St Patrick's 3-1
5%
16/112/1
St Patrick's 3-0
5%
20/114/1
Derry 2-0
4%
16/112/1
St Patrick's 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Derry 3-1
2%
25/118/1
St Patrick's 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Derry 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19/2017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/114/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/105/4
No 1st Goal
5%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
48%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/119/4
Home/draw
74%
1/31/3
Away/draw
52%
8/1313/20
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
9/421/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/17/1
Home DNB
66%
4/74/7
Away DNB
44%
5/45/4
St Patrick's win to nil
27%
11/4-
Derry win to nil
14%
9/2-
St Patrick's / St Patrick's
23%
13/512/5
St Patrick's / Derry
3%
28/122/1
St Patrick's / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / St Patrick's
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Derry
12%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/219/5
Derry / St Patrick's
4%
22/118/1
Derry / Derry
17%
4/14/1
Derry / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Premier Division table

St Patrick's have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier Division league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. St Patrick's have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

St Patrick's have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Derry are in 6th position in the Premier Division on 28 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Derry have conceded 12 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
St Patrick's
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock211942 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
Oct 17
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 24
Aug 1
2
Bohemians19433 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
Jul 4
Oct 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Jul 25
Sep 12
3
Drogheda21531 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 22
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
Jun 27
Sep 26
4
St Patrick's21330 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Aug 29
Jun 23
5
Shelbourne21230 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
Nov 1
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
6
Derry19128 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Jun 23
Aug 29
-
-
-
-
7
Galway19025 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
Sep 19
Jun 20
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
Aug 22
8
Waterford19-1123 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2A
Oct 24
Aug 1
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Jul 4
Oct 17
9
Sligo19-1115 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
0-1F
Aug 8
Sep 27
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Oct 3
Jul 12
10
Cork19-1213 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Sep 12
Jun 27
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
Aug 8
Nov 1
Win / draw / win form
St Patrick's 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Derry 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St Patrick's since 2019
St Patrick's
Derry
Goals: Scored
13
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
STP
6
D
1
DER
5
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
St Patrick's
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
10 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
2 / 12
STP
1
D
4
DER
7
Goal Statistics

St Patrick's Athletic's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday evening, not least because Derry City have conceded in each of their last 5 Premier Division games. A PG of 1.6 for S. Kenny's side suggests that run should continue.

St Patrick's 4th Derry 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that St Patrick's will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
St Patrick's have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Derry have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290119/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St Patrick's
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
STP
DER
8%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score8
3
Scored first10
9
Goals scored26
23
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
13%
better
STP
DER
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded23
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+13%

St Patrick's v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

St Patrick's Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21627
J AnangM MeliaJ MulraneyB Baggley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Anang GLK21
2
-
J Redmond DEF2111
4
-
Z Elbouzedi MID2131
1
-
M Melia FWD2061
1
-
J Mulraney MID192
3
-
A Breslin DEF181
3
1
B Kavanagh MID1722
1
-
B Baggley MID172
6
1
J McClelland FWD1712
2
-
A Sjoberg DEF15
4
1
C Forrester MID1541
-
J Lennon MID151
7
-
A Keena FWD1561
-
C Carty FWD14
-
T Grivosti DEF13
6
-
K Leavy MID1311
-
S Power MID131
-
R McLaughlin DEF12
1
-
S Hoare DEF12
4
-
L Turner DEF7
-
A Kazeem DEF6
1
-
R Palmer MID3
1
-
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
196311
B MaherM DuffyD ThomasA O'Reilly
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Maher GLK19
2
-
M Duffy FWD1962
4
-
M Connolly  DEF18
5
-
A O'Reilly MID181
11
-
S Todd DEF172
1
-
K Holt DEF162
-
C Winchester MID16
7
1
L Boyce  FWD1641
4
1
R Boyce DEF1511
2
-
R Benson MID151
2
1
G Whyte FWD1521
2
-
H Cann DEF141
2
-
P McMullan MID142
2
-
D Mullen FWD145
4
1
D Thomas MID1313
1
-
S Ferguson MID101
4
-
B Doherty DEF9
2
-
S Patton FWD9
2
-
P Hoban FWD71
2
-
S Diallo MID6
3
-
C Harkin MID6
3
-