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Waterford FC v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Sep, 19:45 BST, Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

Waterford FC and Derry City go head to head at the Waterford Regional Sports Centre on Monday evening, with both Graham Coughlan and Tiernan Lynch hoping for success in the Premier Division. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Waterford and Derry will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Graham Coughlan or Tiernan Lynch has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Waterford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Waterford 44%	13/8	-
Draw 24%	12/5	-
Derry 32%	11/8	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Waterford 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Waterford 1-0 9%	9/1	-
Derry 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Derry 1-0 7%	17/2	-
Waterford 2-0 7%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	-
Waterford 3-1 5%	20/1	-
Derry 2-0 5%	12/1	-
Waterford 3-0 4%	28/1	-
Derry 3-1 3%	18/1	-
Waterford 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Derry 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Derry 3-0 2%	22/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	7/10 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	11/10 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	1/1	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	10/11	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 41%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	7/2	-
Home/draw 68%	1/2	-
Away/draw 56%	2/5	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	13/8 12%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	4/9 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	4/1 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/6 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1 8%	-
Home DNB 61%	10/11	-
Away DNB 49%	4/5	-
Waterford win to nil 21%	4/1	-
Derry win to nil 15%	7/2	-
Waterford / Waterford 19%	10/3	-
Waterford / Derry 4%	22/1	-
Waterford / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Waterford 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Derry 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Derry / Waterford 3%	25/1	-
Derry / Derry 21%	3/1	-
Derry / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Waterford have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 9 and won 5. Waterford have conceded 41 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Waterford have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Derry lay in 5th place on 37 points in the Premier Division league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derry have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Derry have played 15 away games, winning 2, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Waterford Derry
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Shamrock	30	17	56	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	Sep 18	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 3-3F	d 1-1F
2	St Patrick's	30	22	53	l 0-2A	l 4-1F	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Oct 19	d 1-1A
3	Bohemians	30	17	53	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	w 3-1F	Oct 16	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	w 4-1A	l 5-3F
4	Dundalk	30	1	41	d 3-3A	l 5-0A	d 1-1A	w 2-3A	d 2-2A	d 2-2F	Oct 23	l 2-1A
5	Derry	30	2	37	d 2-2A	l 4-2F	Sep 14	w 2-4F	-	-	-	-
6	Shelbourne	29	-3	36	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	Oct 30	l 1-2A	w 1-2F	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
7	Galway	29	-7	34	d 1-1A	l 4-3A	Oct 19	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	Sep 18	l 2-1A
8	Waterford	30	-9	33	-	-	-	-	w 4-2A	d 2-2F	l 2-4A	Sep 14
9	Drogheda	30	-13	31	w 2-1A	l 2-0A	Oct 23	d 3-3F	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	Oct 16
10	Sligo	30	-27	23	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	Oct 30

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Waterford	1 - 1	Dundalk
Waterford	3 - 1	Bohemians
Waterford	1 - 0	Shelbourne
Waterford	1 - 1	St Patrick's
Waterford	0 - 2	Shamrock
Waterford	4 - 0	Sligo
Waterford	2 - 1	Drogheda
Waterford	2 - 2	Derry
Waterford	3 - 3	Dundalk
Waterford	1 - 1	Galway
Waterford	1 - 1	Shamrock
Waterford	0 - 2	St Patrick's
Waterford	0 - 1	Bohemians
Waterford	0 - 0	Sligo
Waterford	1 - 1	Shelbourne
Waterford	1 - 1	Galway
Waterford	1 - 2	Derry
Waterford	2 - 0	Drogheda
Waterford	1 - 2	Shamrock
Waterford	1 - 2	Sligo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Waterford	1 - 1	Dundalk
A	Waterford	2 - 0	St Patrick's
A	Waterford	0 - 0	Sligo
H	Waterford	3 - 1	Bohemians
H	Waterford	1 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Waterford	0 - 0	Galway
H	Waterford	1 - 1	St Patrick's
A	Waterford	4 - 2	Derry
A	Waterford	3 - 2	Dundalk
H	Waterford	0 - 2	Shamrock
H	Waterford	4 - 0	Sligo
A	Waterford	3 - 3	Drogheda
A	Waterford	1 - 2	Shelbourne
H	Waterford	2 - 1	Drogheda
H	Waterford	2 - 2	Derry
A	Waterford	1 - 4	St Patrick's
H	Waterford	3 - 3	Dundalk
A	Waterford	0 - 1	Shamrock
H	Waterford	1 - 1	Galway
A	Waterford	0 - 2	Sligo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shelbourne	0 - 1	Derry
Bohemians	5 - 3	Derry
St Patrick's	1 - 1	Derry
Shamrock	1 - 1	Derry
Galway	2 - 1	Derry
Dundalk	2 - 1	Derry
Waterford	2 - 2	Derry
Drogheda	1 - 0	Derry
Bohemians	1 - 1	Derry
Shelbourne	1 - 2	Derry
Dundalk	2 - 2	Derry
Sligo	0 - 0	Derry
Galway	2 - 1	Derry
St Patrick's	0 - 0	Derry
Shamrock	1 - 0	Derry
Cork	0 - 1	Derry
Waterford	1 - 2	Derry
Drogheda	1 - 1	Derry
Bohemians	3 - 4	Derry
Galway	1 - 2	Derry

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Derry	1 - 0	Shelbourne
H	Derry	3 - 3	Shamrock
A	Derry	3 - 5	Bohemians
H	Derry	2 - 0	Sligo
A	Derry	1 - 1	St Patrick's
H	Derry	2 - 4	Waterford
H	Derry	2 - 0	Drogheda
A	Derry	1 - 1	Shamrock
A	Derry	1 - 2	Galway
H	Derry	4 - 1	Bohemians
A	Derry	1 - 2	Dundalk
H	Derry	0 - 0	Shelbourne
H	Derry	0 - 0	St Patrick's
A	Derry	2 - 2	Waterford
A	Derry	0 - 1	Drogheda
H	Derry	1 - 1	Galway
A	Derry	1 - 1	Bohemians
H	Derry	1 - 0	Shamrock
A	Derry	2 - 1	Shelbourne
A	Derry	2 - 2	Dundalk

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Waterford

Derry

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

10 / 10

Clean sheets

0 / 10

3 / 10

WAT

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waterford
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Derry
Waterford	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Derry
	0 - 2	Derry
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Derry
Waterford	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Derry

Waterford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

0 / 11

WAT

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
	2 - 4	Waterford
Derry	4 - 2
Derry	7 - 2
	1 - 2	Waterford
Derry	3 - 0
Derry	3 - 0
Derry	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Waterford
Derry	2 - 0
Derry	2 - 0
Derry	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Waterford FC's defensive record is very strong, G. Coughlan's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Premier Division games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Derry City makes sense in this context.

	Waterford 8th	Derry 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Waterford will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Waterford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+14 Derry have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2026/2026 season

WAT

DER

better

view stats

Games scored	20		23
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	40		42
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		14
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+9%

WAT

DER

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		22
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	16		14
Goals conceded	49		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		17%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+7%

Waterford v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Waterford Premier Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	14	6	7
P Amond	T Lonergan	B Couto	J Mahon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Cann DEF	30	1	2	4 -
P Amond FWD	30	9	1	1 -
J Mahon DEF	28	5	1	7 -
C Noonan MID	28	1	3	4 -
T Lonergan FWD	28	14	4	5 -
B Couto DEF	27	1	6	6 -
J. Voilas FWD	26	4	3	2 -
D McMenamy MID	25	1	2	3 -
L Heeney MID	24			6 -
S McMullan GLK	23			-
K Long DEF	20	2	1	4 -
J Houston DEF	18		1	3 -
E McLaughlin MID	17		2	5 -
S Glenfield MID	17			5 -
T Coyle FWD	17			-
W Johnson DEF	13			6 -
J Faria MID	9			-
A. Doherty GLK	7			-
A. Zborowski DEF	5			-
J Dempsey DEF	4			-
J. Ashton DEF	1			-
B. Mackenzie DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	30	6	8
T Lonergan	T Lonergan	B Couto	C Noonan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Lonergan FWD	14	30	4	4
P Amond FWD	9	29	1	4
J Mahon DEF	5	8	1	2
J. Voilas FWD	4	11	3	3
K Long DEF	2	4	1	1
H Cann DEF	1	10	2	3
C Noonan MID	1	7	3	8
B Couto DEF	1	9	6	5
D McMenamy MID	1	3	2	2
L Heeney MID		1
J Houston DEF			1	3
E McLaughlin MID		2	2
S Glenfield MID		1
T Coyle FWD		3
W Johnson DEF		2
J Faria MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
736	44	203
H Cann	H Cann	T Lonergan

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Cann DEF	736	44	135
B Couto DEF	681	42	96
S McMullan GLK	637	1	18
C Noonan MID	559	33	89
T Lonergan FWD	529	28	203
J Mahon DEF	499	41	141
P Amond FWD	473	13	125
D McMenamy MID	452	30	92
K Long DEF	398	24	121
L Heeney MID	379	28	71
J Houston DEF	337	42	60
E McLaughlin MID	282	27	51
S Glenfield MID	276	37	65
W Johnson DEF	223	38	69
J. Voilas FWD	200	8	54
A. Doherty GLK	190		3
T Coyle FWD	169	14	37
A. Zborowski DEF	120	8	12
J Dempsey DEF	102	8	14
J Faria MID	36	7	18
B. Mackenzie DEF	3

Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	10	6	9
B Fleming	M Duffy	M Duffy	A O'Reilly

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A O'Reilly MID	28	3	2	8 1
B Fleming DEF	27		2	6 -
B Cotter DEF	25	2		5 -
J Clarke MID	25	6	2	4 1
J Olayinka MID	25	1	1	1 -
P McClean DEF	24	1	1	8 -
M Duffy FWD	23	10	6	1 -
C Barr DEF	21	1		1 -
C Dummigan DEF	20	2	2	6 -
J Stott DEF	20		1	6 -
J McClean MID	17		4	4 1
C Winchester MID	13			3 -
K. Carvalho Santos FWD	12	3	1	1 -
L Boyce FWD	9	1	1	2 -
R Slevin DEF	8	1		1 -
B Maher GLK	5			-
D Burns MID	5		2	1 -
N. Twisk MID	5			1 -
E Chapman MID	5	2		-
B Lyons-Foster DEF	3			2 -
T. Norcott GLK	2			-
T. Doherty FWD	2			-
S. Callister GLK	1			-
L. Kelly MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	27	6	6
M Duffy	M Duffy	M Duffy	M Duffy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Duffy FWD	10	27	6	6
J Clarke MID	6	15	2	4
A O'Reilly MID	3	15	2	3
K. Carvalho Santos FWD	3	6	1	2
B Cotter DEF	2	7		2
C Dummigan DEF	2	5	2	2
E Chapman MID	2	2
J Olayinka MID	1	3	1	1
P McClean DEF	1	5	1	2
C Barr DEF	1	5
L Boyce FWD	1	3	1	2
R Slevin DEF	1	2
B Fleming DEF		9	2	4
J Stott DEF		2	1
J McClean MID		2	4	2
C Winchester MID		5
D Burns MID		1	2	1
B Lyons-Foster DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1340	59	188
P McClean	B Cotter	B Fleming

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P McClean DEF	1340	37	131
B Fleming DEF	1121	38	188
J Stott DEF	968	23	115
A O'Reilly MID	845	47	134
C Barr DEF	748	36	66
M Duffy FWD	734	21	91
B Cotter DEF	702	59	172
C Dummigan DEF	564	43	81
J Olayinka MID	552	40	81
J McClean MID	529	29	64
J Clarke MID	523	30	117
C Winchester MID	406	39	64
R Slevin DEF	251	3	43
K. Carvalho Santos FWD	222	8	37
N. Twisk MID	210	8	14
B Maher GLK	181		2
B Lyons-Foster DEF	139	7	20
E Chapman MID	120	1	11
L Boyce FWD	104	5	26
D Burns MID	96	8	23
T. Norcott GLK	64		1
S. Callister GLK	32		1
T. Doherty FWD	4		2
L. Kelly MID			1

Irish Premier Division match betting previews, predictions and odds

Waterford v Derry

Mon 14th Sep, 19:45

Shelbourne v Drogheda

Mon 14th Sep, 19:45

Dundalk v St Patrick's

Waterford FC v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Waterford have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Derry lay in 5th place on 37 points in the Premier Division league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Waterford v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

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