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Waterford FC v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th May, 19:45 BST, Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford

John Coleman and Tiernan Lynch clash in the Premier Division on Friday evening, as Waterford FC face Derry City at the Waterford Regional Sports Centre. Premier Division stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Waterford and Derry go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Derry coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Waterford
29%
3.753.80
Draw
28%
3.603.50
Derry
43%
1.851.75
Derry 1-0
13%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.50
Draw 0-0
11%
11.0010.00
Waterford 1-0
10%
12.0010.00
Derry 2-0
8%
9.008.00
Derry 2-1
8%
8.507.50
Waterford 2-1
6%
13.0012.00
Waterford 2-0
5%
21.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0012.00
Derry 3-0
4%
15.0012.00
Derry 3-1
3%
15.0011.00
Waterford 3-1
2%
29.0021.00
Derry 3-2
2%
26.0017.00
Waterford 3-0
2%
41.0029.00
Waterford 3-2
1%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
1.851.75
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1.951.91
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.402.60
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.621.62
No 1st Goal
7%
11.0010.00
BTTS - Yes
45%
1.751.73
BTTS - No
55%
2.002.00
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7.507.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.50
BTTS - Away Win
16%
3.753.50
Home/draw
57%
1.911.95
Away/draw
71%
1.251.22
Home/away
72%
1.291.25
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.251.22
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3.753.50
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3.252.88
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6.005.00
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
13.009.50
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.041.02
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1.041.02
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
13.009.00
Home DNB
49%
2.752.90
Away DNB
62%
1.401.35
Waterford win to nil
18%
7.00-
Derry win to nil
27%
3.40-
Waterford / Waterford
13%
6.506.00
Waterford / Derry
4%
23.0019.00
Waterford / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Waterford
9%
8.508.50
Draw / Derry
16%
5.004.80
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.25
Derry / Waterford
3%
34.0026.00
Derry / Derry
28%
3.002.75
Derry / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Waterford have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. Waterford are winless in the 15 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 14 of those games. Waterford are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won zero. Waterford have conceded 32 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Waterford have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Derry lay in 5th place on 19 points in the Premier Division league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Derry have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Derry have played 8 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Waterford
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock161434 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Jun 19
Sep 18
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Aug 28
Jun 22
2
St Patrick's161631 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1F
Jul 10
Aug 28
May 22
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 9
Jul 31
3
Bohemians16625 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Aug 7
Oct 16
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Jun 12
Aug 21
4
Dundalk16122 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
5-0A
Sep 11
Jun 26
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Oct 23
May 29
5
Derry16019 
May 15
l
 
4-2F
Sep 4
Jul 3
-
-
-
-
6
Drogheda15-519 
May 18
l
 
2-0A
Oct 23
May 29
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
Jun 26
Oct 16
7
Shelbourne15-118 
d
 
1-1A
May 22
Jul 31
Oct 30
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 25
Sep 11
8
Galway15-417 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-3A
Oct 9
Jul 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
Sep 18
Jun 19
9
Sligo16-816 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Jun 12
Aug 22
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 7
Oct 30
10
Waterford15-196 
-
-
-
-
w
 
4-2A
May 15
Jul 3
Sep 4
Win / draw / win form
3
Waterford have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
15
Waterford have not won in 15 consecutive league games
Waterford 10TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
15
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Waterford3 - 3Dundalk
Waterford1 - 1Galway
Waterford1 - 1Shamrock
Waterford0 - 2St Patrick's
Waterford0 - 1Bohemians
Waterford0 - 0Sligo
Waterford1 - 1Shelbourne
Waterford1 - 1Galway
Waterford1 - 2Derry
Waterford2 - 0Drogheda
Waterford1 - 2Shamrock
Waterford1 - 2Sligo
Waterford0 - 2St Patrick's
Waterford2 - 0Cork
Waterford2 - 2Shelbourne
Waterford2 - 1Bohemians
Waterford2 - 2Drogheda
Waterford1 - 3Shamrock
Waterford1 - 0Galway
Waterford2 - 1Derry
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWaterford1 - 4St Patrick's
HWaterford3 - 3Dundalk
AWaterford0 - 1Shamrock
HWaterford1 - 1Galway
AWaterford0 - 2Sligo
AWaterford1 - 1Bohemians
HWaterford1 - 1Shamrock
HWaterford0 - 2St Patrick's
AWaterford3 - 4Galway
AWaterford0 - 5Dundalk
HWaterford0 - 1Bohemians
AWaterford2 - 4Derry
HWaterford0 - 0Sligo
AWaterford0 - 2Drogheda
HWaterford1 - 1Shelbourne
AWaterford2 - 1Bray
HWaterford1 - 1Galway
AWaterford1 - 1St Patrick's
HWaterford1 - 2Derry
HWaterford2 - 0Drogheda
Derry 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Drogheda1 - 0Derry
Bohemians1 - 1Derry
Shelbourne1 - 2Derry
Dundalk2 - 2Derry
Sligo0 - 0Derry
Galway2 - 1Derry
St Patrick's0 - 0Derry
Shamrock1 - 0Derry
Cork0 - 1Derry
Waterford1 - 2Derry
Drogheda1 - 1Derry
Bohemians3 - 4Derry
Galway1 - 2Derry
Shamrock2 - 0Derry
Sligo2 - 0Derry
St Patrick's0 - 1Derry
Shelbourne0 - 1Derry
Bohemians1 - 0Derry
Drogheda1 - 1Derry
Cork1 - 2Derry
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerry0 - 1Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Galway
ADerry1 - 1Bohemians
HDerry1 - 0Shamrock
ADerry2 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry2 - 2Dundalk
ADerry0 - 0Sligo
ADerry1 - 2Galway
HDerry2 - 2Drogheda
ADerry0 - 0St Patrick's
HDerry1 - 2Shelbourne
ADerry0 - 1Shamrock
HDerry4 - 2Waterford
HDerry0 - 1Bohemians
HDerry2 - 2Dundalk
HDerry2 - 1Sligo
ADerry1 - 0Cork
HDerry2 - 1Shamrock
ADerry2 - 1Waterford
HDerry1 - 0Sligo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Derry have beaten Waterford in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Waterford since 2019
Waterford
Derry
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
6 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
3 / 9
WAT
2
D
3
DER
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waterford
1 - 2Derry
Waterford2 - 1
0 - 1Derry
0 - 2Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derry
Waterford2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Waterford
Goals: Scored
28
10
Games: Scored
10 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
0 / 10
WAT
2
DER
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
Derry4 - 2
Derry7 - 2
1 - 2Waterford
Derry3 - 0
Derry3 - 0
Derry2 - 0
1 - 2Waterford
Derry2 - 0
Derry2 - 0
Derry3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Derry City's defensive record is to be admired, T. Lynch's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premier Division games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Waterford FC makes sense in this context.

Waterford 10th Derry 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Waterford scoring 1 goal or less
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Waterford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Derry’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2026/2026 season
Waterford
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1
1.3
Attack rating
WAT
DER
22%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score7
5
Scored first4
5
Goals scored13
19
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
WAT
DER
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded32
19
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded15
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

Waterford v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Waterford Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE