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Milan v Bologna : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

The Serie A is the focus for both Milan and Bologna on Sunday evening, as managers Massimiliano Allegri and Vincenzo Italiano face one another at the Giuseppe Meazza. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% probability of Milan and Bologna scoring at least 2 goals in this Serie A tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Milan 50%	1.95 13%	1.95
Draw 25%	3.40 9%	3.50
Bologna 25%	4.00 11%	3.80
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50 7%	6.50
Milan 1-0 11%	7.50 6%	6.50 7%
Milan 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Milan 2-0 9%	9.00 6%	8.50
Bologna 1-0 7%	12.00 8%	9.50 5%
Draw 0-0 7%	10.00 17%	9.00
Bologna 2-1 6%	13.00 13%	11.00
Milan 3-1 5%	15.00 15%	13.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00 8%
Milan 3-0 5%	17.00 31%	13.00
Bologna 2-0 4%	21.00 9%	15.00
Milan 3-2 3%	26.00 13%	19.00
Bologna 3-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Milan 4-1 2%	34.00 31%	23.00
Milan 4-0 2%	34.00 31%	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	1.91 6%	1.91 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	1.91 5%	1.83 1%
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.67 6%	1.67 2%
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.40 4%	2.50 2%
No 1st Goal 4%	10.00 17%	8.50 6%
BTTS - Yes 53%	1.80 3%	1.80 3%
BTTS - No 47%	1.95 3%	1.91 5%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4.00 14%	3.80 1%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50 5%	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7.50 6%	6.50
Home/draw 75%	1.22 3%	1.25
Away/draw 50%	1.80 12%	1.83 2%
Home/away 75%	1.30 4%	1.29 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1.30 4%	1.30 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3.50 13%	3.30 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3.40 13%	3.20 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1.33 5%	1.30 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	6.50 18%	6.00 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1.11 3%	1.11 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00 18%	12.00 9%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04 1%	1.02 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.06 2%	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10.00 17%	9.00
Home DNB 68%	1.40 8%	1.40
Away DNB 42%	2.75 19%	2.70
Milan win to nil 27%	3.40 5%	-
Bologna win to nil 13%	7.00 13%	-
Milan / Milan 26%	3.10 13%	3.00 3%
Milan / Bologna 3%	34.00	26.00
Milan / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Milan 16%	5.00 5%	4.80 4%
Draw / Bologna 10%	8.50 11%	7.50
Draw / Draw 16%	5.50 8%	4.80
Bologna / Milan 4%	23.00 10%	19.00
Bologna / Bologna 13%	6.50 13%	6.00
Bologna / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Serie A table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Milan Bologna
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	3	6	Sep 28	Apr 4	Nov 9	May 10
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	3	6	Apr 26	Oct 5	Dec 14	Apr 19
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	2	6	l 1-2A	Mar 1	Nov 30	Apr 4
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	2	6	Nov 2	Jan 25	Apr 26	l 1-0A
5	Udinese	2	1	1	0	1	4	Apr 12	Sep 21	Feb 22	Nov 23
6	Como 1907	2	1	0	1	1	3	Feb 8	Dec 21	w 1-0F	Jan 11
7	Bologna	2	1	0	1	0	3	Sep 14	Feb 1	-	-
8	Inter	2	1	0	1	4	3	Mar 8	Nov 23	May 24	Jan 3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	1	3	-	-	Feb 1	Sep 14
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	2	3	Nov 30	Mar 15	Mar 22	Dec 7
11	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	0	2	May 10	Oct 29	Jan 6	May 17
12	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	0	2	Oct 19	Jan 11	Jan 18	Oct 26
13	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1	Oct 26	Feb 15	Oct 5	Mar 1
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1	May 24	Jan 3	May 3	Oct 19
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1	Jan 6	May 17	Sep 21	Jan 25
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-2	1	Feb 22	Nov 9	Feb 8	Nov 2
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	1	Jan 18	w 0-2F	Apr 12	Sep 28
18	Verona	2	0	1	1	-4	1	Dec 28	Apr 19	Mar 8	Dec 21
19	Torino	2	0	1	1	-5	1	Mar 22	Dec 7	Oct 29	Feb 15
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0	Dec 14	May 3	Dec 28	Mar 15

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bologna have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Bologna have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan	1 - 2	Cremonese
Milan	2 - 0	Monza
Milan	3 - 1	Bologna
Milan	0 - 1	Atalanta
Milan	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 1	Como 1907
Milan	1 - 2	Lazio
Milan	1 - 0	Verona
Milan	1 - 1	Inter
Milan	3 - 2	Parma
Milan	1 - 1	Cagliari
Milan	1 - 1	Roma
Milan	0 - 0	Genoa
Milan	3 - 0	Empoli
Milan	0 - 0	Juventus
Milan	0 - 2	Napoli
Milan	1 - 0	Udinese
Milan	3 - 0	Lecce
Milan	4 - 0	Venezia
Milan	2 - 2	Torino

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Milan	2 - 0	Lecce
H	Milan	1 - 2	Cremonese
H	Milan	2 - 0	Monza
A	Milan	1 - 3	Roma
H	Milan	3 - 1	Bologna
A	Milan	2 - 1	Genoa
A	Milan	2 - 0	Venezia
H	Milan	0 - 1	Atalanta
A	Milan	4 - 0	Udinese
H	Milan	2 - 2	Fiorentina
A	Milan	1 - 2	Napoli
H	Milan	2 - 1	Como 1907
A	Milan	3 - 2	Lecce
H	Milan	1 - 2	Lazio
A	Milan	1 - 2	Bologna
A	Milan	1 - 2	Torino
H	Milan	1 - 0	Verona
A	Milan	2 - 0	Empoli
H	Milan	1 - 1	Inter
H	Milan	3 - 2	Parma

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma	1 - 0	Bologna
Fiorentina	3 - 2	Bologna
Milan	3 - 1	Bologna
Udinese	0 - 0	Bologna
Atalanta	2 - 0	Bologna
Venezia	0 - 1	Bologna
Verona	1 - 2	Bologna
Parma	2 - 0	Bologna
Lecce	0 - 0	Bologna
Empoli	1 - 1	Bologna
Inter	2 - 2	Bologna
Torino	0 - 2	Bologna
Juventus	2 - 2	Bologna
Lazio	3 - 0	Bologna
Roma	2 - 3	Bologna
Cagliari	0 - 2	Bologna
Genoa	2 - 2	Bologna
Monza	1 - 2	Bologna
Como 1907	2 - 2	Bologna
Napoli	3 - 0	Bologna

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bologna	1 - 0	Como 1907
A	Bologna	0 - 1	Roma
H	Bologna	1 - 3	Genoa
A	Bologna	2 - 3	Fiorentina
A	Bologna	1 - 3	Milan
H	Bologna	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Bologna	0 - 0	Udinese
H	Bologna	1 - 0	Inter
A	Bologna	0 - 2	Atalanta
H	Bologna	1 - 1	Napoli
A	Bologna	1 - 0	Venezia
H	Bologna	5 - 0	Lazio
A	Bologna	2 - 1	Verona
H	Bologna	2 - 1	Cagliari
H	Bologna	2 - 1	Milan
A	Bologna	0 - 2	Parma
H	Bologna	3 - 2	Torino
A	Bologna	0 - 0	Lecce
H	Bologna	2 - 0	Como 1907
A	Bologna	1 - 1	Empoli

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Milan have not lost to Bologna in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Milan

Bologna

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

ACM

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Milan	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Milan	2 - 0
Milan	5 - 1
Milan	2 - 1
Milan	2 - 1
Milan	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Bologna

Bologna

Milan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

4 / 10

ACM

BOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bologna
Bologna	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Milan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 4	Milan
	1 - 2	Milan
	2 - 3	Milan
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Milan
	0 - 1	Milan
	0 - 1	Milan

Goal Statistics

Milan have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Bologna on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Milan 9th	Bologna 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 81% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Bologna will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Milan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-8 Bologna’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season

48%

better

ACM

BOL

view stats

Games scored	1		0
Failed to score	0		1
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	1		0
Avg. goals scored	0.5		0
Avg. shots per game	8		5
Avg. shots per goal	15		0
Conversion rate for	7		0
Avg. XG for	2.6		0.7
KickOff rating		+48%

ACM

BOL

21%

better

view stats

Games conceded	1		1
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	2		1
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	2		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	2		13
Conversion rate against	50%		8%
Avg. XG against	0.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+21%

Milan v Bologna Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	0
M Maignan	S Pavlovic	P Estupiñán

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Maignan GLK	2			-
M Gabbia DEF	2			-
S Pavlovic DEF	2	1		-
F Tomori DEF	2			-
P Estupiñán DEF	2		1	-
L Modric MID	2		1	-
Y Fofana MID	2			-
R Loftus-Cheek MID	2	1		-
A Saelemaekers FWD	2			-
C Pulisic FWD	2	1		-
S Giménez FWD	2			-
A Jashari MID	1			-
S Ricci MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
S Pavlovic	Y Fofana	P Estupiñán	P Estupiñán

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Pavlovic DEF	1	1
R Loftus-Cheek MID	1	2		1
C Pulisic FWD	1	2		1
M Gabbia DEF		1
F Tomori DEF		1
P Estupiñán DEF			1	1
L Modric MID		1	1	1
Y Fofana MID		2		1
A Saelemaekers FWD				1
S Giménez FWD		2
S Ricci MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
164	8	18
S Pavlovic	A Saelemaekers	A Saelemaekers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Pavlovic DEF	164	3	9
F Tomori DEF	142	4	6
L Modric MID	135	2	3
M Gabbia DEF	123		11
A Saelemaekers FWD	105	8	18
Y Fofana MID	81	4	6
R Loftus-Cheek MID	71		5
P Estupiñán DEF	58	2	6
M Maignan GLK	49
C Pulisic FWD	46	1	5
S Giménez FWD	21		3
A Jashari MID	20	1	4
S Ricci MID	4

Bologna Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
L Skorupski	R Orsolini	S Castro	M Vitík

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Skorupski GLK	2			-
N Zortea DEF	2			-
M Vitík DEF	2			1 -
J Lucumí DEF	2			1 -
C Lykogiannis DEF	2			-
T Pobega MID	2			1 -
J Odgaard MID	2			-
R Freuler MID	2			1 -
G Fabbian MID	2			-
R Orsolini FWD	2	1		-
N Cambiaghi FWD	2			1 -
S Castro FWD	2		1	-
L Silvestri DEF	1			-
T Heggem DEF	1			-
N Casale DEF	1			-
J Miranda DEF	1			-
N Moro MID	1			-
C Immobile FWD	1			-
F Bernardeschi FWD	1			-
T Dallinga FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
R Orsolini	R Orsolini	S Castro	C Lykogiannis

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Orsolini FWD	1	3
C Lykogiannis DEF				1
J Odgaard MID		1
N Cambiaghi FWD				1
S Castro FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
101	8	15
L Skorupski	R Freuler	N Cambiaghi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Skorupski GLK	101
J Lucumí DEF	73	1	3
R Freuler MID	69	8	14
C Lykogiannis DEF	62	4	8
R Orsolini FWD	39	6	14
M Vitík DEF	36		3
T Heggem DEF	32	2	5
N Moro MID	32	2	3
T Pobega MID	30		4
N Zortea DEF	27	1	3
L Silvestri DEF	23		1
N Casale DEF	23		2
N Cambiaghi FWD	20	3	15
J Odgaard MID	15		6
S Castro FWD	15		5
G Fabbian MID	14	2	9
C Immobile FWD	9		1
F Bernardeschi FWD	4
T Dallinga FWD	4		1
J Miranda DEF	2