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Milan v Lazio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Nov, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

the Giuseppe Meazza faithful welcome Lazio's supporters on Saturday evening, as Massimiliano Allegri's Milan clash with Maurizio Sarri's team in the Serie A. Analysing both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Milan and Lazio go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Milan and Lazio an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
50%
8/13
6%
-
Draw
28%
14/5
9%
-
Lazio
22%
5/1
9%
-
Milan 1-0
16%
11/2
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
9/1
25%
-
Milan 2-0
11%
13/2-
Lazio 1-0
9%
12/1
8%
-
Milan 2-1
9%
15/2-
Lazio 2-1
5%
16/1-
Milan 3-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Milan 3-1
4%
12/1
13%
-
Lazio 2-0
4%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
11%
-
Milan 4-0
2%
22/1
21%
-
Milan 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
-
Milan 4-1
1%
25/1
24%
-
Lazio 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
10/11
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
10/11
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
9/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
19/20
3%
-
BTTS - No
59%
4/5
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/4
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
8%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/8
1%
-
Away/draw
50%
5/4
10%
-
Home/away
72%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
3/10
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
5/2
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
12/5
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/3
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
11/2
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/9
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
12/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1
25%
-
Home DNB
70%
2/9
2%
-
Away DNB
41%
3/1
7%
-
Milan win to nil
34%
13/8-
Lazio win to nil
14%
8/1-
Milan / Milan
33%
6/4
5%
-
Milan / Lazio
2%
40/1-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Milan
19%
10/3-
Draw / Lazio
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Lazio / Milan
4%
22/1-
Lazio / Lazio
9%
8/1
6%
-
Lazio / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Milan have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Lazio are in 9th position in the Serie A on 15 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Lazio have conceded 6 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter118031424 
Mar 8
Nov 23
May 10
l
 
2-0A
2
Roma11803724 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
l
 
0-1A
May 17
3
Milan11641822 
-
-
Mar 15
Nov 29
4
Napoli11713622 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
Jan 4
Apr 19
5
Bologna116321021 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
Dec 7
Mar 22
6
Juventus11542419 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
7
Como 190711461618 
Feb 8
Jan 15
Jan 19
l
 
2-0A
8
Sassuolo11515216 
Dec 14
May 3
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
9
Lazio11434415 
Nov 29
Mar 15
-
-
10
Udinese11434-515 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
Dec 27
11
Cremonese11353-114 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Dec 20
May 3
12
Torino11353-614 
Mar 22
Dec 8
d
 
3-3A
Mar 1
13
Atalanta11272213 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
14
Cagliari11245-510 
May 24
Jan 2
w
 
2-0F
Feb 22
15
Lecce11245-610 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Nov 23
Jan 24
16
Pisa11164-69 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
17
Parma11155-78 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Dec 13
18
Genoa11146-87 
Jan 8
May 17
Feb 1
w
 
0-3F
19
Verona11065-106 
Dec 28
Apr 19
w
 
4-0F
Jan 11
20
Fiorentina11056-95 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
Jan 7
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
5
Milan have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
Lazio have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Milan 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan1 - 1Inter
Milan3 - 2Parma
Milan1 - 1Cagliari
Milan1 - 1Roma
Milan0 - 0Genoa
Milan3 - 0Empoli
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
Lazio 9TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Inter2 - 0Lazio
Pisa0 - 0Lazio
Atalanta0 - 0Lazio
Genoa0 - 3Lazio
Sassuolo1 - 0Lazio
Como 19072 - 0Lazio
Inter2 - 2Lazio
Empoli0 - 1Lazio
Genoa0 - 2Lazio
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Bologna5 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Venezia0 - 0Lazio
Cagliari1 - 2Lazio
Verona0 - 3Lazio
Roma2 - 0Lazio
Lecce1 - 2Lazio
Napoli0 - 1Lazio
Parma3 - 1Lazio
Monza0 - 1Lazio
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALazio0 - 2Inter
HLazio2 - 0Cagliari
ALazio0 - 0Pisa
HLazio1 - 0Juventus
ALazio0 - 0Atalanta
HLazio3 - 3Torino
ALazio3 - 0Genoa
HLazio0 - 1Roma
ALazio0 - 1Sassuolo
HLazio4 - 0Verona
ALazio0 - 2Como 1907
HLazio0 - 1Lecce
ALazio2 - 2Inter
HLazio1 - 1Juventus
ALazio1 - 0Empoli
HLazio2 - 2Parma
ALazio2 - 0Genoa
HLazio1 - 1Roma
ALazio1 - 0Atalanta
HLazio1 - 1Torino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Lazio
Goals: Scored
20
9
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
ACM
8
D
1
LAZ
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
1 - 2Lazio
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
Milan3 - 2
1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0
Milan2 - 1
Milan2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan3 - 1
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
ACM
4
D
3
LAZ
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Milan
Lazio4 - 0
1 - 2Milan
Lazio3 - 0
0 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Milan
Lazio3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Milan 3rd Lazio 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Lazio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Milan have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-23
Lazio have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
ACM
LAZ
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ACM
LAZ
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Milan v Lazio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11423
M GabbiaR LeãoL ModricY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gabbia DEF11
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1121
-
L Modric MID1112
2
-
A Saelemaekers MID1121
1
-
Y Fofana MID1111
3
-
M Maignan  GLK10
-
F Tomori DEF9
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID91
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
S Ricci MID811
-
Z. Athekame DEF71
2
-
K Winter DEF7
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF7
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD71
-
R Leão FWD741
-
C Pulisic FWD742
-
P Estupiñán DEF61
1
1
A Rabiot MID41
1
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
A Jashari MID1
-
Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11334
I ProvedelM ZaccagniT CastellanosM Guendouzi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK11
-
M Gila  DEF11
1
-
B Dia FWD111
-
Pedro FWD111
1
-
A Marusic DEF101
1
-
D Cataldi MID1011
2
-
M Zaccagni FWD103
2
-
A Romagnoli DEF9
1
-
M Guendouzi MID911
3
1
L Pellegrini DEF8
-
M Lazzari  DEF7
1
-
O Provstgaard DEF7
-
N Tavares DEF7
-
T Basic MID711
-
G Isaksen FWD71
-
M Cancellieri FWD63
-
T Noslin FWD6
-
T Castellanos FWD623
2
-
M Vecino MID5
-
N Rovella MID41
1
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID4
-
R Belahyane MID41
1
1
E Hysaj DEF3
-
Patric DEF1
-