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Milan v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Antonio Conte takes his Napoli team to the Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A on Sunday evening, with Massimiliano Allegri's Milan the opponent. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
37%
31/2013/8
Draw
27%
12/521/10
Napoli
36%
13/89/5
Draw 1-1
13%
11/219/4
Milan 1-0
10%
13/213/2
Napoli 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
8%
8/16/1
Milan 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Napoli 2-1
8%
9/117/2
Milan 2-0
6%
11/110/1
Napoli 2-0
6%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/111/1
Milan 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Napoli 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Milan 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Napoli 3-0
3%
25/120/1
Milan 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Napoli 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/511/10
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/64/6
Home 1st Goal
47%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
5%
8/16/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/2017/20
BTTS - No
49%
4/517/20
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/416/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/117/4
Home/draw
64%
4/94/9
Away/draw
63%
1/210/21
Home/away
73%
3/107/20
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/54/11
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/119/10
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/127/10
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
Home DNB
56%
5/64/5
Away DNB
55%
5/610/11
Milan win to nil
21%
3/1-
Napoli win to nil
20%
10/3-
Milan / Milan
19%
10/316/5
Milan / Napoli
3%
28/122/1
Milan / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Milan
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Napoli
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
18%
15/416/5
Napoli / Milan
3%
28/122/1
Napoli / Napoli
18%
7/210/3
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Napoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli330059 
Sep 28
Apr 4
-
-
2
Juventus330049 
Apr 26
Oct 5
Dec 7
Jan 25
3
Cremonese321027 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Apr 26
Dec 28
4
Udinese321027 
Apr 12
Sep 20
May 24
Dec 14
5
Milan320126 
-
-
Apr 4
Sep 28
6
Roma320116 
Nov 2
Jan 25
Feb 15
Nov 30
7
Atalanta312035 
May 10
Oct 28
Nov 22
Feb 22
8
Como 1907311114 
Feb 8
Dec 21
Nov 1
May 3
9
Cagliari311114 
May 24
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
10
Torino3111-44 
Mar 22
Dec 7
Mar 8
Oct 18
11
Sassuolo3102-23 
Dec 14
May 3
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
12
Inter310233 
Mar 8
Nov 23
Oct 25
Jan 11
13
Bologna3102-13 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
May 10
Nov 9
14
Lazio310213 
Nov 30
Mar 15
Apr 19
Jan 3
15
Genoa3021-12 
Jan 6
May 17
Oct 5
Feb 8
16
Fiorentina3021-22 
Oct 19
Jan 11
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
17
Verona3021-42 
Dec 28
Apr 19
Jan 6
Mar 1
18
Pisa3012-21 
Oct 24
Feb 15
Sep 22
May 17
19
Parma3012-41 
Feb 22
Nov 8
Dec 21
Apr 12
20
Lecce3012-51 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Mar 15
Oct 28
Win / draw / win form
7
Napoli have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games
Milan 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan1 - 1Inter
Milan3 - 2Parma
Milan1 - 1Cagliari
Milan1 - 1Roma
Milan0 - 0Genoa
Milan3 - 0Empoli
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Milan0 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0Udinese
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan4 - 0Venezia
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Verona
AMilan2 - 0Empoli
HMilan1 - 1Inter
Napoli 1ST
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Sassuolo0 - 2Napoli
Parma0 - 0Napoli
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Monza0 - 1Napoli
Bologna1 - 1Napoli
Venezia0 - 0Napoli
Como 19072 - 1Napoli
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
Roma1 - 1Napoli
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Genoa1 - 2Napoli
Udinese1 - 3Napoli
Torino0 - 1Napoli
Inter1 - 1Napoli
Milan0 - 2Napoli
Empoli0 - 1Napoli
Juventus0 - 0Napoli
Cagliari0 - 4Napoli
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANapoli3 - 1Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 0Cagliari
ANapoli2 - 0Sassuolo
HNapoli2 - 0Cagliari
ANapoli0 - 0Parma
HNapoli2 - 2Genoa
ANapoli1 - 0Lecce
HNapoli2 - 0Torino
ANapoli1 - 0Monza
HNapoli3 - 0Empoli
ANapoli1 - 1Bologna
HNapoli2 - 1Milan
ANapoli0 - 0Venezia
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 1Inter
ANapoli1 - 2Como 1907
ANapoli2 - 2Lazio
HNapoli1 - 1Udinese
ANapoli1 - 1Roma
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Napoli
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
ACM
2
D
3
NAP
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
0 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0
1 - 2Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Napoli
0 - 4Napoli
Milan2 - 0
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
ACM
3
D
3
NAP
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Napoli2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 4Milan
0 - 1Milan
1 - 3Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Napoli3 - 2
Napoli2 - 1
Napoli4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Napoli3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Napoli's defensive record is very strong, Antonio Conte's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Milan 5th Napoli 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Milan have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Napoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
ACM
NAP
19%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
3
Goals scored4
6
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.7
2.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
ACM
NAP
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded2
1
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded3
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
26
Conversion rate against20%
4%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%

Milan v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
M Maignan S PavlovicP EstupiñánP Estupiñán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK3
-
P Estupiñán DEF31
1
-
M Gabbia DEF3
-
S Pavlovic DEF31
-
F Tomori DEF3
1
-
Y Fofana MID3
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID31
-
L Modric MID311
-
A Saelemaekers FWD31
1
-
C Pulisic FWD31
-
S Giménez FWD3
-
S Ricci MID2
-
P Terracciano GLK1
-
K Winter DEF1
-
A Rabiot MID1
-
A Jashari MID1
-
C Nkunku  FWD1
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
G LorenzoK BruyneL SpinazzolaK Bruyne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olivera DEF3
-
G Lorenzo DEF3
-
L Spinazzola DEF31
-
F Anguissa MID311
-
K Bruyne MID32
1
-
S Lobotka MID3
-
S McTominay MID31
-
L Lucca FWD3
1
-
M Politano FWD31
-
A Meret GLK2
-
A Rrahmani DEF2
-
A Buongiorno DEF21
-
J Jesus DEF2
1
-
B Gilmour MID2
-
N Lang FWD2
-
D Neres  FWD2
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK1
-
S Beukema DEF11
-
A Vergara MID1
-
R Höjlund FWD11
-
E Elmas FWD1
-
G Ambrosino FWD1
-