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Atalanta v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 14:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

It's an away match for Eusebio Di Francesco's Lecce side on Sunday afternoon, as they make their way to the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia for a Serie A showdown with Ivan Juric's Atalanta. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Atalanta to win

As the stadium fills and the Atalanta players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Atleti Azzurri d'Italia hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Lecce in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
67%
1.42
2%
1.48
Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.50
Lecce
14%
8.00
14%
6.50
Atalanta 2-0
12%
7.00
13%
6.50
7%
Atalanta 1-0
11%
7.00
18%
6.50
7%
Atalanta 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
9%
8.508.00
Atalanta 3-0
8%
9.50
5%
9.00
5%
Atalanta 3-1
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Atalanta 4-0
4%
17.00
11%
15.00
Lecce 1-0
4%
19.00
10%
13.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
27%
15.00
Lecce 2-1
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Atalanta 4-1
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
Atalanta 3-2
3%
26.00
24%
19.00
Atalanta 5-0
2%
34.0026.00
Lecce 2-0
2%
41.0026.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.73
7%
1.70
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.10
9%
2.05
2%
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.401.40
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.10
8%
3.30
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
11.00
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.95
11%
1.91
4%
BTTS - No
50%
1.80
10%
1.80
6%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.20
7%
3.10
3%
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.50
BTTS - Away Win
7%
13.00
18%
10.00
5%
Home/draw
86%
1.08
2%
1.11
Away/draw
33%
2.75
5%
2.62
1%
Home/away
81%
1.18
2%
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.25
4%
1.22
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.00
11%
3.80
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.75
10%
2.75
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.44
6%
1.40
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.00
11%
4.80
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
1.15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.00
38%
9.50
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.05
3%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Home DNB
81%
1.13
1%
1.14
3%
Away DNB
27%
6.00
9%
5.00
9%
Atalanta win to nil
38%
2.25
14%
-
Lecce win to nil
7%
13.00-
Atalanta / Atalanta
38%
2.102.15
2%
Atalanta / Lecce
2%
41.0034.00
Atalanta / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
Draw / Atalanta
20%
4.00
8%
4.00
Draw / Lecce
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
Lecce / Atalanta
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
Lecce / Lecce
7%
13.00
18%
9.50
6%
Lecce / Draw
5%
19.00
12%
15.00
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli220036 
Feb 22
Nov 23
Oct 29
Mar 15
2
Juventus220036 
Apr 12
Sep 28
May 10
Jan 3
3
Cremonese220026 
Feb 8
Oct 26
Mar 8
Dec 7
4
Roma220026 
Jan 3
Apr 19
Jan 6
Mar 22
5
Udinese211014 
Mar 8
Nov 2
Feb 8
Oct 26
6
Como 1907210113 
Oct 5
Feb 1
Dec 28
Mar 1
7
Bologna210103 
May 17
Jan 6
Sep 28
Apr 12
8
Inter210143 
Dec 28
Mar 15
Feb 22
Dec 21
9
Milan210113 
Oct 29
May 10
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
10
Lazio210123 
Oct 19
Feb 15
Jan 25
Nov 23
11
Atalanta202002 
-
-
Apr 4
Sep 14
12
Fiorentina202002 
Nov 30
May 24
Apr 19
Nov 2
13
Pisa2011-11 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Dec 14
May 3
14
Cagliari2011-11 
Dec 14
Apr 26
Sep 21
Feb 15
15
Genoa2011-11 
May 3
Dec 21
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
16
Parma2011-21 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Jan 11
Oct 5
17
Lecce2011-21 
Sep 14
Apr 4
-
-
18
Verona2011-41 
Mar 22
Dec 7
Nov 9
Apr 26
19
Torino2011-51 
Jan 11
Sep 21
Nov 30
Feb 1
20
Sassuolo2002-30 
Nov 9
Mar 1
Oct 19
May 17
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta1 - 1Pisa
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Atalanta6 - 1Verona
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
Atalanta2 - 3Como 1907
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta1 - 1Parma
HAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 3Parma
AAtalanta3 - 2Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta4 - 0Monza
HAtalanta1 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 0Milan
HAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta0 - 1Lazio
AAtalanta0 - 1Fiorentina
HAtalanta0 - 2Inter
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
AAtalanta5 - 0Verona
HAtalanta1 - 1Torino
AAtalanta2 - 1Como 1907
HAtalanta2 - 3Napoli
Lecce 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa0 - 0Lecce
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Verona1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Juventus2 - 1Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Como 19072 - 0Lecce
Roma4 - 1Lecce
Venezia0 - 1Lecce
Bologna1 - 0Lecce
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
Udinese1 - 0Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Torino0 - 0Lecce
Inter2 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce0 - 2Milan
ALecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce1 - 0Lazio
HLecce1 - 0Torino
ALecce1 - 1Verona
HLecce0 - 1Napoli
ALecce1 - 1Atalanta
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
ALecce1 - 2Juventus
HLecce1 - 1Venezia
HLecce0 - 1Roma
ALecce1 - 2Genoa
HLecce2 - 3Milan
ALecce0 - 1Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 0Monza
HLecce0 - 0Bologna
ALecce3 - 1Parma
HLecce0 - 4Inter
ALecce1 - 4Cagliari
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atalanta since 2019
Atalanta
Lecce
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
ATA
2
D
1
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 2Lecce
Atalanta3 - 1
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
4
14
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
ATA
3
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 4Atalanta
0 - 2Atalanta
Lecce2 - 1
2 - 7Atalanta
Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Lecce fans, as should a 12 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Atalanta 11th Lecce 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Atalanta will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Lecce have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
54%
better
ATA
LEC
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score0
1
Scored first0
0
Goals scored1
0
Avg. goals scored0.5
0
Avg. shots per game9
2
Avg. shots per goal18
0
Conversion rate for6
0
Avg. XG for1.9
0.4
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
ATA
LEC
64%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
0
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
0
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0
Avg. shots/game conceded4
2
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
0
Conversion rate against13%
0%
Avg. XG against1
0.4
KickOff rating
+64%

Atalanta v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
M CarnesecchiM PasalicM PasalicI Hien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK2
-
B Djimsiti DEF2
-
G Scalvini DEF2
-
I Hien DEF2
1
-
R Bellanova MID2
-
N Zalewski MID2
-
D Maldini MID2
1
-
M Pasalic MID211
-
M Roon MID2
1
-
N Krstovic FWD21
-
K Sulemana FWD2
1
-
G Scamacca FWD21
-
C Ketelaere FWD2
-
O Kossounou  DEF1
-
L Samardžić MID1
-
M Brescianini MID1
-
D Zappacosta MID1
-
Éderson MID1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
W FalconeK Gaspar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK2
-
K Gaspar DEF2
1
-
D Veiga DEF2
1
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF2
-
A Gallo DEF2
-
M Berisha MID2
-
Y Ramadani MID2
-
M Kaba MID2
-
L Coulibaly  MID2
-
R Sottil  FWD2
-
F. Camarda FWD2
-
K N’Dri FWD2
-
T Morente FWD2
1
-
C. Kouassi Bathele DEF1
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID1
-
B Pierret MID1
-
N Stulic FWD1
-
L Banda FWD1
1
-
S Pierotti FWD1
-