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Atalanta v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Sunday evening sees Gian Piero Gasperini’s Atalanta and Marco Silva’s Lecce go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Serie A Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Atalanta's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Monday 12th May
Lecce's next match is v Verona at 14:00 on Sunday 11th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Atalanta and Lecce was on Sunday 27th April 2025
Italian Serie A
April 27th 2025
Atalanta 1
1 Lecce
 
M. Retegui 69'29' J. Karlsson
 
ATA
LEC
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
12
3
Possession
74%
26%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
AtalantaLecce
 
M. Carnesecchi
B. Djimsiti
I. Hien
K. Odilon (M. Ruggeri 59')
D. Zappacosta
R. Bellanova (J. Cuadrado Bello 46')
M. de Roon
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva (L. Samardžić 80')
M. Pašalić (C. De Ketelaere 64')
A. Lookman
M. Reteguifootball icon (D. Maldini 80')
W. Falcone
A. Gallo
F. Baschirotto
F. Guilbert
K. Gaspar
L. Coulibaly
(Y. Ramadani 85') B. Pierret
M. Kaba
(R. Burnete 84') A. Rebić
(T. Helgason 70') football iconJ. Karlsson
(D. Melo Veiga 76') S. Pierotti

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 75% chance of Atalanta and Lecce serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
56%
1/4
4%
-
Draw
23%
19/4
5%
-
Lecce
21%
11/1
33%
-
Atalanta 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
10/1
10%
-
Atalanta 2-0
10%
5/1
8%
-
Atalanta 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1
13%
-
Lecce 1-0
6%
25/1
24%
-
Atalanta 3-0
6%
13/2
6%
-
Atalanta 3-1
6%
10/1-
Lecce 2-1
5%
33/1
48%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
25/1
13%
-
Lecce 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
-
Atalanta 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Atalanta 4-0
3%
11/1
8%
-
Atalanta 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
-
Lecce 3-1
2%
80/1
59%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/11
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
9/2
22%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
6/5
10%
-
BTTS - No
48%
8/13
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
21/10
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
13/2
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
20/1
40%
-
Home/draw
79%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
44%
11/4
10%
-
Home/away
77%
1/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/16
4%
-
Away DNB
37%
9/1
43%
-
Atalanta win to nil
31%
5/6
13%
-
Lecce win to nil
11%
18/1
27%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
47%
8/11
9%
-
Atalanta / Lecce
2%
50/1-
Atalanta / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Atalanta
21%
11/4-
Draw / Lecce
4%
22/1
21%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
-
Lecce / Atalanta
4%
20/1
11%
-
Lecce / Lecce
4%
20/1
24%
-
Lecce / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Atalanta have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Atalanta have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Lecce are in 17th position in the Serie A on 26 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Lecce have conceded 51 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3523843077 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
Inter3522854074 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
3
Atalanta Home3520874068 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
4
Juventus35161542063 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
5
Roma3518981863 
May 12
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
6
Lazio3518981363 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 25
7
Bologna35161451562 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
8
Fiorentina35178101859 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-6A
l
 
1-0A
9
Milan35169101657 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-0A
10
Como 19073512914-345 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
11
Torino35101411-144 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
12
Udinese3512815-1144 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Genoa3591214-1339 
w
 
5-1F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
14
Cagliari358918-1533 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
15
Parma3561415-1432 
May 25
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
16
Verona359521-3332 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
May 11
17
Lecce Away356920-3327 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
-
-
18
Venezia3541417-2126 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
19
Empoli3541318-2825 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
20
Monza352924-3815 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Atalanta6 - 1Verona
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
Atalanta2 - 3Como 1907
Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0Torino
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta2 - 0Empoli
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta1 - 0Milan
HAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta0 - 1Lazio
AAtalanta0 - 1Fiorentina
HAtalanta0 - 2Inter
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
AAtalanta5 - 0Verona
HAtalanta1 - 1Torino
AAtalanta2 - 1Como 1907
HAtalanta2 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta0 - 0Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 1Lazio
HAtalanta3 - 2Empoli
AAtalanta1 - 0Cagliari
HAtalanta2 - 1Milan
AAtalanta2 - 0Roma
Lecce 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 1Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
Como 19072 - 0Lecce
Roma4 - 1Lecce
Venezia0 - 1Lecce
Bologna1 - 0Lecce
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
Udinese1 - 0Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Torino0 - 0Lecce
Inter2 - 0Lecce
Napoli0 - 0Lecce
Cagliari1 - 1Lecce
Sassuolo0 - 3Lecce
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
ALecce1 - 2Juventus
HLecce1 - 1Venezia
HLecce0 - 1Roma
ALecce1 - 2Genoa
HLecce2 - 3Milan
ALecce0 - 1Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 0Monza
HLecce0 - 0Bologna
ALecce3 - 1Parma
HLecce0 - 4Inter
ALecce1 - 4Cagliari
ALecce3 - 1Empoli
HLecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce0 - 2Como 1907
HLecce1 - 2Lazio
HLecce2 - 1Monza
ALecce1 - 4Roma
HLecce1 - 1Juventus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Atalanta have beaten Lecce in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Atalanta have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Lecce
League games at Atalanta since 2019
Atalanta
Lecce
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
ATA
2
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 2Lecce
Atalanta3 - 1
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
4
14
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
ATA
3
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 4Atalanta
0 - 2Atalanta
Lecce2 - 1
2 - 7Atalanta
Goal Statistics

Atalanta have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.8 against Lecce on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Goals have been an issue for Lecce of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Atalanta.

Atalanta 3rd Lecce 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Lecce have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283368/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.8
1
Attack rating
51%
better
ATA
LEC
view stats
Games scored26
16
Failed to score7
17
Scored first19
8
Goals scored66
23
Avg. goals scored2
0.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
13
Conversion rate for18
8
Avg. XG for1.9
1
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
36%
better
ATA
LEC
view stats
Games conceded19
26
Clean sheets14
7
Conceded first11
21
Goals conceded30
55
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+36%

Atalanta v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3224810
M CarnesecchiM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK32
1
-
R Bellanova DEF318
3
-
I Hien DEF29
10
-
B Djimsiti DEF3212
4
-
O Kossounou  MID15
1
-
M Roon MID3443
5
-
Éderson MID3441
4
1
D Zappacosta MID2842
3
-
M Pasalic FWD3134
1
-
M Retegui FWD33247
2
-
A Lookman FWD29145
5
-
Subs
R Patrício GLK2
-
F Rossi GLK
-
R Tolói DEF11
1
-
I Sulemana MID6
1
-
J Cuadrado MID222
2
-
M Ruggeri MID272
2
-
L Samardžić MID2921
3
-
M Brescianini MID2642
1
-
D Maldini FWD203
5
-
C Ketelaere FWD3375
1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35445
W FalconeS PierottiÞórir Jóhann HelgasonF Guilbert
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK35
1
-
F Guilbert DEF281
3
2
K Gaspar DEF211
3
-
F Baschirotto DEF352
3
-
A Gallo DEF282
3
1
L Coulibaly  MID35
3
-
B Pierret MID28
2
-
S Pierotti MID3342
5
-
M Kaba MID13
1
-
J Karlsson MID121
2
-
A Rebic  FWD261
3
1
Subs
C Früchtl GLK
-
J Samooja GLK
-
D Veiga DEF10
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF1
-
M Sala DEF2
-
H Rafia MID18
4
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID184
-
Y Ramadani MID271
5
-
L Banda MID141
1
-
K N’Dri FWD9
-
R Pop FWD3
-