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Cagliari v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sardegna Arena, Cagliari

Davide Nicola's Cagliari side will have home backing in the Serie A on Wednesday evening, as Raffaele Palladino's Fiorentina visit the Sardegna Arena. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

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Cagliari's next match is v Como 1907 at 14:00 on Saturday 10th May
Fiorentina's next match is v Roma at 17:00 on Sunday 4th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Cagliari and Fiorentina was on Wednesday 23rd April 2025
Italian Serie A
April 23rd 2025
Cagliari 1
2 Fiorentina
 
R. Piccoli 7'36' R. Gosens
48' L. Beltrán
 
CAG
FIO
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
2
1
Corners
4
4
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
CagliariFiorentina
 
E. Caprile
G. Zappa
T. Augello
Y. Mina González (J. Palomino 41')
S. Luperto
N. Zortea (F. Coman 67')
M. Prati (A. Makoumbou 67')
B. Viola (G. Gaetano 59')
M. Adopo (R. Marin 67')
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
R. Piccolifootball icon
D. de Gea Quintana
P. Marí Villar
D. Cordeiro dos Santos
(F. Parisi 62') football iconR. Gosens
(P. Comuzzo 81') L. Ranieri
M. Pongracic
(N. Zaniolo 86') football iconL. Beltrán
(M. Folorunsho 81') R. Mandragora
D. Cataldi
(A. Richardson 63') N. Fagioli
A. Gudmundsson

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Cagliari and Fiorentina have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cagliari are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cagliari
38%
2/1
20%
-
Draw
26%
2/1
3%
-
Fiorentina
35%
31/20
21%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Cagliari 1-0
10%
15/2
29%
-
Fiorentina 1-0
9%
13/2
6%
-
Cagliari 2-1
8%
10/1
15%
-
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
13/2
21%
-
Cagliari 2-0
7%
12/1
32%
-
Fiorentina 2-0
6%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Cagliari 3-1
4%
25/1
10%
-
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
20/1
24%
-
Cagliari 3-0
3%
28/1
29%
-
Fiorentina 3-0
2%
22/1
21%
-
Cagliari 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
13/10
20%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/13
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/4
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/6
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/20
11%
-
BTTS - No
47%
4/5
10%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
27%
-
Home/draw
65%
1/2
12%
-
Away/draw
62%
4/11
9%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/5
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10/3
27%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/9
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/1
50%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/14
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1
46%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
16%
-
Home DNB
57%
1/1
24%
-
Away DNB
54%
8/11
20%
-
Cagliari win to nil
21%
7/2
36%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
19%
3/1
14%
-
Cagliari / Cagliari
18%
15/4
21%
-
Cagliari / Fiorentina
3%
28/1
26%
-
Cagliari / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Cagliari
13%
11/2
19%
-
Draw / Fiorentina
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
10%
-
Fiorentina / Cagliari
3%
28/1
15%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
19%
10/3
27%
-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cagliari have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Cagliari have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cagliari have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 8th place on 53 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3523843077 
l
 
0-4A
May 25
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
2
Inter3522854074 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
3
Atalanta3419873665 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
4
Juventus34161442062 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
5
Bologna34161351561 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 18
l
 
1-0A
6
Roma3417981760 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 4
7
Lazio3417981260 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
8
Fiorentina Away3417891959 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
9
Milan34159101554 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
10
Como 19073512914-345 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
11
Torino35101411-144 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
Udinese3512815-1144 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 25
13
Genoa3491213-1239 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
14
Cagliari Home358918-1533 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
15
Parma3561415-1432 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
16
Verona359521-3332 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
17
Lecce356920-3327 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-6F
18
Venezia3541417-2126 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
19
Empoli3441317-2725 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Monza342923-3415 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
Win / draw / win form
Cagliari 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fiorentina have beaten Cagliari in 3 consecutive league meetings
8
Fiorentina have not lost to Cagliari in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cagliari since 2014
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
13
17
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
CAG
2
D
2
FIO
4
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
7 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
2 / 9
CAG
2
D
2
FIO
5
Goal Statistics
Cagliari 14th Fiorentina 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Cagliari will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Cagliari’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Fiorentina have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283358/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cagliari
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
CAG
FIO
32%
better
view stats
Games scored18
25
Failed to score14
7
Scored first10
18
Goals scored32
49
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CAG
FIO
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
20
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded47
32
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%

Cagliari v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34966
S LupertoR PiccoliT AugelloY Mina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Caprile GLK16
-
G Zappa DEF342
4
-
Y Mina DEF29
5
1
S Luperto DEF3413
4
-
N Zortea MID326
3
-
M Adopo MID321
3
1
M Prati MID11
1
-
N Viola MID2431
2
-
T Augello MID356
3
-
Z Luvumbo FWD2422
2
-
R Piccoli FWD3491
5
-
Subs
G Ciocci  GLK
-
A Sherri GLK6
-
J Palomino DEF161
3
-
A Obert DEF1911
4
-
R Marin MID3032
4
-
A Makoumbou MID302
2
1
G Gaetano MID2624
-
F Coman FWD91
2
-
L Pavoletti FWD252
4
-
K. Mutandwa FWD5
-
M Felici FWD193
1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32657
L RanieriA GudmundssonDodôDodô
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK311
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF16
2
1
L Ranieri DEF3312
5
-
P Marí DEF9
2
-
Dodô MID325
7
-
R Mandragora  MID2533
6
-
N Fagioli MID17
4
-
D Cataldi MID253
1
-
R Gosens MID2854
5
-
L Beltrán FWD3055
4
-
A Gudmundsson FWD2261
2
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK3
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
P. Comuzzo DEF30
5
-
M Moreno DEF4
-
F Parisi DEF231
2
-
M Folorunsho MID13
4
-
N Zaniolo MID8
2
-
A Richardson MID23
5
-
C Ndour MID5
-
Y Adli MID2445
4
1