Fiorentina's team badge Roma's team badge

Fiorentina v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Stefano Pioli welcomes Gian Piero Gasperini to the Artemio Franchi on Sunday afternoon, as their Fiorentina and Roma teams do battle in the Serie A. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Fiorentina and Roma haven't typically treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Roma coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
33%
3.002.90
Draw
27%
3.303.30
Roma
40%
2.382.40
Draw 1-1
13%
6.006.00
Roma 1-0
10%
8.007.50
Fiorentina 1-0
9%
9.008.00
Roma 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Draw 0-0
8%
9.008.50
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Roma 2-0
7%
11.0010.00
Fiorentina 2-0
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Roma 3-1
4%
21.0015.00
Roma 3-0
3%
23.0017.00
Fiorentina 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
Roma 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Fiorentina 3-0
2%
34.0023.00
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.101.95
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.731.75
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.102.15
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.831.91
No 1st Goal
5%
9.008.00
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.801.80
BTTS - No
48%
1.951.95
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.005.25
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.004.60
Home/draw
60%
1.531.55
Away/draw
67%
1.361.40
Home/away
73%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.403.20
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.753.30
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.291.29
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.101.10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.008.50
Home DNB
52%
2.102.05
Away DNB
59%
1.671.70
Fiorentina win to nil
18%
5.00-
Roma win to nil
22%
4.00-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
17%
4.754.60
Fiorentina / Roma
3%
26.0021.00
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Fiorentina
12%
6.506.50
Draw / Roma
15%
5.505.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.60
Roma / Fiorentina
3%
29.0023.00
Roma / Roma
21%
4.003.75
Roma / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
Roma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Milan5401612 
Jan 11
Oct 19
Jan 25
Nov 2
2
Inter6402912 
Mar 22
Oct 29
Oct 18
Apr 4
3
Roma5401412 
Oct 5
May 3
-
-
4
Napoli5401512 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 1
Nov 30
Feb 15
5
Juventus5320411 
Nov 22
May 17
Mar 1
Dec 21
6
Cremonese6231-19 
Jan 3
Mar 15
Feb 22
Nov 23
7
Atalanta523069 
May 24
Nov 30
Apr 19
Jan 3
8
Sassuolo630309 
Apr 26
Dec 7
Jan 11
Oct 26
9
Como 1907522128 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
Dec 14
Mar 15
10
Lazio621337 
Apr 12
Jan 6
May 17
w
 
0-1F
11
Cagliari521207 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
Dec 7
12
Bologna521207 
Oct 26
Jan 18
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
13
Udinese5212-37 
Dec 21
Mar 1
Nov 9
Feb 1
14
Lecce6123-55 
Nov 2
Apr 19
Mar 22
Jan 6
15
Parma6123-45 
Mar 8
Dec 28
Oct 29
May 10
16
Torino6123-85 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
17
Fiorentina5032-33 
-
-
May 3
Oct 5
18
Verona6033-73 
Dec 14
Apr 4
w
 
2-0F
May 24
19
Pisa5023-32 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
20
Genoa5023-52 
May 10
Nov 9
Dec 28
Mar 8
Win / draw / win form
3
Roma have won 3 consecutive away league games
5
Fiorentina have not won in 5 consecutive league games
3
Roma have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Fiorentina 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
Fiorentina2 - 1Empoli
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
Fiorentina2 - 1Genoa
Fiorentina1 - 1Torino
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
Fiorentina3 - 1Verona
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Lazio
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina0 - 0Pisa
HFiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
HFiorentina1 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 1Cagliari
AFiorentina3 - 2Udinese
HFiorentina3 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Venezia
AFiorentina0 - 1Roma
HFiorentina2 - 1Empoli
AFiorentina2 - 1Cagliari
HFiorentina0 - 0Parma
AFiorentina2 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
HFiorentina3 - 0Juventus
AFiorentina1 - 2Napoli
HFiorentina1 - 0Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 1Verona
HFiorentina0 - 2Como 1907
AFiorentina1 - 2Inter
Roma 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Pisa0 - 1Roma
Torino0 - 2Roma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Inter0 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lecce0 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 1Roma
Parma0 - 1Roma
Venezia0 - 1Roma
Udinese1 - 2Roma
Bologna2 - 2Roma
Milan1 - 1Roma
Como 19072 - 0Roma
Napoli1 - 0Roma
Verona3 - 2Roma
Fiorentina5 - 1Roma
Monza1 - 1Roma
Genoa1 - 1Roma
Juventus0 - 0Roma
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRoma2 - 0Verona
ARoma1 - 0Lazio
HRoma0 - 1Torino
ARoma1 - 0Pisa
HRoma1 - 0Bologna
ARoma2 - 0Torino
HRoma3 - 1Milan
ARoma1 - 2Atalanta
HRoma1 - 0Fiorentina
ARoma1 - 0Inter
HRoma1 - 0Verona
ARoma1 - 1Lazio
HRoma1 - 1Juventus
ARoma1 - 0Lecce
HRoma1 - 0Cagliari
ARoma1 - 0Empoli
HRoma2 - 1Como 1907
HRoma4 - 0Monza
ARoma1 - 0Parma
ARoma1 - 0Venezia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Roma
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
11 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
0 / 11
FIO
4
D
3
RMA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina2 - 1
Fiorentina2 - 0
1 - 2Roma
1 - 4Roma
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Roma
Fiorentina1 - 0
1 - 2Roma
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Roma since 2014
Roma
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
23
8
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
FIO
1
D
2
RMA
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
Roma1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Roma2 - 0
Roma3 - 1
Roma2 - 0
Roma2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Fiorentina
Roma4 - 0
Roma4 - 1
Roma2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Fiorentina of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Roma.

Fiorentina 16th Roma 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Fiorentina have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-15
Roma have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
2%
better
FIO
RMA
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored0.6
0.6
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal10
16
Conversion rate for10
6
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
FIO
RMA
56%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
1
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded6
1
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
33
Conversion rate against13%
3%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.7
KickOff rating
+56%

Fiorentina v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5213
D GeaR Mandragora A GudmundssonM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK5
-
R Gosens DEF5
-
L Ranieri DEF51
1
-
Dodô DEF5
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF5
3
-
R Mandragora  MID52
-
S Sohm MID5
2
-
J Fazzini MID5
-
M Kean FWD5
1
-
N Fagioli MID4
-
R Piccoli FWD4
-
E Dzeko FWD4
-
M Viti DEF3
-
P. Comuzzo DEF3
-
H Caviglia MID3
-
A Gudmundsson FWD31
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
P Marí DEF2
1
-
C Ndour MID2
-
E. Kouadio DEF1
-
N. Fortini DEF1
-
F Parisi DEF1
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5211
M SvilarM MalvanoE FergusonA Angeliño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK5
-
A Angeliño DEF5
1
-
E Ndicka DEF5
1
-
G Mancini DEF5
1
-
M Koné MID5
-
B Cristante MID5
-
E Ferguson FWD51
1
-
M Malvano FWD521
-
Wesley DEF41
1
-
M Hermoso DEF4
-
Z Celik DEF41
-
N Aynaoui MID4
-
A Dovbyk FWD41
-
S Shaarawy FWD4
-
D Rensch DEF3
-
P Dybala FWD3
-
K Tsimikas DEF2
-
T Baldanzi MID2
-
N Pisilli MID2
-
L Pellegrini MID21
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF1
-